Very low Election Day turnout reported for NY-3

[brooklynite]

[DURHAM D]

1. lol

[Sky Jewels]

2. That's probably a good thing.

R's are more likely to vote on election days. The early vote was good for the D's. ... Sorry to harsh your vibe.

[brooklynite]

3. What's my "vibe"?

One of us knows Tom Suozzi personally; one of us doesn't.

[ColinC]

6. Does knowing him personally encourage you to support him more or less?

Or does it have no effect on your view of him as a politician?

[brooklynite]

10. Why would I not support a Democratic candidate in a competitive race?

[ColinC]

14. Just trying to figure out where the personal connection fits into this conversation.

[brooklynite]

15. And I'm still trying to figure out why you'd think I was expressing a "vibe" by stating a fact about the weather.

[ColinC]

16. Different person.

I don't know what that's all about either. Personally I appreciate the post overall. But also interested in how the personal connection effects your view of the race, if at all. Like: Does knowing personally the character of the person make you feel more motivated that he can and should win? Would you say he is a very promising politician based on your personal knowledge of him?

[BannonsLiver]

17. That was the other poster

But this one brings up a great question, what exactly are you aiming for when you make comments about your supposed personal relationships with these candidates? Is it a flex? Are we supposed to be in awe? What’s the point?

[brooklynite]

18. I talk about my relationships with candidates and Party officials when there's relevant information about...

...what campaigns are actually doing and what politics is like in the real world, as opposed to the assertions of the blogosphere. Case in point: there are folks here who say Biden will win easily in November. Biden's campaign manager, who I've talked to directly, says it'll be close. Ditto, that election polls can be an accurate measure of current voter feelings.

[BannonsLiver]

20. It's a shame the delivery usually gets in the way when it comes to sharing that insider knowledge

[brooklynite]

23. For you, I'll try to work in some new material.

[madaboutharry]

77. I have always appreciated your dry sense of humor.

[bigtree]

25. ;

[MistakenLamb]

38. Knowing the election will be close is not privileged information

The Biden campaign has made the very clear in their messaging far, volunteers are being told that, voters are being told that

[brooklynite]

40. You haven't met some of the people here....

[W_HAMILTON]

39. Where was the relevant information in this particular post of yours?

One of us knows Tom Suozzi personally; one of us doesn't.

[brooklynite]

50. That I didn't have a "negative vibe" about the election, perhaps?

[W_HAMILTON]

51. And how does name dropping someone else accomplish that?

[awesomerwb1]

53. I think you know the answer to that one

We all do. I read those comments and don't think I've ever been impressed. Not once.

[Prairie Gates]

26. LOL...indeed!

[Sky Jewels]

19. You seem to love nothing better than being the bearer of bad news,

making gloomy predictions, and throwing water on any enthusiasm. "Dems are Doomed!" That's your thing.

[brooklynite]

21. And "it stopped snowing" is....what exactly?

If my observations are so worthless, they shouldn't bother anyone, right?

nb: 26 hearts. Some people must think I'm saying something useful.

[BannonsLiver]

22. As long as we're back in middle school counting valentines

There’s a poster who believes Hamas are freedom fighters and the west is the root of all evil in the world that has 3 times more than you do, so maybe not that great of a flex.

[senseandsensibility]

24. Sorry

I know this isn't your main point at all, but "back in middle school counting valentines"

[Cha]

57. OH boy..

TY

[sheshe2]

63. This is a fun thread.

[Cha]

66. I can't even, she... I'm so worried

about Tom Suozzi and "counting of Valentines" is going on.

Good post by BL, though!

🤞💕🤞Tom Suozzi!

[sheshe2]

69. "Low" turnout doesn't take into consideration the mail in ballots.

[Cha]

71. Or the Big Snow storm I

Read that happened earlier

💙🌊🕯️🕊️Mahalo :Hope the Dems got out and Get out the Vote anyway!

[brer cat]

72. The best I've read in a long time.

I've even bookmarked it.

Love your kitty gif.

[MustLoveBeagles]

73. Love the kitty gif

[LetMyPeopleVote]

75. This is an amusing thread

[Aepps22]

80. It really is.

I have no problem with the OP. His heart seems to be in the right place and he's right to let people know the election will be close. The subtle and not so subtle name drops are hilarious. His humble brag game is on point. Carville, Kamala and others look to him for answers

[Hassin Bin Sober]

74. .

[BannonsLiver]

82. "It looks good in you though."

[Hassin Bin Sober]

83. LOL

[Tree-Hugger]

30. You can gift yourself hearts, though

Of all the flexes, the "Look at how many hearts I've got, ma!" is quite something. That's a new one on DU.

[brooklynite]

45. I never buy hearts, for myself or anyone else.

[honest.abe]

79. LOL

[honest.abe]

81. Is there a way to give negative hearts?

This might be the time to use that feature.

[obamanut2012]

33. hearts, really?

Posters can give themselves hearts.

[Prairie Gates]

29. You have to be REALISTIC

What, do you only want to hear good news, or do you want the TRUTH???

(How'm I doin'?)

[obamanut2012]

34. perfect

[brooklynite]

37. Here's the same message...

Link to tweet

[SoFlaBro]

52. Poster has been doing that for a long time for some unknown reason.

[obamanut2012]

32. Honest quetion: why does that matter, who knows him personally or not?

Why is that a flex? I myself know state-level AND Federal level pols personally, one very, very well. That doesn't mean I know more than anyone else about them as politicians.

[GuppyGal]

4. I can't say I'm surprised. nt

[brush]

5. Not accordilng to reports I've seen. An election worker early said...

a steady stream of voters had already come thru his polling place in NY-3...and that was despite the snow.

[ColinC]

8. What's important is who those people are

[brush]

11. True. One thing not mentioned in the coverage is, IMO, what how the post-Dobbs element...

will effect the vote. Short interviews with voters, mostly white men, mentioned crime, imigration, inflation — the usual stuff — but no one mentioned women's rights being snatched away.

Just imagine, in that far-from-Manhattan-where-immigrants-have-actually-been-dropped-off in, in that relatively well off enclave of suburbia that immigration is a pressing problem.

Oh the horror.

[brooklynite]

46. According to my friends who are VOLUNTEERING FOR SUOZZI today, turnout is low.

[LeftInTX]

68. We have public tallies throughout election day here

One site could be good or bad for a candidate.
Each site has a 2 hour tally. Candidates do number crunching. But gotta go to each site physically. The elections dept posts numerous tallies for the entired county throughout the day on SM.

[Polybius]

7. Prediction?

Here's mine:

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100218680131

[Prairie Gates]

31. Head to head!

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=18672469

I fear your compatriot may be leery of making predictions after the last catastrophe.

[maxrandb]

9. Aye yes, the "insider" Democrat who knows a lot of Democrats

with another "Dems in disarray, all-is-lost" take on things.

Were there no "troublesome" Biden polls to post today?

[brooklynite]

13. What's my "take" in saying that the snow stopped?

[NoRethugFriends]

28. Obviously that there ay be a higher turnout favoring the Rethuglican.

By the way, I had a conversation with Nancy Pelosi in my dream last night (true) and she said not to worry about the turnout in the election.

[Prairie Gates]

36. I had a high level meeting with JB Pritzker

He gave me some stock tips and told me he beat Tom Ricketts in squash last week.

[brooklynite]

48. Well, I had a conversation with Suozzi on February 1, in Brooklyn Heights, and he said the race would be close...

...so, yes, turnout will matter.

[NoRethugFriends]

59. Sorry, that doesn't beat my meeting in my dream with Pelosi

[LiberalFighter]

12. Could it be that Republicans don't want to be made a fool again and decide not to vote?

[question everything]

27. Isn't there a NorEastern?

[obamanut2012]

35. yes, an actual blizzard

[brooklynite]

44. Nope...maybe an inch of slush. Stopped at noon.

[getagrip_already]

47. Snow stopped, rooads are clear....

People apparently can get out.

It's all psychology at this point.

[magicarpet]

86. Its "Nor Eastah".

You must be from away.

[question everything]

89. Smiling how TV covers images of blizzard far away from Minnesota where they used to

Hardly had any snow, December and January warmest on record, green Christmas 50s in February..

Back at you

[edhopper]

42. It was always going to be a low turn out

special elections in NY always are. But the question is how much lower is it because of the snow storm than it would have been? And how will that even lower turnout affect the outcome.
No way of knowing this.

[brooklynite]

58. Are you sure you want to risk being this "negative"?

[edhopper]

60. Am I being negative?

I truly don't know how the snow storm will affect this. Some have pointed out that early and mail in voting might have a bigger impact, and that favors the Dems. So that is positive.

[NoRethugFriends]

67. Aw, let him have his schtick.🙄

[Rebl2]

62. I think

that is true everywhere in the US.

[edhopper]

65. About low turn out for special elections?

Yeah, you are probably right.

[Rebl2]

78. Yep

[DestinyIsles]

43. It's going to come down to persuasion

R’s out number D’s in registration in this district. So if Souzzi’s team did their job we should win.

[brooklynite]

56. No. More Democrats.

Democratic: 224,741
Republican: 161,624

https://elections.ny.gov/voters-registered-county-1112023

[FakeNoose]

49. My son lives on the Lower East Side of Manhattan (close to the Brooklyn Bridge)

He tells me the nor'easter was a complete bust. They got maybe 1" of snow and it was already melted by noontime. Manhattan schools called a snowday for no reason.

If people want to play Chicken Little, well OK, but this is just one more reason to have mailed ballots for all elections.

[GuppyGal]

64. It wasn't for no reason it was quite nasty during the morning commute and better safe than sorry. nt

[FakeNoose]

70. OK, but we have a different solution in Pittsburgh

When it snows overnight or early morning, and causes unsafe driving conditions, the schools will call for a "2 hour" delay. So kids must be in the school building by 10 a.m. By doing this, it still counts as a full day of school. (Usually afterschool activities are cancelled on those days.)

This is to allow teachers and parents extra time to deal with delays caused by salt trucks and snowplows. In Pittsburgh we don't have subway trains like in Manhattan. So the transportation choices are the school bus or parents' driving.

[Wonder Why]

54. After perusing this thread, "We have met the enemy and he is us."

Walt Kelly of Pogo fame

[TwilightZone]

87. Sadly, this is nothing new

Though, this is way too early in the campaign cycle for this, and it seems to be getting worse.

[brooklynite]

55. NEWSDAY turnout report

Link to tweet

Registered voted: 570,694

[DinahMoeHum]

61. Were those stats just for today?

Did they factor in early voting or mail-in ballots?

'Cause neither party is gonna concede until every. last. vote. is counted. With the mail-in ballots, we're not gonna know for days.

[TwilightZone]

88. Pilip conceded at almost the exact time it was called.

Internal polling and/or exit polling must have been bad news for her.

[mountain grammy]

84. We need that seat!

Hoping for the best! Many thanks to all the volunteers!

[LetMyPeopleVote]

85. Biden-Harris 2024 Campaign Manager @JulieR2022 on tonight's #NY03 results

Link to tweet

[ProudMNDemocrat]

90. Does not bode well for Republicans.

For they like to show up on the actual Election Day.