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usonian

(22,945 posts)
Fri May 10, 2024, 11:25 PM May 2024

More auroras to come?

On NOAA's Space Weather Page,
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov
there's this graphic:




and text:

YET ANOTHER X FLARE OBSERVED
published: Thursday, May 09, 2024 20:20 UTC

Yet another strong (X2.2) flare was observed from Region 3664 around 0900 UTC today. This event is still undergoing analysis and modeling but in conjunction with previous flares and associated activity G3 geomagnetic storming is possible by early May 11. Stay tuned to the https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/forecast-discussion and https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/3-day-forecast for the latest details and geomagnetic storm forecast regarding these events.


From the discussion:
.Forecast...

CME is expected to arrive on 12 May.

Solar activity is expected to persist at high to very high levels over
11-13 May, with M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) and X-class flares
(R3/Strong) expected, due primarily to the flare potential of Region
3664.


This info was retrieved on Friday May 10, 2024 at 9:24 PM PDT.
8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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RussBLib

(10,388 posts)
2. It should be
Fri May 10, 2024, 11:37 PM
May 2024

Unless it's very cloudy.

As far south as Alabama!

I suppose, without Earth's magnetic field, we would all be toast.

https://russblib.blogspot.com/?m=1

usonian

(22,945 posts)
4. The way I read the discussion, there should be high geomagnetic activity.
Fri May 10, 2024, 11:53 PM
May 2024

I would then predict more of the same, more or less.
Happy observing.
Central CA is too far south to see anything tonight.

catbyte

(38,468 posts)
3. Maybe it won't be cloudy in Michigan like it is here tonight, grrrrr.
Fri May 10, 2024, 11:50 PM
May 2024

I remember the intense aurora of August 4, 1972. I was in high school, living in northern lower Michigan, and I've never seen such a sight. There was a corona right overhead with pulsing reds, pinks, purples, blues, and greens fanning out into curtains on the horizon. I swear I could hear them buzzing. I've never seen anything like that since.

question everything

(51,554 posts)
5. We thought we saw some ripples but could not decide whether they might have been funky clouds
Sat May 11, 2024, 12:03 AM
May 2024

Bad light pollution and many viewers coming and going with the car lights making it hard to acclimate to the dark.

But… we saw the ISS moving fast.

tornado34jh

(1,516 posts)
6. There are several CMEs on the way
Sat May 11, 2024, 01:36 AM
May 2024

So it probably won't be the last. But one thing that is important is which polarity the IMF, or Interplanetary Magnetic Field, is. The reason we had such extensive auroras is because the polarity was southward. That causes cracks in the magnetic field of Earth, and that in turn increases solar energy on Earth.

Warpy

(114,322 posts)
7. Supposed to last allweekend
Sat May 11, 2024, 02:41 AM
May 2024

Local news set up a camera in a rural county. There were reds, mayves, and purples along with the white. There wasn't much green here for some reason. Then again, I can''t ever imagine the aurora being seen this far south (NM)

So far, the net's been a bit slow but it's still hanging together.

BoRaGard

(7,591 posts)
8. Are aliens using solar flares to re-program G.O.P. "brains" ?
Sat May 11, 2024, 04:38 AM
May 2024

If so, they should flush out the brain worms, and add some honesty, integrity, and respect for America.

'tis devoutly to be wished.

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