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Michael Steele on MSNBC just said if Haley gets the nomination she beats Biden (Original Post) spanone Jan 2024 OP
Keep in mind he is former RNC chair... walkingman Jan 2024 #1
exactly bdamomma Jan 2024 #4
Michael Steele is like most never-Trumpers.. agingdem Jan 2024 #24
Once a Republican...... montanacowboy Jan 2024 #2
Haley will win, yeah right! TheBlackAdder Jan 2024 #95
Michael Steele bdamomma Jan 2024 #3
It IS possible that repugs could join together and act OnDoutside Jan 2024 #5
What? Republicans just *ignoring* the parts of history that they don't like to think about? Bucky Jan 2024 #46
Indeed so ! OnDoutside Jan 2024 #143
He's still a ReTHUG malaise Jan 2024 #6
I'm sure most Republicans will vote a woman to be President. LiberalFighter Jan 2024 #7
If they haven't killed them off by then. n/t North Shore Chicago Jan 2024 #22
There you go. It'll never happen. It's always a white male for them. brush Jan 2024 #66
Nailed it! PortTack Jan 2024 #99
Because Haley is so likable? Johonny Jan 2024 #8
Haley is on the wrong side of abortion...she will lose. They all will...soon no GOP in any Demsrule86 Jan 2024 #20
Dipshit will still scream " the nomination was stollen from me.!" ProudMNDemocrat Jan 2024 #9
Love the "stollen" reference! Lemonwurst Jan 2024 #84
Well, I sure markodochartaigh Jan 2024 #91
If the one-issue self-identified progressives play the same circular firing squad they did in JohnSJ Jan 2024 #10
Hello there aurora the great Jan 2024 #14
Hamas/Israel in 2024. In 2016, it was their Hillary hatred JohnSJ Jan 2024 #33
Which has fd-all to do with Haley. Voltaire2 Jan 2024 #64
No he is not right. Haley is not liked by progressives...she is hard right. Demsrule86 Jan 2024 #23
My point isn't that they would vote for Haley, but they wouldn't vote for Biden, and independents would shift to JohnSJ Jan 2024 #34
Oh sure the theory that it wasn't disgruntled blue collar midwestern men Voltaire2 Jan 2024 #68
This message was self-deleted by its author emulatorloo Jan 2024 #107
In 2016 in every critical swing state Hillary lost by less than 1%, while JohnSJ Jan 2024 #127
Nah, many independents are left-leaning, and many are women... brush Jan 2024 #72
Could be, elleng Jan 2024 #36
I think the problem is Haley could attract independents if she was the nominee, and that would hurt us. JohnSJ Jan 2024 #37
No doubt about that. elleng Jan 2024 #40
I think the odds are that trump will be their nominee though JohnSJ Jan 2024 #41
Surely those are the odds. elleng Jan 2024 #42
I don't see Dem leaning independents going for her, she's still wrong on abortion and not emulatorloo Jan 2024 #49
center right independents. nt. Voltaire2 Jan 2024 #69
The only voters Haley appeals to are center right voters Voltaire2 Jan 2024 #63
One man's opinon. ificandream Jan 2024 #11
Not really... GhostHunter22 Jan 2024 #139
If Haley gets the Republican nomination TexasBushwhacker Jan 2024 #12
If trump runs as an independent, it is almost a certainty we would win JohnSJ Jan 2024 #35
I agree. But we have to remember TexasBushwhacker Jan 2024 #58
If it's about the money, then President Biden is sitting pretty with his record breaking 97 mil in the last qrt of '23 PortTack Jan 2024 #100
I don't buy that. Elessar Zappa Jan 2024 #13
Yes he will Buckeyeblue Jan 2024 #16
Every day, I hope to hear that he has croaked. 3catwoman3 Jan 2024 #125
"unless he drops dead" Talitha Jan 2024 #132
Exactly...he's already ruined little white boots..of course white boots hasn't helped his cause PortTack Jan 2024 #102
In the highly unlikely event Haley were to win the nomination... Silent3 Jan 2024 #15
Haley isn't winning the nomination and even if she did . . . peggysue2 Jan 2024 #17
⬆️⬆️⬆️⬆️⬆️⬆️⬆️⬆️ spanone Jan 2024 #18
Maga won't vote for her, they will probably stay home and whoever Bev54 Jan 2024 #60
Exactly, how are you going to vote for somebody Trump called birdbrain if you're a maga Walleye Jan 2024 #82
Michael Steele has really gone downhill since her days of playing bass in the bangles. unblock Jan 2024 #19
Politics will do that to you. spanone Jan 2024 #21
She's not White. Yavin4 Jan 2024 #25
Oh, I actually believe that she will get the nomination. Dan Jan 2024 #45
And not a white man either. Magats won't vote for a woman. brush Jan 2024 #76
He's so sure a woman of color can win potus? lindysalsagal Jan 2024 #26
Yesh. She may not be black, but she aint white.... getagrip_already Jan 2024 #31
And Republicans won't like Nikki Haley - at least the MAGAt contingent won't. Ocelot II Jan 2024 #27
How Full of SHIT Can you GET, MS. Cha Jan 2024 #28
It is going to be a long year. Chainfire Jan 2024 #29
I whole heartedly disagree... 2naSalit Jan 2024 #30
You think Trump voters won't vote for a different Republican nominee? Bucky Jan 2024 #44
Polls... 2naSalit Jan 2024 #47
It's okay to deny the facts we don't like right now. Bucky Jan 2024 #50
Republicans won't vote for a woman, and trump ain't beating all of those 91 felony charges. brush Jan 2024 #79
Right wing owned media....of course the poll is going to say the gqp candidate will win regardless PortTack Jan 2024 #92
Didn't Rushbo set him straight regarding The Rich White Guy Party? czarjak Jan 2024 #32
Steele might be right. 10 months is a long time, but he can read the current polls Bucky Jan 2024 #38
Magas aren't going to vote for anybody who beat Trump Walleye Jan 2024 #88
This PortTack Jan 2024 #103
Only if Trump endorses her. And there are many reasons why he should endorse her, after wiggs Jan 2024 #39
lol 'after trump drops out' Voltaire2 Jan 2024 #73
Right. Never loses which is why another loss will be intolerable given his wiggs Jan 2024 #112
Steele's never been a pundit of any great depth. Gidney N Cloyd Jan 2024 #43
This message was self-deleted by its author emulatorloo Jan 2024 #48
And Trump cult doesn't like anyone BUT Trump. blm Jan 2024 #51
You know what they say about opinions - Ocelot II Jan 2024 #52
Well, still early days, and I haven't noticed the media covering PatrickforB Jan 2024 #53
Nikki won't win because Trump will run third party VMA131Marine Jan 2024 #54
They will say anything to have Trump not win the Presidency. It is that important that Trump loses. Freethinker65 Jan 2024 #55
When Steele was beginning his journey away from the repugs senseandsensibility Jan 2024 #56
Exactly. "Never tRumpers" just hate tRump. Polly Hennessey Jan 2024 #57
A Republican who lives in the Republican bubble Warpy Jan 2024 #59
Steele wants to defeat Trump... brooklynite Jan 2024 #61
Agree 100% Laura PourMeADrink Jan 2024 #122
Fu_k that. He's still a republican. Haley isn't getting the nod... brush Jan 2024 #62
She can't beat TFG in her home state. Sneederbunk Jan 2024 #65
That's funny because TFG never won New York, his home state Walleye Jan 2024 #94
Trump won the 2016 NY presidential primary. Sneederbunk Jan 2024 #101
More than likely...and very telling PortTack Jan 2024 #104
Lots of people chalking it up to him being a GrOPer, but him being a RockRaven Jan 2024 #67
The cable new audience is a very small slice of the electorate. brush Jan 2024 #86
If Trump is not the nominee the republicans will lose by an even larger margin Voltaire2 Jan 2024 #70
I think Haley is harder to beat than Trump pinkstarburst Jan 2024 #71
Absolutely wishful thinking on Steele's part. He would run back to bullwinkle428 Jan 2024 #74
I doubt it vercetti2021 Jan 2024 #75
Will Trump campaign for Haley??? AverageOldGuy Jan 2024 #77
Disagree. WarGamer Jan 2024 #78
She would appeal to never trumpers or trump voters who hold their nose, BUT she's not getting any Dem voters. None. themaguffin Jan 2024 #80
People and their predictions BaronChocula Jan 2024 #81
Oh please. What BULLSHIT. NoMoreRepugs Jan 2024 #83
While anything is possible Nasruddin Jan 2024 #85
And this is the reason NOT to vote in their primaries MagickMuffin Jan 2024 #87
I think they wanted to make sure the primary battle dragged out as long as possible MichMan Jan 2024 #121
Haley will not get the nomination and will not beat Joe Biden kimbutgar Jan 2024 #89
Haley has an enthusiasm problem with her "supporters" Shermann Jan 2024 #90
Clearly, he doesn't know what he's talking about...even in his own party. Trueblue Texan Jan 2024 #93
Remember who he is. Joinfortmill Jan 2024 #96
drumpf would keep grifting as an independent JoseBalow Jan 2024 #97
It is election year and everybody has crystal balls. Chainfire Jan 2024 #98
It depends how many Free Palestine dummies decide to not vote / vote for Trump. Oneironaut Jan 2024 #105
SS; DE ArkansasDemocrat1 Jan 2024 #141
She's "establishment." Not going to "inspire" the radical racist Trump base nuts. betsuni Jan 2024 #106
I feel like she probably would too. BlueTsunami2018 Jan 2024 #108
President Biden is going to win by 20 points MichMan Jan 2024 #109
No he's not Polybius Jan 2024 #114
Mondale wasn't in jail with a life sentence MichMan Jan 2024 #118
The country is too divided for any candidate to win by that much Polybius Jan 2024 #128
IMO it will be a real squeaker no matter who Raine Jan 2024 #119
Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2024 #110
He's not dumping Kamala Harris Polybius Jan 2024 #115
Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2024 #124
Who here wants Nikkki as candidate? we can do it Jan 2024 #111
So? Polybius Jan 2024 #113
I get the fear, but trump will burn it all down if he loses, he will tell his followers to stay home and not vote krawhitham Jan 2024 #116
She won't get the nomination. roamer65 Jan 2024 #117
OMG...he was just looking at poll. Is ALL reality gone? Laura PourMeADrink Jan 2024 #120
MSNBC is NOT OUR FRIEND at all LymphocyteLover Jan 2024 #123
Agree. hay rick Jan 2024 #134
An anti-choice candidate is NOT going to get many crossover votes-- viva la Jan 2024 #126
Never happen claudette Jan 2024 #129
Mike doing his part, keeping eyeballs on MSNBC/2024 OAITW r.2.0 Jan 2024 #130
Republican is a Republican angrychair Jan 2024 #131
It doesn't matter she won't get the nomination anyway nt doc03 Jan 2024 #133
Michael Steele is wrong. GoodRaisin Jan 2024 #135
Do you agree? Renew Deal Jan 2024 #136
Conceivably she could Jilly_in_VA Jan 2024 #137
Oh FFS!!! Democrats hate Trump even more!!! WTF is wrong w Steele? FlyingPiggy Jan 2024 #138
Yeah, that's the narrative, "Everybody hates Joe Biden. Even Democrats." shrike3 Jan 2024 #140
Fuck the MSM, fuck their greed ArkansasDemocrat1 Jan 2024 #142

agingdem

(8,836 posts)
24. Michael Steele is like most never-Trumpers..
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 06:21 PM
Jan 2024

they hate Trump more than they hate Democrats...but if it's a choice between a Republican "anybody but Trump" and Democrat Joe Biden, they will revert to GOP asshole type...maybe Michael Steele is down with Haley's absurd blathering response to the cause of the Civil War...it was slavery, stupid!!

montanacowboy

(6,712 posts)
2. Once a Republican......
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 05:40 PM
Jan 2024

they only espouse our side when it is advantageous for them; then they turn in a minute when they see an opportunity for their side. Fuck all Republicans, all worthless bags of shit.

bdamomma

(69,526 posts)
3. Michael Steele
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 05:44 PM
Jan 2024

doesn't know what he's talking about. It's going to be dog and pony show till we get to November.
They will say anything to get ratings, and throw doubt on President Biden.

I'll watch Joy but that's it for the night. I've been binge watching Deadwood.

OnDoutside

(20,868 posts)
5. It IS possible that repugs could join together and act
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 05:45 PM
Jan 2024

as if Trump never existed. They'd airbrush him, and her. That said I stick by my belief that this is a Biden v trump contest

Bucky

(55,334 posts)
46. What? Republicans just *ignoring* the parts of history that they don't like to think about?
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:19 PM
Jan 2024

Say it ain't so, OnDou!

Demsrule86

(71,542 posts)
20. Haley is on the wrong side of abortion...she will lose. They all will...soon no GOP in any
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 06:17 PM
Jan 2024

election will be safe. When voters realize the only way to stop the assault on women is to toss them out. I don't know if it will be this year. But it is coming.

ProudMNDemocrat

(20,878 posts)
9. Dipshit will still scream " the nomination was stollen from me.!"
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 05:51 PM
Jan 2024

He will then launch an Independent run and slam Haley.

I also could be wrong. For both could lose Women, the younger voters, even African-Americans and Latinos, and other voting blocs.

Lemonwurst

(327 posts)
84. Love the "stollen" reference!
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:26 PM
Jan 2024

I often don’t think his misspellings are accidental. His staff, whatever that means, likely lets them happen to help the rubes think he’s “one of them”!

 

JohnSJ

(98,883 posts)
10. If the one-issue self-identified progressives play the same circular firing squad they did in
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 05:54 PM
Jan 2024

2016, Steele is probably right.

If Trump is their nominee we should win, as long as women, life long Democrats, and independents come out and vote. The so-called self-identified progressives are not a reliable voting block



aurora the great

(142 posts)
14. Hello there
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 06:03 PM
Jan 2024
I don't want to appear stupid, but I am not a progressive. (not that there's anything wrong with that) Just had to ask what is the one issue progressives rally around? Thank you
 

JohnSJ

(98,883 posts)
34. My point isn't that they would vote for Haley, but they wouldn't vote for Biden, and independents would shift to
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 06:58 PM
Jan 2024

a Haley candidate over Biden, but not a trump candidacy

Voltaire2

(15,377 posts)
68. Oh sure the theory that it wasn't disgruntled blue collar midwestern men
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:02 PM
Jan 2024

who didn't show up for Clinton in critical states, it was somehow leftist voters who were primarily in east and west coast urban blue states that magically caused Clinton to lose swing states she should have won.

Response to Voltaire2 (Reply #68)

 

JohnSJ

(98,883 posts)
127. In 2016 in every critical swing state Hillary lost by less than 1%, while
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 10:20 PM
Jan 2024

Jill Stein received 1% in those critical swing states

It didn’t take much but it made a difference

Those same “leftists voters” are already saying they won’t vote for Biden in 2024 because of the Israeli Gaza situation

Those self identified progressives are not that reliable. 2000 and 2016 demonstrated that.

Hell, even integral members of the Sanders campaign couldn’t be convinced to vote for Hillary in 2016, even though the SC was at stake. David Sirota, Nina Turner, Cornell West, Briahna Joy Gray.

Cornell West is running as an independent, and the polls indicate his candidacy will hurt Biden.

So believe what you want, but the numbers say differently

The stakes could not be higher

 

brush

(61,033 posts)
72. Nah, many independents are left-leaning, and many are women...
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:05 PM
Jan 2024

who don't like republicans' abortion policies. Your logic is faulty.

elleng

(141,926 posts)
36. Could be,
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:02 PM
Jan 2024

sadly, we're 'good' at that.

(Contrary to the apparent views of 'some' here, Steele knows what he's talking about.)

 

JohnSJ

(98,883 posts)
37. I think the problem is Haley could attract independents if she was the nominee, and that would hurt us.
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:04 PM
Jan 2024

emulatorloo

(46,155 posts)
49. I don't see Dem leaning independents going for her, she's still wrong on abortion and not
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:32 PM
Jan 2024

as ‘moderate’ on other issues as she may appear to be. Been wrong before though.

Voltaire2

(15,377 posts)
63. The only voters Haley appeals to are center right voters
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:58 PM
Jan 2024

who are uncomfortable with Trump. But sure bash the left.

 

GhostHunter22

(95 posts)
139. Not really...
Tue Jan 16, 2024, 11:02 AM
Jan 2024
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/nikki-haley-fares-best-against-biden-2024-presidential-election-poll/

"While Republican primary voters think Donald Trump is their best shot in November, it's Nikki Haley who right now holds a bigger lead over Joe Biden than either Trump or Ron DeSantis in potential head-to-head match-ups.”

…From the article (and poll).

TexasBushwhacker

(21,196 posts)
12. If Haley gets the Republican nomination
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 05:57 PM
Jan 2024

Trump will run as an Independent or encourage his minions to write him in.

TexasBushwhacker

(21,196 posts)
58. I agree. But we have to remember
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:53 PM
Jan 2024

as long as he's "running", even if it's impossible for him to win, he is still "fund raising" and skimming those bucks into offshore accounts. It always was about money and it still is.

PortTack

(35,820 posts)
100. If it's about the money, then President Biden is sitting pretty with his record breaking 97 mil in the last qrt of '23
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:52 PM
Jan 2024

Elessar Zappa

(16,385 posts)
13. I don't buy that.
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 06:01 PM
Jan 2024

If Trump loses the nomination, he’ll spend every waking minute tearing Haley down and making her persona-non-grata in the eyes of the magat base and enough will stay home to ensure a Biden victory.

Buckeyeblue

(6,349 posts)
16. Yes he will
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 06:04 PM
Jan 2024

I can't envision the scenario that Trump doesn't get the nominee, unless he drops dead.

PortTack

(35,820 posts)
102. Exactly...he's already ruined little white boots..of course white boots hasn't helped his cause
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:54 PM
Jan 2024

Wait till he takes the gloves off with her!

 

Silent3

(15,909 posts)
15. In the highly unlikely event Haley were to win the nomination...
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 06:03 PM
Jan 2024

...Trump, then, unless Trump keels over from a heart attack (or Haley wins the nomination because Trump already had a heart attack), Trump runs as an independent.

In a three way Biden/Haley/Trump match up, I think it's most likely that Haley and Trump steal more votes from each other than from Biden, and Biden gets the plurality and wins.

If it's just Biden/Haley, I see Republican base enthusiasm being very low. Many would-be Trump voters write in Trump (even if he's dead) or stay home. Biden wins.

Am I certain of all this? Of course not. But I this is more plausible than Haley beating Trump.

peggysue2

(12,529 posts)
17. Haley isn't winning the nomination and even if she did . . .
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 06:07 PM
Jan 2024

MAGA would never vote for a woman (or anyone else besides Trump) and Donnie has already tagged Haley as ineligible bc of her immigrant parents. That stigma will stick, even though it's bogus.

Anyone taking this nomination from Trump would be hounded, harassed and intimidated up until Election Day and beyond. If Trump can't have the spot, nobody will have the spot. He'd burn the Republican Party down first while dragging the rest of country through the dirt.

It's who the man is.

As for MAGA? I just listened a series of MAGAs tell a CNN reporter they'd rather vote for Trump as a dictator than Joe Biden as a president.

They are totally lost to the madness.

Bev54

(13,428 posts)
60. Maga won't vote for her, they will probably stay home and whoever
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:55 PM
Jan 2024

Is the republican nominee needs Maga to win

Walleye

(44,724 posts)
82. Exactly, how are you going to vote for somebody Trump called birdbrain if you're a maga
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:22 PM
Jan 2024

Dan

(5,154 posts)
45. Oh, I actually believe that she will get the nomination.
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:18 PM
Jan 2024

Not because of her qualifications, but because I believe the SCOTUS will determine that Trump is not eligible.

But, I also believe that she doesn’t understand her party, there are a couple of reasons that they won’t come out and vote for her.

1. She is not White.

2. She is a female and doesn’t understand her place.

lindysalsagal

(22,903 posts)
26. He's so sure a woman of color can win potus?
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 06:23 PM
Jan 2024

I wish that were possible, in this year where half the country wants to return our laws to the 17th century. But, ok! Whatever! Biden's gottit.

getagrip_already

(17,802 posts)
31. Yesh. She may not be black, but she aint white....
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 06:33 PM
Jan 2024

According to magats. And she is a she thing.

And her parents are they things.

Three strikes. Sorry mike.

Ocelot II

(130,447 posts)
27. And Republicans won't like Nikki Haley - at least the MAGAt contingent won't.
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 06:26 PM
Jan 2024

TFG will do everything he can to bring her down in the unlikely event she's the nominee. He'd rather see her lose to Biden than win the presidency that he thinks he was deprived of. And the MAGAts won't vote for a brown woman who's the daughter of immigrants; they'd stay home.

Bucky

(55,334 posts)
44. You think Trump voters won't vote for a different Republican nominee?
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:16 PM
Jan 2024

I don't think that's a realistic view. The current polling is not unambiguous. Trump is their weakest candidate and is beating Biden by 2%. Haley is beating Biden by 8%. Trump's voters just suddenly not caring anymore isn't a wise strategy.

A lot of people voted against Trump in 2020 because they were tired of the divisiveness and the incompetence. If Haley's the nominee, she'll be the face that people associate with ending partisanship. That's exactly how Dubya bamboozled the voters in 2000. It's not a hard pose to strike.

2naSalit

(102,634 posts)
47. Polls...
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:20 PM
Jan 2024

Schmolls, they don't carry much weight for me since they are so often wrong and are easily manipulated anymore.

Bucky

(55,334 posts)
50. It's okay to deny the facts we don't like right now.
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:33 PM
Jan 2024

But at some point we're gonna have to grapple with the fact that a well-managed economy, a scandal-free administration, and an inept opposition in Congress isn't keeping Biden from historically lousy approval ratings. Biden (despite being an effective president) s a weak candidate, if you go by the numbers. Saying "Oh I don't believe polls cause they could be wrong" isn't getting ready for a very tough election. I don't think it's a smart strategy. In some ways, it feels almost like we're re-running the 2016 campaign plan. I didn't like how that one turned out.

 

brush

(61,033 posts)
79. Republicans won't vote for a woman, and trump ain't beating all of those 91 felony charges.
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:16 PM
Jan 2024

Biden will win. The polls now don't mean sh_t.

PortTack

(35,820 posts)
92. Right wing owned media....of course the poll is going to say the gqp candidate will win regardless
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:33 PM
Jan 2024

This isn’t about not liking what the polls say, the polls have been worthless for at least the last 3 election cycles.
It’s about the gqp overturning RvW and 75+ % of Americans are still furious
It’s about the Dems over performing, last year winning 24 out of 30 special and off yr elections
It’s about hayle being a woman and not white enough to suit them
George Conway said it best on CNN over the weekend saying tfg will destroy whoever wins if it isn’t him. If he tells his cult not to vote, they won’t. Went as far as to say the other candidates have no real path.
And lastly what about IA caucus voters saying if hayle is the candidate rather than tfg they will vote for president Biden

????

Not worried

czarjak

(13,629 posts)
32. Didn't Rushbo set him straight regarding The Rich White Guy Party?
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 06:34 PM
Jan 2024

NOBODY is looking for a Republican Alternative, Mike. But , Heck-Of-A-Job-Though.

Bucky

(55,334 posts)
38. Steele might be right. 10 months is a long time, but he can read the current polls
Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:06 PM
Jan 2024

You can disagree with Steele, but you'd be disagreeing with numbers. Current polls show

  • Trump beating Biden by 2 points
  • DeSantis beating Biden by 3 points
  • Haley beating Biden by 8 points

    I've been saying this for months, that she's their strongest candidate. If you're thinking Trump voters won't turn out for a different Republican nominee, you're fooling yourself.

    I'm not allowed to say that running Biden for a second term was a mistake, so I won't, but he's a far less popular candidate than his economic track record deserves him to be.
  • Walleye

    (44,724 posts)
    88. Magas aren't going to vote for anybody who beat Trump
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:28 PM
    Jan 2024

    Also don’t get discouraged and underestimate Joe. He is a winner

    wiggs

    (8,791 posts)
    39. Only if Trump endorses her. And there are many reasons why he should endorse her, after
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:07 PM
    Jan 2024

    dropping out.

    Steele, along with many, forget that dems haven't even started to make their case for potus. once a gop nominee is established, you'll see massive campaigning by Biden, leading dems, and if it's Trump you'll see many gop and many of Trump's former administration talk about his many, many flaws as a human and as a leader. He is stupendously unfit. That's not even accounting for his legal and civl troubles.

    If he doesn't get the nomination after trying for it...he burns the gop to the ground. Lindsey will have been right about something.

    wiggs

    (8,791 posts)
    112. Right. Never loses which is why another loss will be intolerable given his
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 09:34 PM
    Jan 2024

    disease. He'll drop out with assurances of a pardon...he'll blame everyone else for having to step aside and will sue James, Bragg, Jack Smith, Rachel Maddow, and the DNC for election interference. He may even offer to bow out if RNC, GOP, NRA and Haley offer money...for his time and sacrifice. Yes he was robbed again! Send money!

    A self pardon is questionable, he won't likely win against Biden anyway, and another loss to Biden validates the 2020 loss

    He may not do it this way because of his...limitations...but he edging close to the cliff legally and civilly here and needs an off-ramp badly.

    Gidney N Cloyd

    (19,847 posts)
    43. Steele's never been a pundit of any great depth.
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:14 PM
    Jan 2024

    He just heard from another pundit that "Democrats don't like Joe Biden" and accepted it as beltway conventional wisdom, making it safe for him to repeat on air. Lather Rinse Repeat. He reminds me of some of the lightweights Tweety always had doing panel, filling airtime without dispensing any actual insight.

    Response to spanone (Original post)

    Ocelot II

    (130,447 posts)
    52. You know what they say about opinions -
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:41 PM
    Jan 2024

    They're like assholes; everybody's got one, and they all smell.

    PatrickforB

    (15,420 posts)
    53. Well, still early days, and I haven't noticed the media covering
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:44 PM
    Jan 2024

    Trump taking ownership of ending abortion rights. He said that on camera but they didn't even cover it.

    But you know Biden's starting to come out swinging.

    VMA131Marine

    (5,267 posts)
    54. Nikki won't win because Trump will run third party
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:45 PM
    Jan 2024

    He’s running to stay out of jail. That maybe why Nikki promised to pardon him: so he wouldn’t run against her if she actually got the nomination.

    Freethinker65

    (11,203 posts)
    55. They will say anything to have Trump not win the Presidency. It is that important that Trump loses.
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:46 PM
    Jan 2024

    If convincing people to vote for Haley, tanks Trump's primary run, there is no way Trump wins.

    Haley would do better with sane Republicans and moderates, but would lose much of the batshit crazy Trump worshippers. I think even if Haley ran commercials declaring she would pardon Trump of all past and future crimes, and Trump endorsed her, she would not get all of Trump's supporters' votes. And if she promised such a pardon, she would lose some moderate votes.

    senseandsensibility

    (24,905 posts)
    56. When Steele was beginning his journey away from the repugs
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:47 PM
    Jan 2024

    he was asked on MSNBC if he would have voted for Hillary under any circumstances. He was supposedly anti- trump then but I'll never forget the way he said "Oh, God, no!" in horror.

    Warpy

    (114,590 posts)
    59. A Republican who lives in the Republican bubble
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:53 PM
    Jan 2024

    would certainly know what Democrats all think.

     

    brooklynite

    (96,882 posts)
    61. Steele wants to defeat Trump...
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:55 PM
    Jan 2024

    If you’re uncomfortable hearing opinions that vary from your own, better off not watching cable news.

     

    brush

    (61,033 posts)
    62. Fu_k that. He's still a republican. Haley isn't getting the nod...
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 07:57 PM
    Jan 2024

    and even if she does, magats won't vote for a woman, women won't vote for her republican abortion stance, and she won't beat Biden. Steele is going by polls 11 months away, with the economy improving everyday.

    Have to keep in mind that he's still a republican.

    RockRaven

    (19,295 posts)
    67. Lots of people chalking it up to him being a GrOPer, but him being a
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:02 PM
    Jan 2024

    talking head on MSNBC is just as good of a bias/factor.

    The prospect of Haley beating Biden (or having a better chance at it than TFG) makes the Repug primary have stakes/importance for their target audience, whereas otherwise it would be uninteresting or a nonstory. Cable news thrives on creating anxiety in the audience so they feel compelled to stay tuned in, to get the next tidbit of otherwise non urgent non useful info.

     

    brush

    (61,033 posts)
    86. The cable new audience is a very small slice of the electorate.
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:26 PM
    Jan 2024

    Especially MSNBC compared to FOX. Steele's bleatings don't reach many, and don't amount to much.

    Voltaire2

    (15,377 posts)
    70. If Trump is not the nominee the republicans will lose by an even larger margin
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:04 PM
    Jan 2024

    A lot of maga fascists will not vote for her.

    pinkstarburst

    (2,019 posts)
    71. I think Haley is harder to beat than Trump
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:05 PM
    Jan 2024

    I don't think she necessarily beats Biden, but I think the race is more up in the air in a Biden-Haley matchup because there are so many unknown factors.

    With Trump/Biden, we've run this race before in 2020. Biden won. The nation has already had 4 years of Trump's crazy and they didn't like it. Now they're also seeing Trump on trial, Trump supporting the Jan 6th insurrection. We will never win over the right wing nuts, but the independents in the middle may shiver at the thought of another 4 years with Trump telling people to drink lysol and that there were airplanes in the American Revolution. Both he and Biden will be in their 80's, but Trump was never smart enough to be president even at the top of his game, and he's demonstrated that.

    The issue with Haley is that in a matchup between her and Biden, I think it's closer. Biden's approval numbers aren't great. There are plenty of people who are not thrilled about the idea of an 86 year old president, and Haley is a young, intelligent alternative to that. Haley will have to combat the same things Hillary did--all the sexists who looked at the smartest candidate we ever had to run in 2016 and elected a buffoon instead because they didn't want a woman president. She will have to face all that same sexism, PLUS racism.

    The question will then become, in a Biden vs. Haley race, is the country more sexist/racist, or more unhappy about an 86 year old president with Kamala Harris next in line? And then how do they vote in that scenario or do they just stay home?

    bullwinkle428

    (20,662 posts)
    74. Absolutely wishful thinking on Steele's part. He would run back to
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:07 PM
    Jan 2024

    the Republicans in the blink of an eye.

     

    vercetti2021

    (10,481 posts)
    75. I doubt it
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:07 PM
    Jan 2024

    MAGA's will never vote for anyone besides him, plus add she is a woman on top of it. Na Biden would beat her. She would need the crazies. There isn't enough moderates or "independents" to swing it to her alone.

    WarGamer

    (18,590 posts)
    78. Disagree.
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:12 PM
    Jan 2024

    If Trump were defeated in 24 in the Primary (won't happen) no one else would get the Trump base.

    Best case scenario for the GOP is for Trump to lose in 24 and then have his base look for the next big thing...



    themaguffin

    (5,207 posts)
    80. She would appeal to never trumpers or trump voters who hold their nose, BUT she's not getting any Dem voters. None.
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:18 PM
    Jan 2024

    Not that it matters because most of her party won't leave trump.

    BaronChocula

    (4,528 posts)
    81. People and their predictions
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:19 PM
    Jan 2024

    Michael Steele doesn't know that Nikki Haley will beat Biden. If the consumer economy holds now that everyone's tired of predicting recession, Biden will not only have the advantage of the incumbency, but a good economy to run on. Odds will be in Biden's favor. Haley will try to run on her economic record in South Carolina, but Biden will pummel her with the fact that she should thank the Obama Biden Administration for any economic success in her state.

    Nasruddin

    (1,244 posts)
    85. While anything is possible
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:26 PM
    Jan 2024

    While anything is possible at this stage ...
    I'm convinced Nikki Haley is a moron. (See recent gaffe history.)
    Like George Bush, but would anyone want to have a beer with her?
    Given her gaffe history, I don't think she could even give away that beer on a hot summer day. Could be wrong tho.




    MagickMuffin

    (18,315 posts)
    87. And this is the reason NOT to vote in their primaries
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:27 PM
    Jan 2024


    I posted on a thread today about voting for Halley in the primaries just to throw a monkey wrench in their process. I said it was a stupid idea.

    2008 we had Rush Limbaugh messing with our primaries in Texas. I worked the Texas Two Step Caucus and believe me there were a lot of republicans in line to (wait for it) vote for Hillary. Not sure why they’d choose Hillary over Barack, can’t quite put my finger on it.


    I’m not in favor of gumming up the works, as there can be consequences they haven’t thought about.


    MichMan

    (17,117 posts)
    121. I think they wanted to make sure the primary battle dragged out as long as possible
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 10:10 PM
    Jan 2024

    Keep them spending campaign money by fighting each other

    kimbutgar

    (27,234 posts)
    89. Haley will not get the nomination and will not beat Joe Biden
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:29 PM
    Jan 2024

    Some of my friends in school were black and not saying slavery was the reason of the civil will be used against her and she also wasn’t the great governor of SC!

    Shermann

    (9,057 posts)
    90. Haley has an enthusiasm problem with her "supporters"
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:30 PM
    Jan 2024

    Choosing her on an internet poll while sipping hot chocolate is different from going out into the cold and standing in line to vote for her.

    Trueblue Texan

    (4,440 posts)
    93. Clearly, he doesn't know what he's talking about...even in his own party.
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:34 PM
    Jan 2024

    No way they will choose a woman over a man...And a woman whose parents weren't born here? that's why so many don't like Kamala! Clearly they don't choose their candidate due to competence--if they did they'd all vote for Biden. The Democrats will vote for Biden. The women and those who care about women will vote Biden-Harris.

    JoseBalow

    (9,451 posts)
    97. drumpf would keep grifting as an independent
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:38 PM
    Jan 2024

    which would split the repug vote, and give the election to Joe.

    Then drumpf would claim victory anyways, and keep up the grift as long as he can. His cult will keep giving him money for as long as he can think up reasons to ask for it.

     

    Chainfire

    (17,757 posts)
    98. It is election year and everybody has crystal balls.
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 08:38 PM
    Jan 2024

    Except Trump, he has no balls at all.

    Oneironaut

    (6,289 posts)
    105. It depends how many Free Palestine dummies decide to not vote / vote for Trump.
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 09:08 PM
    Jan 2024

    That or Jill Stein voters. Ugh...

    BlueTsunami2018

    (4,982 posts)
    108. I feel like she probably would too.
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 09:19 PM
    Jan 2024

    Not because Democrats don’t like the President but because all the never Тяцмр Republicans come home with her as the nominee and a sizable portion of the Independents aren’t enamored of President Biden.

    Reality is reality.

    Biden is there to beat Тяцмр. I feel like he would squeak it out against DeSantis too. He’s so unlikable and has the charisma of a ten car pileup.

    Polybius

    (21,879 posts)
    128. The country is too divided for any candidate to win by that much
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 10:20 PM
    Jan 2024

    Generational, charismatic, and popular candidates like Reagan, Clinton, and Obama couldn't even do it. It'll be within 5 points or less. Feel free to bookmark.

    Response to spanone (Original post)

    Response to Polybius (Reply #115)

    Polybius

    (21,879 posts)
    113. So?
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 09:40 PM
    Jan 2024

    It's an opinion, most polls say it, and many even on DU share it. Doesn't meant we want it to happen. Plus she's not getting the nomination anyway, so no need to worry.

    krawhitham

    (5,072 posts)
    116. I get the fear, but trump will burn it all down if he loses, he will tell his followers to stay home and not vote
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 09:53 PM
    Jan 2024


    roamer65

    (37,945 posts)
    117. She won't get the nomination.
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 09:55 PM
    Jan 2024

    Last edited Mon Jan 15, 2024, 10:25 PM - Edit history (1)

    The Dumpists won’t allow it. They will rip the GQP to shreds to stop her or anyone other than Dump.

    hay rick

    (9,589 posts)
    134. Agree.
    Tue Jan 16, 2024, 01:14 AM
    Jan 2024

    I saw a recent segment in which they were interviewing people who said they were going to vote in Iowa's caucus. There were two young black people, a youngish Indian looking male, and a middle-aged white lady. I thought the choice of people to air was extraordinarily unrepresentative of the real expected electorate and was designed to show that ordinary, nice non-white people could seriously be considering which of these fascists might be worthy of their support.

    MSNBC's relentless focus on Trump's trials comes at the expense of coverage of other important issues. The whole spectacle is exhausting and debilitating.

    viva la

    (4,591 posts)
    126. An anti-choice candidate is NOT going to get many crossover votes--
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 10:19 PM
    Jan 2024

    Not after Dobbs.

    Plus she's such a weasel.

    angrychair

    (12,250 posts)
    131. Republican is a Republican
    Mon Jan 15, 2024, 10:55 PM
    Jan 2024

    Can't help themselves. That someone who seems as smart as Michael Steele, that he carrying water for Republicans calls that into question.

    GoodRaisin

    (10,888 posts)
    135. Michael Steele is wrong.
    Tue Jan 16, 2024, 03:00 AM
    Jan 2024

    If Haley (or anyone) other than Trump won the nomination Trump would lead a magat walkout. With the magats go the election. Trump either goes 3rd party or magats stay home, severely affecting the Republican down ticket. The magats are so far up Trump’s ass they will never find their way back.

    Jilly_in_VA

    (14,344 posts)
    137. Conceivably she could
    Tue Jan 16, 2024, 08:01 AM
    Jan 2024

    BUT.....and it's a big one......or several ones...

    1. If Slobfather loses, he may decide to take them all down with him.
    2. She has the same handicap Hillary had....she's a woman
    3. Plus another one.....she's a brown person, and a lot of racists ain't gonna vote that way.

     

    shrike3

    (5,370 posts)
    140. Yeah, that's the narrative, "Everybody hates Joe Biden. Even Democrats."
    Tue Jan 16, 2024, 11:45 AM
    Jan 2024

    Been the media narrative for a while now.

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