Ted Cruz Stung by New Texas Poll

[brooklynite]

Newsweek

Republican Ted Cruz is neck and neck with his expected Democratic challenger in the race for the Texas Senate seat, according to a poll.

A University of Texas at Tyler (UTT) survey found that incumbent Cruz and Texas Representative Colin Allred, the current frontrunner to be Democratic challenger in November's Senate election, are both tied on 41 percent when potential voters are asked who they may support in the race, with 12 percent saying they are still unsure.

In 2018, Cruz won re-election to the Texas Senate seat following a fiercely competitive race with former Texas congressman Beto O'Rourke by just over 2.6 points. Ahead of November's elections, Cruz warned Republican voters in Texas that Democrats will target his Senate seat as the party hopes to keep control of the upper chamber.

The UTT survey also found that Cruz is not as well-liked in Texas as his presumptuous Democratic challenger.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240229_TX_UTTyler.pdf

The critical item is not the tie, it's that Cruz, with incumbency and name recognition is at only 41%.

[LudwigPastorius]

1. Everybody hates Rafael.

[riversedge]

2. From what I have read, Cruz really has not done much for his state of Texas.

[LudwigPastorius]

3. He's good at promoting tourism...

to Cancun.

[AllaN01Bear]

5. i was just thinking the same thing .

[DENVERPOPS]

19. Exactly my thoughts

He should be Abbotts Texas Director of Tourism to Mexico....

[Takket]

28. if Democrats don't put out 5000 commercials about this then i don't even know WTF we are doing as a party

[brooklynite]

30. Do you really think that's the issue undecided voters care about?

[Takket]

41. yes, I do. it was a huge story at the time.

[brooklynite]

42. Today isn't "at the time"

[peppertree]

23. Sure - but he never needs to do a thing for them. Abutt will make SURE he wins.

Gotta love those "Texas landslides."

[CatWoman]

47. that's my way of thinking

try as I may, I can't think of anything positive he has done for the state

[PatSeg]

12. As Al Franken said once,

"I like Ted Cruz better than everyone else in the senate and I hate Ted Cruz."

[SergeStorms]

14. Assholes....

demand an apology for associating them with Ted Cruz.

[AnrothElf]

4. It's Texas, so the tie matters, too.

Keep up the amazing work Texas Dems!

[4lbs]

6. I guess another weekend "retreat" in Mexico is coming up then.

You know, the one that he claims was planned long ago, but somehow was only booked just now.

[ananda]

7. I like Allred, voted for him in the primary, and so did some others I know.

I think he's got a shot at this!

[Horse with no Name]

8. I voted for Allred

He is a little more conservative than I like but overall that should help in Texas.

[Upthevibe]

22. Horse with no Name....

IMHO, a challenger (D) in Texas needs to lean more conservative for a chance to win....

[Horse with no Name]

34. Totally agree

Allred is a great guy. I’m in Texas and know I won’t get a liberal but I’m okay with that

[Vogon_Glory]

46. I also voted for Allred

My gut (which admittedly has often gone astray) tells me he could win. I call him the homie (despite the fact he grew up at least 4 neighborhoods away and grew up in modest circumstances).

[TygrBright]

9. "Presumptive" Democratic challenger. ::sigh:: Oh Editor, my Editor... n/t

[Bayard]

18. Although he is also presumptuous

[mahina]

25. Right? If anyone is presumptuous, it's Rafael.

[brooklynite]

31. Meet the Democratic Primary field.....

Colin Allred (D) - Congressman, Attorney & Ex-NFL Football Player
Tracy Andrus (D) - Nonprofit Founder, Criminologist, Building Contractor & Pastor
Aaron Arguijo (D) - Accountant, Coffee Shop Owner & Iraq War Veteran
Victor Dunn (D) - Workers Compensation Consultant & '22 US Rep Candidate
Meri Gomez (D) - Tax Preparer
Mark Gonzalez (D) - Ex-Nueces County District Attorney
Roland Gutierrez (D) - State Sen., Ex-State Rep. & Attorney
A. Robert Hassan (D) - Businessman
Steve Keough (D) - Attorney, Retired Navy Captain & Community Activist
Heli Rodriguez Prilliman (D) - Businesswoman
Carl Sherman (D) - State Rep., Ex-DeSoto Mayor, Pastor & Ex-City Manager
Thierry Tchenko (D) - Nonprofit Executive & Ex-DC Mayoral Aide

[surfered]

10. Yippee! Being likeable is not one of Cruz's strong suits.

[TexasBushwhacker]

35. Neither is being fit and handsome

Cruz

Link to tweet

/photo/1

Allred

[TheCowsCameHome]

11. Even his imaginary friends have turned on him.

Ted is in big trouble.

[3Hotdogs]

13. Described as the most punchable face in Congress.

[GB_RN]

15. Heard This About Raphael Once...

Last edited Fri Mar 15, 2024, 08:50 PM - Edit history (1)

The only time Raphael “Ted” Cruz (R-Batshit Crazy) isn’t the biggest asshole in the room is when he’s not in the room.

He doesn’t even have to do anything to make people hate him. Just looking at him and you get the instant urge to beat the shit out of him. As the Germans say, he has a Backpfeifengesicht; a face that’s badly in need of a fist.

[Lunabell]

16. He's so damned smarmy looking.

Such a punchable face.

[Lonestarblue]

17. Republicans in the state have taken over the Harris County election system to ensure Cruz wins.

Houston, Harris County, is heavily Democratic, and Republicans have ousted the Democratic election leaders and will run the election to benefit themselves and to prevent as many Harris Country residents from voting as possible by closing precincts in mostly black areas, delaying new voter registrations until after the election, and putting more rules around mail ballots. The state already passed a law saying that only one dropoff location was allowed per county, so a county with 5 million people get one dropoff box, just as a county with 1,000 people gets one dropoff box.

It boggles the brain how corrupt and crooked Republicans are.

[catrose]

20. That was true 6 years ago too. Yet here we are.

He is a Cambridge Analytical client and much loved by the Christian Nationalist billionaires that run the state.

[patphil]

21. The Republicans in Texas have done everything in their power to alienate the residents of Texas.

Cruz, and Scott in Florida are vulnerable, and could make up for the seat we are most likely going to lose in West Virginia.
They should consider themselves lucky that governor abbot isn't up for election this year. He could easily lose.

[pinkstarburst]

24. I really like Colin Allred

That said, I was so hopeful when it was Beto running and look where we are.

[ShazzieB]

26. I was really excited about Beto, also.

Can't vote for him since I'm not a Texan, but I did donate.

Just because he lost, though, doesn't mean Allred is doomed. He is quite popular in TX, and it sounds like the Cruz hatred is pretty strong these days. Fingers crossed!🤞

[mahina]

27. But remember, Beto only lost by 2-3 points and as much as I love him, Colin is a better candidate in this

Race !

I am canceling subscriptions right and left to give what I can

[getagrip_already]

29. Does Colin speak that language nobody in america speaks?

Will he have bi-lingual ads so his recently immigrated undocumented aliens will know how to register and who to vote for?

Time is running out. We have to get our undocumented aliens registered so they can vote.

The gop won't know what is going on since they won't understand what is being said.

Maybe we should run ads in a made up language?

[DBoon]

32. and we need to make sure other aliens vote, too

?quality=90&strip=all&zoom=1&resize=540%2C405

[Raven123]

33. Don't get too excited

I remember when Jamie Harrison and Lindsey were tied in SC.

https://www.postandcourier.com/politics/poll-scs-us-senate-race-between-lindsey-graham-jaime-harrison-remains-tied/article_d4e29260-f843-11ea-9bdc-8b3eea5825df.html

Shortly thereafter Graham won by about 10 points

[DemocratInPa]

36. Not sure it will be 10 points, but..

Wouldn't shock me if Cruz won 5-8 points.. Texas is still, pretty red as much as we like to think it's not..

Abbott and Paxton both got re-elected

[rubbersole]

37. A funky 10 points...

...polling for Lindsey, Collins, McConnell and 1 other repub was way off the final vote totals. While other non-senate races in the same states was much closer to the polls pre-election. I just remember it got little or no press at the time.

[crickets]

40. This. 👆👆

[calimary]

38. Frankly, I'm surprised it's that high.

[Kennah]

39. Were no Asian giant hornets available?

[niyad]

43. When I first glanced at the title, I had a momentary vision of him being

stung by some fatally venomous insect. Darn!!!

[Skittles]

44. I voted for Allred

but to be fair, I would vote for a fucking cucumber if they ran it against Ted Fucking Cruz

[ancianita]

45. Money might not determine who wins, but donating to Colin Allred will definitely help. He only needs a fair count.