Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
Sat Nov 18, 2023, 05:27 PM Nov 2023

Battleground US Senate races that the Democrats will win in 2024 to be in the majority.

29)CA(Schiff-D or Porter-D)
30)HI(Hirono-D)
31)VT(Sanders-I)
32)MD(Alsobrooks-D)
33)MA(Warren-D)
34)RI(Whitehouse-D)
35)NY(Gillibrand-D)
36)CT(Murphy-D)
37)DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
38)ME(King-I)
39)MN(Klobuchar-D)
40)NM(Heinrich-D)
41)NJ(Kim-D)
42)WA(Cantwell-D)
43)VA(Kaine-D)
44)PA(Casey-D)
45)NV(Rosen-D)
46)WI(Baldwin-D)
47)MI(Slotkin-D)
48)AZ(Gallego-D)
49)OH(Brown-D)
50)MT(Tester-D)

FL(Mucarsel Powell-D) or TX(Allred-D) is the 51st/52nd US Senate seat for Democrats.
Biden/Harris-D winning re-election.

Rick Scott is more unpopular than Marco Rubio.
Debbie Mucarsel Powell represented Miami Dade- largest populated county and a swing county.
Val Demings represented Orange- 1 million less populated than Miami Dade county and a safe Democratic county.

Rick Scott won all his Governors and US Senate Races by a very narrow margin.
2010 Governor 1.15 percent margin.
2014 Governor 1.07 percent margin.
2018 US Senate 0.13 percent margin.





6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Battleground US Senate races that the Democrats will win in 2024 to be in the majority. (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Nov 2023 OP
I see no sign that Scott is particularly vulnerable in Florida. brooklynite Nov 2023 #1
I don't either. Lifelong Floridian here. Lochloosa Nov 2023 #2
Both of them are in better shape than I would have suspected, at this point... DemocraticPatriot Nov 2023 #4
I agree sabbat hunter Nov 2023 #5
Tester has an uphill battle to win in Montana. Tennessee Hillbilly Nov 2023 #3
There is no chance that a Democrat TexasDem69 Nov 2023 #6
 

brooklynite

(96,882 posts)
1. I see no sign that Scott is particularly vulnerable in Florida.
Sat Nov 18, 2023, 05:37 PM
Nov 2023

You assume holding on to Brown and Tester, which will be the biggest challenge.

 

DemocraticPatriot

(5,410 posts)
4. Both of them are in better shape than I would have suspected, at this point...
Sat Nov 18, 2023, 05:42 PM
Nov 2023

Of course a year is like 20 political lifetimes, but better to be ahead or at least even at this time, than not...


I think Democrats should fight for the Senate seats in Missouri and Texas, and maybe Florida next year....


Do you have any thoughts on which Republican seats *might* be vulnerable ?

sabbat hunter

(6,927 posts)
5. I agree
Sat Nov 18, 2023, 05:50 PM
Nov 2023

Scott should win fairly easily in Florida, unless something major breaks against Scott between now and the election. Rubio should cruise on thru as well.

We should hold the rest of the seats. Montana, Ohio will be competitive, but the D candidates are personally popular and will win due to that. Brown should be an easier hold if the GOP in Ohio try to overturn the recent state constitution amendment that guaranteed a woman's right to choose.

3. Tester has an uphill battle to win in Montana.
Sat Nov 18, 2023, 05:40 PM
Nov 2023

Ohio, Arizona and Nevada are also tough races for democrats. Texas and Florida will be even even more difficult.

 

TexasDem69

(2,317 posts)
6. There is no chance that a Democrat
Sat Nov 18, 2023, 06:13 PM
Nov 2023

Wins statewide in Texas. This isn’t an even remotely defensible post, so the OP should stop floating it.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Battleground US Senate ra...