Cook Political: A Unique Election Driven by a Traditional Issue

[brooklynite]

There are a lot of unique and untested variables in this upcoming presidential election. It is the first race in more than 100 years between an incumbent and former incumbent president (both of whom would be the oldest ever to be inaugurated). It is the first to feature a major party nominee under multiple indictments. And, the first presidential contest since the Supreme Court decision that overturned Roe v. Wade.

At this point, however, the defining issue for this contest is a more traditional one: the economy. “Right now, this election is about President Biden’s economic record and America’s economic future,” said GS Strategies President Greg Strimple. “When it comes to who voters trust to move the economy forward, Trump is in the driver’s seat.”

While abortion remains a strong issue for Democrats, President Biden’s advantage on the issue isn’t strong enough to offset Trump’s overall strength on bringing down the cost of living.

“Voters clearly recognize the huge steps backward a Trump presidency might bring - they are pessimistic about what he could do to abortion rights, progress on climate change, and even failing to protect Medicare and Social Security. And yet, their economic frustrations are enough to override all that,” said Lindsay Vermeyen, Partner at BSG.

https://www.cookpolitical.com/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/unique-election-driven-traditional-issue

[Blaukraut]

1. Coming away with a conclusion after reading the whole report

1. Voters have no understanding of how the economy works.
2. They would gladly trade away their rights for a lower cost of living.
3. They are more worried about Biden dying in office and leaving the reins to Harris than having a criminal run the country.