Looks like journos were cherry-picking the polls to make it the horse race they wanted

[kpete]

One Thought
By Josh Marshall
|
"One thought on how this race turned out. As far as I know, not a single poll showed Pilip ahead. There were a few at the end that showed it close. But this was yet another race with a lot of junk or what we might call plain wrap polls. There were a couple polls I saw recently that had a modest single-point lead for Suozzi. But at least one of these and I think two also added a tighter screen of voters who were sure they were going to vote — slightly different from a standard “likely voter” screen. Those showed Suozzi moving into double digits. That made me pretty confident Suozzi was going to take this, for obvious reasons. The vibes world picked up a big Pilip surge in the final days. But that didn’t pan out.

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/one-thought-2

[brooklynite]

1. Suozzi +4 to actual +8 is not a radical departure from polling detail.

The last poll (Suozzi +1) was a pro-Republican pollster that was highlighted by the NY Post.

[gab13by13]

3. Give me my heart back.💕

Just kidding.

[onecaliberal]

2. They're doing this in the daily trying to dampen our enthusiasm. My rage will only subside when the recons are

Sitting in prison where they belong.

[getagrip_already]

4. I'm Shocked, SHOCKED, that the media manipulated polls

To create a narrative.

My faith in journalism is shattered!

[brooklynite]

6. Please elaborate, with evidence of "manipulation"

[getagrip_already]

7. Cherry picking polls is a form of manipulation... nt

[brooklynite]

8. What cherry-picking?

With the exception of last week's pro-Republican poll (Suozzi +1), every other poll was Suozzi +4, and 3 of the 4 were academic rather than media.

[dutch777]

5. Don't know about anyone else but I pretty much either decline to participate or outright lie to pollsters.

Not sure why I just dislike the process but I do. So given my personal behavior I pretty much heavily discount upfront polls especially when well in advance of the election date. I guess journalists need something to hang their hat on and create content but polls are a pretty weak peg.