Hot off the presses... MIXED polling from PA

[WarGamer]

Released today.

https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/topics/voter-opinion-research/politics/pennsylvania-older-voter-survey-2024-report.doi.10.26419-2fres.00813.001.pdf

https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/surveys/pennsylvania/PA_ELEC_2024_SPRING_REPORT.pdf

Trump up in PA by 3% and 4% head to head... 5% in a 5-way race.

BUT... with control of the Senate up for grabs... Casey leading McCormick by 4%!!!

Don't get mad at polls... GOTV.

[Fiendish Thingy]

1. 3 point lead with a 6 POINT MOE? Meaningless poll. Nt

[brooklynite]

4. So, you agree that the race is close?

[Fiendish Thingy]

9. I agree that current trends show a statistically tied race

Nationally for sure, and in many swing states.

I have no doubt that Biden will win the popular vote, and that winning swing states, and thus the electoral college, could come down to whether third party candidates can peel off a few thousand votes from either Biden or Trump.

[DemocratInPa]

2. Not as bad as I thought..

3-5% is very manageable.. Pa is a 100% swing state.. Remember, Trump won it in 2016, and Biden only won by over a point in 2020.

[Meadowoak]

3. Polls made, just to get tv ratings.

[Groundhawg]

5. I think we are good in PA.

[Doodley]

6. Can't ignore what the polls are saying.

[bamagal62]

7. I do not believe

Trump will win PA. Unless there are some scams at the voting booth. Which, unfortunately, is highly possible.

[Sugarcoated]

8. I live in PA

and the maga terrorist ain't gonna beat Scranton Joe. The President kicked the rapist to the curb in 2020 and he'll do it again in November, I predict, by a slightly higher margin

[lees1975]

10. I'm off polling data.

Polls are being discretited by almost every election being held now. This is propaganda. Something isn't right in their factoring. And no, I don't think it will be this close, especially not in PA, where Democrats just came out of a mid-term election in which they swept every statewide race by margins way outside what the "polls" said they would.