General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWill Israel respond to Irans missile/drone attack ?
What will be the next move in this conflict ?
claudette
(5,455 posts)walkingman
(10,865 posts)there is a chance this will escalate which will not be good for anyone. Time for a solution and the US needs to lead the way.
Let's hope sober minds prevail.
WarGamer
(18,613 posts)I think mankind is a few 10's of thousands of years behind that...
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)walkingman
(10,865 posts)There has to be a diplomatic settlement. Either fostered by the US along with other Middle Eastern countries or by the citizens of Israel. And in my opinion there is no way either Israelis or Palestinians' can live in Peace without a 2 state solution.
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)See: Lebanon and Hezbollah or Iraq/Syria and ISIS.
walkingman
(10,865 posts)brooklynite
(96,882 posts)but then Im not claiming that a ceasefire will solve anything either.
bluestarone
(22,179 posts)Taking land and building resorts on Gaza property.
ForgedCrank
(3,096 posts)agree with the premise, these people won't accept a 2 state solution in the end. They have made it very clear, they want Israel destroyed. They will not stop until they achieve that goal.
walkingman
(10,865 posts)on both sides. At some point even the most devout will realize this is no way to live.....wouldn't they? If not, then there is nothing anyone can do. As I said before - you cannot kill your way to peace - things will only get worse and there are no winners in war. Duh.....
OAITW r.2.0
(32,133 posts)If, in fact, there was a near 100% interception of incoming missiles.....there should be no need to consider this option.
scipan
(3,041 posts)Link to tweet
Israel has already informed the Americans and governments in the region that its response is inevitable. Its military options include launching drones at Iran, and long-range airstrikes on Iran, possibly on military bases or nuclear installations
I don't like this.
https://t.co/XNlEODs0eB
is a warmonger, he is escalating this conflict with that statement. He's burning down the country. Hmm... sounds familiar doesn't it???
dutch777
(5,068 posts)Iran, especially if it can get Hezbollah's help. can coordinate a larger and closely timed missile/rocket/drone attack that could overwhelm Israeli defense systems by shear weight of numbers. Had US Navy ships not helped yesterday it is likely the 300 weapon attack would have had a lot more hits. Israel's systems are smart enough that if a projectile is just going to land in some farm field somewhere, they don't waste rounds trying to shoot it down. And it is likely the Iranians aim at range is not that good but if next volley is a thousand missiles. etc. it gets real dicey real fast for Israel.
EndlessWire
(8,103 posts)other countries had to intervene on their behalf. Didn't Biden tell them not to do that? I don't want to fight a war that THEY have escalated like that. They're just making it harder and harder. I want the first priority to be Ukraine.
scipan
(3,041 posts)Hekate
(100,133 posts)Beachnutt
(8,910 posts)I really do not know what I would do, I am glad we have an experienced leader with a Great cabinet to navigate this.
Sneederbunk
(17,492 posts)MarineCombatEngineer
(18,060 posts)You reap what you sow.
Autumn
(48,962 posts)In the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Iran has backed Palestinian groups such as Hamas. Israel has supported Iranian rebels, such as the People's Mujahedin of Iran, conducted airstrikes against Iranian allies in Syria and assassinated Iranian nuclear scientists.
MarineCombatEngineer
(18,060 posts)Don't you mean terrorist orgs. such as HAMAs?
Or such as Hizbollah?
Or such as Islamic Jihad, all of which their stated goal is the elimination of Israel and the deaths of all Jews worldwide?
You think that maybe Israel is just a little paranoid with these stated goals?
Autumn
(48,962 posts)same goes for religious leaders.
Zipgun
(231 posts)Israel. Iran not only arming and training, but also stirring up militant groups, insuring attacks against Israel and innocent civilians. Let's not forget that Netanyahu pushed for Trump to withdraw from the nuclear nuclear deal. Netanyahu is a corrupt war monger who has a history of flouting international law. The Iranian government is a brutal authoritarian sponsor of terrorism and oppress its own people as well as being a threat to its neighbors. I'm pretty sick of all these evil old men whose hands are dripping with the blood of their victims.
"Well maybe God himself is lost and needs help
Maybe God himself he needs all of our help
And he's lost upon the road to peace"- Tom Waits
MarineCombatEngineer
(18,060 posts)Bettie
(19,704 posts)it's the only thing that will keep him in political power. He is Putinesque.
Autumn
(48,962 posts)ripcord
(5,553 posts)Iran has been conducting a proxy war against Israel using terror groups and Israel got tired of it, Iran was a legitimate target in this war.
Celerity
(54,408 posts)
For years, Netanyahu propped up Hamas. Now it's blown up in our faces
The premiers policy of treating the terror group as a partner, at the expense of Abbas and Palestinian statehood, has resulted in wounds that will take Israel years to heal from
https://www.timesofisrael.com/for-years-netanyahu-propped-up-hamas-now-its-blown-up-in-our-faces/
For years, the various governments led by Benjamin Netanyahu took an approach that divided power between the Gaza Strip and the West Bank bringing Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas to his knees while making moves that propped up the Hamas terror group. The idea was to prevent Abbas or anyone else in the Palestinian Authoritys West Bank government from advancing toward the establishment of a Palestinian state.
Thus, amid this bid to impair Abbas, Hamas was upgraded from a mere terror group to an organization with which Israel held indirect negotiations via Egypt, and one that was allowed to receive infusions of cash from abroad. Hamas was also included in discussions about increasing the number of work permits Israel granted to Gazan laborers, which kept money flowing into Gaza, meaning food for families and the ability to purchase basic products.
Israeli officials said these permits, which allow Gazan laborers to earn higher salaries than they would in the enclave, were a powerful tool to help preserve calm. Toward the end of Netanyahus fifth government in 2021, approximately 2,000-3,000 work permits were issued to Gazans. This number climbed to 5,000 and, during the Bennett-Lapid government, rose sharply to 10,000.
Since Netanyahu returned to power in January 2023, the number of work permits has soared to nearly 20,000. Additionally, since 2014, Netanyahu-led governments have practically turned a blind eye to the incendiary balloons and rocket fire from Gaza. Meanwhile, Israel has allowed suitcases holding millions in Qatari cash to enter Gaza through its crossings since 2018, in order to maintain its fragile ceasefire with the Hamas rulers of the Strip.
snip

Buying Quiet: Inside the Israeli Plan That Propped Up Hamas
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu gambled that a strong Hamas (but not too strong) would keep the peace and reduce pressure for a Palestinian state.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/10/world/middleeast/israel-qatar-money-prop-up-hamas.html
Just weeks before Hamas launched the deadly Oct. 7 attacks on Israel, the head of Mossad arrived in Doha, Qatar, for a meeting with Qatari officials. For years, the Qatari government had been sending millions of dollars a month into the Gaza Strip money that helped prop up the Hamas government there. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel not only tolerated those payments, he had encouraged them. During his meetings in September with the Qatari officials, according to several people familiar with the secret discussions, the Mossad chief, David Barnea, was asked a question that had not been on the agenda:
Did Israel want the payments to continue? Mr. Netanyahus government had recently decided to continue the policy, so Mr. Barnea said yes. The Israeli government still welcomed the money from Doha. Allowing the payments billions of dollars over roughly a decade was a gamble by Mr. Netanyahu that a steady flow of money would maintain peace in Gaza, the eventual launching point of the Oct. 7 attacks, and keep Hamas focused on governing, not fighting. The Qatari payments, while ostensibly a secret, have been widely known and discussed in the Israeli news media for years.
Mr. Netanyahus critics disparage them as part of a strategy of buying quiet, and the policy is in the middle of a ruthless reassessment following the attacks. Mr. Netanyahu has lashed back at that criticism, calling the suggestion that he tried to empower Hamas ridiculous. In interviews with more than two dozen current and former Israeli, American and Qatari officials, and officials from other Middle Eastern governments, The New York Times unearthed new details about the origins of the policy, the controversies that erupted inside the Israeli government and the lengths that Mr. Netanyahu went to in order to shield the Qataris from criticism and keep the money flowing.
The payments were part of a string of decisions by Israeli political leaders, military officers and intelligence officials all based on the fundamentally flawed assessment that Hamas was neither interested in nor capable of a large-scale attack. The Times has previously reported on intelligence failures and other faulty assumptions that preceded the attacks. Even as the Israeli military obtained battle plans for a Hamas invasion and analysts observed significant terrorism exercises just over the border in Gaza, the payments continued. For years, Israeli intelligence officers even escorted a Qatari official into Gaza, where he doled out money from suitcases filled with millions of dollars.
snip
Autumn
(48,962 posts)reasonable response and a way for Israel to calm down. But Netanyahu is an asshole like his soul mate Trump so there is no telling what he will do. Right now I consider Iran to be the reasonable one in the school yard. . Never thought I would see that in my lifetime.
Happy Hoosier
(9,535 posts)They launched over 200 drones and missiles.
They were definitely hoping for some significant damage.
Autumn
(48,962 posts)Happy Hoosier
(9,535 posts)The fact that Irans attack was ineffective doesnt mean they didnt intend it to be. You dont launch 200+ weapons not intending to cause death and destruction.
Autumn
(48,962 posts)Happy Hoosier
(9,535 posts)Iran has a third rate military at best. Its not a huge surprise they couldnt seriously penetrate one of the best air defense regions in the world.
I know you want to avoid a widening war. So do I. But this line are argument is ridiculous.
We should discourage a major Israeli response, but not because Iran wasnt really trying to hurt Israel when they launched a massive strike. Preposterous.
Autumn
(48,962 posts)major damage or deaths. Psycho Nuttyyahoo may be to stupid to realize he was given a way out but others can see it. Everybody knows that disgusting Trump clone doesn't give a shit if he sets the world on fire.
Iran is also ahead of Israel in the military power of the sea.
Israel has 67 warships, while Iran has a long-standing fleet of 101 warships. Apart from this, Israel has 43 thousand armoured vehicles, while Iran has 65 thousand armoured vehicles. Iran is also heavy on Israel in terms of the number of troops. Israel has 1.73 lakh soldiers, while Iran has 5.75 lakh active soldiers.
https://www.nrclitchi.org/israel-iran-military-power-comparison/
Happy Hoosier
(9,535 posts)You analysis is based on you (justified IMO) hate of him. You can make that argument. You cannot credibly argue that iran wasnt really trying to hurt Israel. Thats not credible and undermines your position.
Autumn
(48,962 posts)President Biden told Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu during a call on Saturday that the U.S. won't support any Israeli counterattack against Iran, a senior White House official told Axios.
Why it matters: Biden and his senior advisers are highly concerned an Israeli response to Iran's attack on Israel would lead to a regional war with catastrophic consequences, U.S. officials said.
Iran launched attack drones and missiles against Israel on Saturday night local time in retaliation for an airstrike in Syria that killed a top Iranian general.
"More than 200 drones, cruise missiles and ballistic missiles were fired from Iran," IDF spokesperson Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari said. Most of the threats were intercepted outside of Israeli airspace, he said.
A U.S. defense official earlier said U.S. forces in the region shot down Iranian- launched drones targeting Israel.
Behind the scenes: Biden told Netanyahu the joint defensive efforts by Israel, the U.S. and other countries in the region led to the failure of the Iranian attack, according to the White House official.
"You got a win. Take the win," Biden told Netanyahu, according to the official.
The official said that when Biden told Netanyahu that the U.S. will not participate in any offensive operations against Iran and will not support such operations, Netanyahu said he understood.
https://www.axios.com/2024/04/14/biden-netanyahu-iran-israel-us-wont-support
Now you and Netanyahu can both take the win. Or not.
Happy Hoosier
(9,535 posts)I agree with Biden (if he said it). Israel made Iran look foolish. Take that.
But that wasnt because Iran was being measured. Cmon.
Autumn
(48,962 posts)Exactly right
gab13by13
(32,321 posts)I expect that Iran even told israel the drones were coming.
Using slow moving drones made it easy to shoot them down.
The Iran/Israel war is over unless Bibi wants to escalate it.
EX500rider
(12,583 posts)Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)They had to traverse US air defense systems in Iraq, Jordanian air defense systems in Jordan and somehow the UK got involved. It isnt clear that any missiles managed to reach Israel, and apparently none of them hit anything resembling a target.
EX500rider
(12,583 posts)Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)Also everyone who can is off developing hypersonic missiles, because ballistic missiles are so amazingly fast.
EX500rider
(12,583 posts)EX500rider
(12,583 posts)If someone tries to kill you with a firearm and your ballistic vest stops the round, you don't say, "oh, no big deal, he didn't REALLY try to murder me"
Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)In some other universe that apparently has a gateway through your posts.
EX500rider
(12,583 posts)The Iranian navy & air force are a decrepit joke and their tanks & army have several countries in between them & Israel. Also their army hasn't fought a war in over 30 years and has zero combat experience. The IDF not so much.
To put in perspective just how decrepit, the Iranian air force has 0 bombers and the type of fighter they have the most of are the 63 Phantom F-4's they got from the US back in the 70's, followed by the 40 or so F-14 Tomcats, also 70's vintage, neither any match for the IAF's F-35's and I would guess mostly held together by duct tape and baling wire and more a danger to their pilots then Israel.
They have 30 or so MIG-29's, but all early models from the '80's.
And they have 0 tanker aircraft so it would be a one way trip to Israel.
Israel does have tanker planes and over 280 F-16's, F-15's & F-35's and some of the most experienced pilots in the world.
LeftInTX
(34,295 posts)If Israel and allies were not "on the ball" with every single weapon, there could have been destruction. Two ballistic missiles hit military bases. One caused minimal damage.
I wouldn't call it bluster. It sent Israel scrambling and everyone was in bomb shelters. It disrupted Israel. Every bomb was sent directly toward Israel.
Bluster would be sending a bomb in the wrong direction. (Like in the ocean)
Autumn
(48,962 posts)Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)the air defense systems is to overwhelm them. This attack was not nearly large enough to do that.
Happy Hoosier
(9,535 posts)Thats a lot of metal in the sky. But the fact that Iran has an ineffectual military doesnt mean they werent trying. Frankly, they look lime exactly what they are: an ineffective, third rate power, whose only weapon is funding and enabling terrorists.
Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)thousands of missiles in order to overwhelm the air defense system.
Surely Iran has more missiles than Hamas did?
Happy Hoosier
(9,535 posts)Hamas didnt launch them all at once.
Different animal altogether.
Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)Which is how they overwhelmed the Israeli air defenses.
The point is that Iran, because of the lessons learned in Ukraine and the 10/7 attack, knows that a successful attack has to be much larger than what they did. They did not expect success.
I rather doubt that the reason they didnt launch a larger attack was because this was all they had.
MarineCombatEngineer
(18,060 posts)this is one of the few times I agree with you, Iran has no interest in a wider mid east war, neither does the US, Iran knew damn well that the vast majority of their drones and missiles would be intercepted, this was a message to Israel, which Israel should notice.
I'm guessing that right now, Putin and Nuttyahoo are scratching their heads going, what went wrong? The Iranians aren't doing what we wanted them to do?
Iran responded in the most benign way and Israel should just accept that.
Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)but perhaps we both agree that it is best to at least attempt to peer through ideological blinders?
Autumn
(48,962 posts)psycho boy does.
EX500rider
(12,583 posts)EndlessWire
(8,103 posts)Forgive me for feeling like this, but I think we are being played. Bomb Iranian asset, get our defensive response on their behalf when Iran retaliates, then get us drawn into a war with Iran for their benefit. And they have no intent to seek a solution other than to eliminate all Palestinians, no better than Hamas.
I don't like that they don't listen to Biden. From the first he flew over into a war zone to help them, but they have shrugged him off. They don't want to listen, but they expect our help. I want Ukraine supported. They have a real problem, and they are not manipulating us.
On behalf of all womankind, eff Iran. But, Israel better listen to Joe. Not looking good here.
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)brooklynite
(96,882 posts)Add to which, this is completely irrelevant with respect to Iran. As a fundamentalist SHIITE nation, it has no interest in SUNI Palestine.
Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)But beside the point. There are 2 million Palestinians living under a brutal occupation that has been going on for more than 50 years. As long as that continues this conflict will continue.
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)Explain how a two-state solution will stop Hamas, Hezbollah, Iran etc.
Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)brooklynite
(96,882 posts)And I thought we were trying to find someone to blame first....
paleotn
(22,218 posts)It makes no difference and just frustrates us. Think about it....those who normally advocate for peace at literally any price are now cheering a massive kinetic attack on Israel by the single largest state sponsor of terrorism on earth. Go figure. That's really hard for me to wrap my head around. Just like some MAGA positions just don't compute.
paleotn
(22,218 posts)Wonder why that is?
I'm looking for your outrage over the Mexican embassy raid in Ecuador but can't seem to find it? Hmmm.
please.
paleotn
(22,218 posts)at how the Chinese have treated the Uyghurs and I'm just not finding it. Substitute Tibet and you've got a popular bumper sticker and bumper sticker logic. Just saying.
Oh! And the Rohingya genocide in Myanmar. Not seeing any collective outrage on that one either. Must not be popular with the Bros I suppose.
claudette
(5,455 posts)still looking for the outrage at Israel for bombing the Iiranian Embassy. Guess Israelis don't like when "retaliation" is aimed at them.
Mountainguy
(2,145 posts)Iran just launched 200 missiles/drones at their homeland. If a country did that to us we'd have boots on the ground 2 days later and would be helping them hold new elections a year later.
I think there is a high chance that Israel will attack Iran directly, targeting their nuclear program and IRGC command structure. I think that could happen as soon as tonight.
EX500rider
(12,583 posts)Soft target & supplies the Iranian govt with 40%+ of their budget
Zorro
(18,692 posts)and I would not be surprised if it was a cyberattack against some infrastructure like a SCADA system.
Voltaire2
(15,377 posts)I assume that the Israeli government knew exactly what would happen if they blew up the Iranian consulate in Syria. Expanding the conflict presumably strengthens Netanyahu and takes some of the pressure off of the efforts to bring the Gaza siege to an end.
sanatanadharma
(4,089 posts)... response to ... response to ...response to ...response to ...response to ...response to ...response to ...response to ...response to ...
See nobody is responsible; it's always the devil made me do it!
Basic LA
(2,047 posts)He's already silenced his Gaza critics, who were the real target.
Now he knows how to shut down those pesky complaints about genocide & war crimes and starvation. He just lobs one toward Iran, or threatens to. So if Uncle Sam doesn't want a World War, back off and shut up. Bibi's holding all the cards now and he knows it.
"Let them eat grass," he says with a smirk.
Backseat Driver
(4,671 posts)leading a Judeo-Christian created sancturary nation of The Chosen People or just imagine it...Our past/present village idiot dumped THAT onto his panel of SCOTUS...NO FEAR - I'll be able to do anything I want I want to do - Yep, stall until I'm the dictator on Day 1? See, there is competition among psychopaths being #1 - #2's another historic story...
Freethinker65
(11,203 posts)Iran doesn't want a major military conflict, but their government had to be seen as doing something. Iran's seizing of container/cargo ships is actually far more disruptive, but is less visually impressive for the masses.
Ping Tung
(4,370 posts)Even Joe Biden is telling them not to retaliate for a battle they won with the aid of other nations.