Statement of President Joe Biden on the Record Decrease in Violent Crime in 2024

[LetMyPeopleVote]

Link to tweet

[WarGamer]

1. Murders are dropping across the country, but not in LA

https://www.nbclosangeles.com/investigations/murders-are-dropping-across-the-country-but-not-in-la/3386783/

The number of murders in Los Angeles increased in the first months of 2024, making LA an outlier among many of the nation’s other large cities where homicides have steadily declined following significant reductions last year.

Data from the Los Angeles Police Department shows, as of mid-March, the murder rate had climbed to about 30% above the same period in 2023, and the number of people shot, comprising both murders and people who survived shootings, also crept above early 2023 numbers.

LAPD Chief Dominic Choi told the Board of Police commissioners this week, that since mid-March, the 30% increase had "dropped" to about 9.5% with the city recording 81 murders compared with 74 during the same period in 2023.

[MichMan]

2. What's going on with DC (data added) ?

Last edited Sat May 4, 2024, 08:56 AM - Edit history (3)

Year-end 2023 data accurate as of January 1, 2024.

Offense 2022 2023 Percent Change
Homicide 203 274 35%
Sex Abuse 184 185 1%
Assault w/ a Dangerous Weapon 1,387 1,407 1%
Robbery 2,076 3,470 67%
Violent Crime - Total 3,850 5,336 39%

Burglary 1,054 1,092 4%
Motor Vehicle Theft 3,756 6,829 82%
Theft from Auto 7,827 7,797 0%
Theft (Other) 10,814 13,349 23%
Arson 4 11 175%
Property Crime - Total 23,455 29,078 24%
All Crime - Total 27,305 34,414 26%


20-Year Homicide Trend
2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
274 203 226 198 166 160 116 135 162 105

[W_HAMILTON]

3. Wow -- your article confirms the incredible drop that the Biden administration touted!

...

During the same time period other large cities in California recorded fewer murders, including a near 31% drop in San Francisco, a 47% drop in San Diego, and a 17% drop in Oakland, according to a data dashboard assembled by AH Datalytics, a firm that provides crime and other data analysis.

Jeff Asher, one of the company’s founders and a former CIA analyst, said his review of data from 202 cities nationwide showed an average decline of nearly 20% in 2024.

...

“A place like Los Angeles, which saw a big decrease in 2023, and this year is not seeing a decrease, it’s kind of early in the year to understand that, and there’s so many factors that come into play that it’s really difficult to necessarily ascertain the exact reasons why,” he said.

[WarGamer]

4. it's awesome news... just not in LA.

Which is local to me.

[W_HAMILTON]

5. As mentioned in your article, Los Angeles had a huge drop in 2023...

...and the expert commenting on the subject said they aren't sure whether the lack of a similar decrease in Q1 2024 is just an aberration from the long-term trajectory downward or not.

[WarGamer]

6. I think it's fair to say long term trends have been improving.