General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsMichael Steele on MSNBC just said if Haley gets the nomination she beats Biden
BECAUSE DEMOCRATS DON'T LIKE JOE BIDEN
FUCK THIS COVERAGE.
walkingman
(10,818 posts)bdamomma
(69,527 posts)nt
agingdem
(8,837 posts)they hate Trump more than they hate Democrats...but if it's a choice between a Republican "anybody but Trump" and Democrat Joe Biden, they will revert to GOP asshole type...maybe Michael Steele is down with Haley's absurd blathering response to the cause of the Civil War...it was slavery, stupid!!
montanacowboy
(6,712 posts)they only espouse our side when it is advantageous for them; then they turn in a minute when they see an opportunity for their side. Fuck all Republicans, all worthless bags of shit.
TheBlackAdder
(29,981 posts)bdamomma
(69,527 posts)doesn't know what he's talking about. It's going to be dog and pony show till we get to November.
They will say anything to get ratings, and throw doubt on President Biden.
I'll watch Joy but that's it for the night. I've been binge watching Deadwood.
OnDoutside
(20,868 posts)as if Trump never existed. They'd airbrush him, and her. That said I stick by my belief that this is a Biden v trump contest
Bucky
(55,334 posts)Say it ain't so, OnDou!
OnDoutside
(20,868 posts)malaise
(295,863 posts)Who,also,expected. Red wave in 2022😀
LiberalFighter
(53,544 posts)Maybe 500 years from now.
North Shore Chicago
(4,238 posts)brush
(61,033 posts)PortTack
(35,820 posts)Johonny
(26,128 posts)Demsrule86
(71,542 posts)election will be safe. When voters realize the only way to stop the assault on women is to toss them out. I don't know if it will be this year. But it is coming.
ProudMNDemocrat
(20,879 posts)He will then launch an Independent run and slam Haley.
I also could be wrong. For both could lose Women, the younger voters, even African-Americans and Latinos, and other voting blocs.
Lemonwurst
(327 posts)I often dont think his misspellings are accidental. His staff, whatever that means, likely lets them happen to help the rubes think hes one of them!
markodochartaigh
(5,534 posts)don't think Trump is a "Berliner".
JohnSJ
(98,883 posts)2016, Steele is probably right.
If Trump is their nominee we should win, as long as women, life long Democrats, and independents come out and vote. The so-called self-identified progressives are not a reliable voting block
aurora the great
(142 posts)JohnSJ
(98,883 posts)Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)Demsrule86
(71,542 posts)JohnSJ
(98,883 posts)a Haley candidate over Biden, but not a trump candidacy
Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)who didn't show up for Clinton in critical states, it was somehow leftist voters who were primarily in east and west coast urban blue states that magically caused Clinton to lose swing states she should have won.
Response to Voltaire2 (Reply #68)
emulatorloo This message was self-deleted by its author.
JohnSJ
(98,883 posts)Jill Stein received 1% in those critical swing states
It didnt take much but it made a difference
Those same leftists voters are already saying they wont vote for Biden in 2024 because of the Israeli Gaza situation
Those self identified progressives are not that reliable. 2000 and 2016 demonstrated that.
Hell, even integral members of the Sanders campaign couldnt be convinced to vote for Hillary in 2016, even though the SC was at stake. David Sirota, Nina Turner, Cornell West, Briahna Joy Gray.
Cornell West is running as an independent, and the polls indicate his candidacy will hurt Biden.
So believe what you want, but the numbers say differently
The stakes could not be higher
brush
(61,033 posts)who don't like republicans' abortion policies. Your logic is faulty.
elleng
(141,926 posts)sadly, we're 'good' at that.
(Contrary to the apparent views of 'some' here, Steele knows what he's talking about.)
JohnSJ
(98,883 posts)elleng
(141,926 posts)JohnSJ
(98,883 posts)elleng
(141,926 posts)emulatorloo
(46,155 posts)as moderate on other issues as she may appear to be. Been wrong before though.
Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)who are uncomfortable with Trump. But sure bash the left.
ificandream
(11,836 posts)BFD.
GhostHunter22
(95 posts)"While Republican primary voters think Donald Trump is their best shot in November, it's Nikki Haley who right now holds a bigger lead over Joe Biden than either Trump or Ron DeSantis in potential head-to-head match-ups.
From the article (and poll).
TexasBushwhacker
(21,196 posts)Trump will run as an Independent or encourage his minions to write him in.
JohnSJ
(98,883 posts)TexasBushwhacker
(21,196 posts)as long as he's "running", even if it's impossible for him to win, he is still "fund raising" and skimming those bucks into offshore accounts. It always was about money and it still is.
PortTack
(35,820 posts)Elessar Zappa
(16,385 posts)If Trump loses the nomination, hell spend every waking minute tearing Haley down and making her persona-non-grata in the eyes of the magat base and enough will stay home to ensure a Biden victory.
Buckeyeblue
(6,349 posts)I can't envision the scenario that Trump doesn't get the nominee, unless he drops dead.
3catwoman3
(29,355 posts)I can't happen soon enough.
Talitha
(7,962 posts)Just the thought of it makes my heart sing.
PortTack
(35,820 posts)Wait till he takes the gloves off with her!
Silent3
(15,909 posts)...Trump, then, unless Trump keels over from a heart attack (or Haley wins the nomination because Trump already had a heart attack), Trump runs as an independent.
In a three way Biden/Haley/Trump match up, I think it's most likely that Haley and Trump steal more votes from each other than from Biden, and Biden gets the plurality and wins.
If it's just Biden/Haley, I see Republican base enthusiasm being very low. Many would-be Trump voters write in Trump (even if he's dead) or stay home. Biden wins.
Am I certain of all this? Of course not. But I this is more plausible than Haley beating Trump.
peggysue2
(12,529 posts)MAGA would never vote for a woman (or anyone else besides Trump) and Donnie has already tagged Haley as ineligible bc of her immigrant parents. That stigma will stick, even though it's bogus.
Anyone taking this nomination from Trump would be hounded, harassed and intimidated up until Election Day and beyond. If Trump can't have the spot, nobody will have the spot. He'd burn the Republican Party down first while dragging the rest of country through the dirt.
It's who the man is.
As for MAGA? I just listened a series of MAGAs tell a CNN reporter they'd rather vote for Trump as a dictator than Joe Biden as a president.
They are totally lost to the madness.
spanone
(141,542 posts)Bev54
(13,428 posts)Is the republican nominee needs Maga to win
Walleye
(44,728 posts)unblock
(56,188 posts)spanone
(141,542 posts)Yavin4
(37,182 posts)She won't get the nomination.
Dan
(5,155 posts)Not because of her qualifications, but because I believe the SCOTUS will determine that Trump is not eligible.
But, I also believe that she doesnt understand her party, there are a couple of reasons that they wont come out and vote for her.
1. She is not White.
2. She is a female and doesnt understand her place.
brush
(61,033 posts)lindysalsagal
(22,903 posts)I wish that were possible, in this year where half the country wants to return our laws to the 17th century. But, ok! Whatever! Biden's gottit.
getagrip_already
(17,802 posts)According to magats. And she is a she thing.
And her parents are they things.
Three strikes. Sorry mike.
Ocelot II
(130,462 posts)TFG will do everything he can to bring her down in the unlikely event she's the nominee. He'd rather see her lose to Biden than win the presidency that he thinks he was deprived of. And the MAGAts won't vote for a brown woman who's the daughter of immigrants; they'd stay home.
Cha
(318,883 posts)Fuck his Stupidity.
Chainfire
(17,757 posts)2naSalit
(102,652 posts)And she won't carry with enough "R" voters to win.
Bucky
(55,334 posts)I don't think that's a realistic view. The current polling is not unambiguous. Trump is their weakest candidate and is beating Biden by 2%. Haley is beating Biden by 8%. Trump's voters just suddenly not caring anymore isn't a wise strategy.
A lot of people voted against Trump in 2020 because they were tired of the divisiveness and the incompetence. If Haley's the nominee, she'll be the face that people associate with ending partisanship. That's exactly how Dubya bamboozled the voters in 2000. It's not a hard pose to strike.

2naSalit
(102,652 posts)Schmolls, they don't carry much weight for me since they are so often wrong and are easily manipulated anymore.
Bucky
(55,334 posts)But at some point we're gonna have to grapple with the fact that a well-managed economy, a scandal-free administration, and an inept opposition in Congress isn't keeping Biden from historically lousy approval ratings. Biden (despite being an effective president) s a weak candidate, if you go by the numbers. Saying "Oh I don't believe polls cause they could be wrong" isn't getting ready for a very tough election. I don't think it's a smart strategy. In some ways, it feels almost like we're re-running the 2016 campaign plan. I didn't like how that one turned out.
brush
(61,033 posts)Biden will win. The polls now don't mean sh_t.
PortTack
(35,820 posts)This isnt about not liking what the polls say, the polls have been worthless for at least the last 3 election cycles.
Its about the gqp overturning RvW and 75+ % of Americans are still furious
Its about the Dems over performing, last year winning 24 out of 30 special and off yr elections
Its about hayle being a woman and not white enough to suit them
George Conway said it best on CNN over the weekend saying tfg will destroy whoever wins if it isnt him. If he tells his cult not to vote, they wont. Went as far as to say the other candidates have no real path.
And lastly what about IA caucus voters saying if hayle is the candidate rather than tfg they will vote for president Biden
????
Not worried
czarjak
(13,632 posts)NOBODY is looking for a Republican Alternative, Mike. But , Heck-Of-A-Job-Though.
Bucky
(55,334 posts)You can disagree with Steele, but you'd be disagreeing with numbers. Current polls show
I've been saying this for months, that she's their strongest candidate. If you're thinking Trump voters won't turn out for a different Republican nominee, you're fooling yourself.
I'm not allowed to say that running Biden for a second term was a mistake, so I won't, but he's a far less popular candidate than his economic track record deserves him to be.
Walleye
(44,728 posts)Also dont get discouraged and underestimate Joe. He is a winner
wiggs
(8,795 posts)dropping out.
Steele, along with many, forget that dems haven't even started to make their case for potus. once a gop nominee is established, you'll see massive campaigning by Biden, leading dems, and if it's Trump you'll see many gop and many of Trump's former administration talk about his many, many flaws as a human and as a leader. He is stupendously unfit. That's not even accounting for his legal and civl troubles.
If he doesn't get the nomination after trying for it...he burns the gop to the ground. Lindsey will have been right about something.
Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)He doesn't lose. He gets robbed. He keeps running.
wiggs
(8,795 posts)disease. He'll drop out with assurances of a pardon...he'll blame everyone else for having to step aside and will sue James, Bragg, Jack Smith, Rachel Maddow, and the DNC for election interference. He may even offer to bow out if RNC, GOP, NRA and Haley offer money...for his time and sacrifice. Yes he was robbed again! Send money!
A self pardon is questionable, he won't likely win against Biden anyway, and another loss to Biden validates the 2020 loss
He may not do it this way because of his...limitations...but he edging close to the cliff legally and civilly here and needs an off-ramp badly.
Gidney N Cloyd
(19,847 posts)He just heard from another pundit that "Democrats don't like Joe Biden" and accepted it as beltway conventional wisdom, making it safe for him to repeat on air. Lather Rinse Repeat. He reminds me of some of the lightweights Tweety always had doing panel, filling airtime without dispensing any actual insight.
Response to spanone (Original post)
emulatorloo This message was self-deleted by its author.
blm
(114,648 posts)Ocelot II
(130,462 posts)They're like assholes; everybody's got one, and they all smell.
PatrickforB
(15,420 posts)Trump taking ownership of ending abortion rights. He said that on camera but they didn't even cover it.
But you know Biden's starting to come out swinging.
VMA131Marine
(5,269 posts)Hes running to stay out of jail. That maybe why Nikki promised to pardon him: so he wouldnt run against her if she actually got the nomination.
Freethinker65
(11,203 posts)If convincing people to vote for Haley, tanks Trump's primary run, there is no way Trump wins.
Haley would do better with sane Republicans and moderates, but would lose much of the batshit crazy Trump worshippers. I think even if Haley ran commercials declaring she would pardon Trump of all past and future crimes, and Trump endorsed her, she would not get all of Trump's supporters' votes. And if she promised such a pardon, she would lose some moderate votes.
senseandsensibility
(24,915 posts)he was asked on MSNBC if he would have voted for Hillary under any circumstances. He was supposedly anti- trump then but I'll never forget the way he said "Oh, God, no!" in horror.
Polly Hennessey
(8,820 posts)They will promote and vote for any other Republican.
Warpy
(114,593 posts)would certainly know what Democrats all think.
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)If youre uncomfortable hearing opinions that vary from your own, better off not watching cable news.
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)brush
(61,033 posts)and even if she does, magats won't vote for a woman, women won't vote for her republican abortion stance, and she won't beat Biden. Steele is going by polls 11 months away, with the economy improving everyday.
Have to keep in mind that he's still a republican.
Sneederbunk
(17,477 posts)Walleye
(44,728 posts)Sneederbunk
(17,477 posts)PortTack
(35,820 posts)RockRaven
(19,304 posts)talking head on MSNBC is just as good of a bias/factor.
The prospect of Haley beating Biden (or having a better chance at it than TFG) makes the Repug primary have stakes/importance for their target audience, whereas otherwise it would be uninteresting or a nonstory. Cable news thrives on creating anxiety in the audience so they feel compelled to stay tuned in, to get the next tidbit of otherwise non urgent non useful info.
brush
(61,033 posts)Especially MSNBC compared to FOX. Steele's bleatings don't reach many, and don't amount to much.
Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)A lot of maga fascists will not vote for her.
pinkstarburst
(2,019 posts)I don't think she necessarily beats Biden, but I think the race is more up in the air in a Biden-Haley matchup because there are so many unknown factors.
With Trump/Biden, we've run this race before in 2020. Biden won. The nation has already had 4 years of Trump's crazy and they didn't like it. Now they're also seeing Trump on trial, Trump supporting the Jan 6th insurrection. We will never win over the right wing nuts, but the independents in the middle may shiver at the thought of another 4 years with Trump telling people to drink lysol and that there were airplanes in the American Revolution. Both he and Biden will be in their 80's, but Trump was never smart enough to be president even at the top of his game, and he's demonstrated that.
The issue with Haley is that in a matchup between her and Biden, I think it's closer. Biden's approval numbers aren't great. There are plenty of people who are not thrilled about the idea of an 86 year old president, and Haley is a young, intelligent alternative to that. Haley will have to combat the same things Hillary did--all the sexists who looked at the smartest candidate we ever had to run in 2016 and elected a buffoon instead because they didn't want a woman president. She will have to face all that same sexism, PLUS racism.
The question will then become, in a Biden vs. Haley race, is the country more sexist/racist, or more unhappy about an 86 year old president with Kamala Harris next in line? And then how do they vote in that scenario or do they just stay home?
bullwinkle428
(20,662 posts)the Republicans in the blink of an eye.
vercetti2021
(10,481 posts)MAGA's will never vote for anyone besides him, plus add she is a woman on top of it. Na Biden would beat her. She would need the crazies. There isn't enough moderates or "independents" to swing it to her alone.
AverageOldGuy
(3,796 posts)WarGamer
(18,600 posts)If Trump were defeated in 24 in the Primary (won't happen) no one else would get the Trump base.
Best case scenario for the GOP is for Trump to lose in 24 and then have his base look for the next big thing...
themaguffin
(5,208 posts)Not that it matters because most of her party won't leave trump.
BaronChocula
(4,533 posts)Michael Steele doesn't know that Nikki Haley will beat Biden. If the consumer economy holds now that everyone's tired of predicting recession, Biden will not only have the advantage of the incumbency, but a good economy to run on. Odds will be in Biden's favor. Haley will try to run on her economic record in South Carolina, but Biden will pummel her with the fact that she should thank the Obama Biden Administration for any economic success in her state.
NoMoreRepugs
(12,058 posts)Nasruddin
(1,248 posts)While anything is possible at this stage ...
I'm convinced Nikki Haley is a moron. (See recent gaffe history.)
Like George Bush, but would anyone want to have a beer with her?
Given her gaffe history, I don't think she could even give away that beer on a hot summer day. Could be wrong tho.
MagickMuffin
(18,315 posts)I posted on a thread today about voting for Halley in the primaries just to throw a monkey wrench in their process. I said it was a stupid idea.
2008 we had Rush Limbaugh messing with our primaries in Texas. I worked the Texas Two Step Caucus and believe me there were a lot of republicans in line to (wait for it) vote for Hillary. Not sure why theyd choose Hillary over Barack, cant quite put my finger on it.
Im not in favor of gumming up the works, as there can be consequences they havent thought about.
MichMan
(17,121 posts)Keep them spending campaign money by fighting each other
kimbutgar
(27,237 posts)Some of my friends in school were black and not saying slavery was the reason of the civil will be used against her and she also wasnt the great governor of SC!
Shermann
(9,057 posts)Choosing her on an internet poll while sipping hot chocolate is different from going out into the cold and standing in line to vote for her.
Trueblue Texan
(4,441 posts)No way they will choose a woman over a man...And a woman whose parents weren't born here? that's why so many don't like Kamala! Clearly they don't choose their candidate due to competence--if they did they'd all vote for Biden. The Democrats will vote for Biden. The women and those who care about women will vote Biden-Harris.
Joinfortmill
(21,104 posts)JoseBalow
(9,451 posts)which would split the repug vote, and give the election to Joe.
Then drumpf would claim victory anyways, and keep up the grift as long as he can. His cult will keep giving him money for as long as he can think up reasons to ask for it.
Chainfire
(17,757 posts)Except Trump, he has no balls at all.
Oneironaut
(6,289 posts)That or Jill Stein voters. Ugh...
ArkansasDemocrat1
(3,213 posts)Same shit, different election
betsuni
(29,054 posts)BlueTsunami2018
(4,983 posts)Not because Democrats dont like the President but because all the never Тяцмр Republicans come home with her as the nominee and a sizable portion of the Independents arent enamored of President Biden.
Reality is reality.
Biden is there to beat Тяцмр. I feel like he would squeak it out against DeSantis too. Hes so unlikable and has the charisma of a ten car pileup.
MichMan
(17,121 posts)Doesn't matter who runs against him
Polybius
(21,879 posts)Reagan didn't even win by 20 points in 1984, and he won 49 states.
MichMan
(17,121 posts)Polybius
(21,879 posts)Generational, charismatic, and popular candidates like Reagan, Clinton, and Obama couldn't even do it. It'll be within 5 points or less. Feel free to bookmark.
Raine
(31,174 posts)he runs against.
Response to spanone (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
Polybius
(21,879 posts)That would piss off a huge amount of the electorate.
Response to Polybius (Reply #115)
Name removed Message auto-removed
we can do it
(13,024 posts)Polybius
(21,879 posts)It's an opinion, most polls say it, and many even on DU share it. Doesn't meant we want it to happen. Plus she's not getting the nomination anyway, so no need to worry.
krawhitham
(5,072 posts)roamer65
(37,945 posts)Last edited Mon Jan 15, 2024, 10:25 PM - Edit history (1)
The Dumpists wont allow it. They will rip the GQP to shreds to stop her or anyone other than Dump.
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)LymphocyteLover
(9,814 posts)despite having some good people on there
hay rick
(9,589 posts)I saw a recent segment in which they were interviewing people who said they were going to vote in Iowa's caucus. There were two young black people, a youngish Indian looking male, and a middle-aged white lady. I thought the choice of people to air was extraordinarily unrepresentative of the real expected electorate and was designed to show that ordinary, nice non-white people could seriously be considering which of these fascists might be worthy of their support.
MSNBC's relentless focus on Trump's trials comes at the expense of coverage of other important issues. The whole spectacle is exhausting and debilitating.
viva la
(4,592 posts)Not after Dobbs.
Plus she's such a weasel.
claudette
(5,455 posts)No way would Haley be the first woman president! She's Dump in heels.
OAITW r.2.0
(32,103 posts)angrychair
(12,255 posts)Can't help themselves. That someone who seems as smart as Michael Steele, that he carrying water for Republicans calls that into question.
doc03
(39,075 posts)GoodRaisin
(10,891 posts)If Haley (or anyone) other than Trump won the nomination Trump would lead a magat walkout. With the magats go the election. Trump either goes 3rd party or magats stay home, severely affecting the Republican down ticket. The magats are so far up Trumps ass they will never find their way back.
Renew Deal
(85,101 posts)Jilly_in_VA
(14,344 posts)BUT.....and it's a big one......or several ones...
1. If Slobfather loses, he may decide to take them all down with him.
2. She has the same handicap Hillary had....she's a woman
3. Plus another one.....she's a brown person, and a lot of racists ain't gonna vote that way.
FlyingPiggy
(3,748 posts)shrike3
(5,370 posts)Been the media narrative for a while now.