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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums"Trump's strong general election polling is a mirage"
"Former President Donald Trumps general election polling strength is a mirage, and Republicans will be making a grave mistake if they fall for the illusion and nominate him for 2024.
"The New York Times/Siena College poll between Trump and President Joe Biden is making waves, as it shows Trump leading in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. Biden is unpopular, people think the country is on the wrong track, and a majority rate the current economic conditions as poor. None of this is a surprise.
"But to assume that this proves there are no electability concerns for Trump is a mistake. These polls are essentially just a reflection of Bidens disapproval rating (59%) and unfavorability rating (57%). Biden is the focus because he is the president. The people currently being polled are expressing their dissatisfaction with Biden, not that they actually want Trump back.
We know this because Trump still polls very poorly individually as well. His unfavorability rating (56%) is nearly identical to Bidens. Among undecided and persuadable voters, 46% think Trump winning would be bad for the country, while just 20% think it would be good. A majority, 54%, say that Trump has committed serious federal crimes. Just as Biden is polling below a generic Republican, Trump is polling below a generic Democrat.
read more:
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/trumps-strong-general-election-polling-is-a-mirage
I agree with this analysis. Anyway, a year before the election is several political lifetimes....
speak easy
(9,302 posts)When Trump is replaced with the mythical 'generic' Republican, for the GE, Times-Sienna polls
Biden (36), Repug (52). Taking Trump out of the mix takes the GOP lead from 4 points to 16.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/06/an-ominous-poll-democrats-what-it-says-about-biden-alternative/
slightlv
(2,838 posts)democrats and repubs, I'll maybe pay attention to the poll. Until then, most of what I see is skewed horribly. I do think, however, democrats need to get better about tooting their own horns and blowing up the media with it, whether the media wants them to do that or not. No matter what the question or comment, you will always here a repub go off on their own tangential talking point. We need to start doing this, as well... not just be an "adult" party who answers questions that are put to us and then politely wait for the next one. I'm tired of being an "adult" in a country of misbehaving 2 year olds. I don't mean we have to throw temper tantrums like they do... but on the other hand, maybe if a democrat started doing some of that when they get boxed in on a "gotcha" it might just break through all the *rump crap.
twodogsbarking
(9,805 posts)spanone
(135,873 posts)grrrrr
DemocraticPatriot
(4,394 posts)but he certainly Did Not Win TONIGHT....
DemocraticPatriot
(4,394 posts)Many people may 'dislike' President Biden---
but they don't HATE him, the way that many more of us hate Drumph....