A polling risk for trump

[dweller]

The polls have shown Donald Trump with an edge for eight straight months, but there’s a sign his advantage might not be quite as stable as it looks: His lead is built on gains among voters who aren’t paying close attention to politics, who don’t follow traditional news and who don’t regularly vote.
snip

(This is the opening of a Nate Cohn article form the NYTimes digest I get in my email daily. I don’t subscribe to the NYT just the digest version.
There is no link to the article so I can’t post that, or even look at NYT for it since I don’t subscribe)

I am posting this to ask if anyone who does subscribe could see if there was a full article from today with more info.
You don’t have to post it in this thread if you want to start a new thread on it, if it even shows polling data, anomolies etc.
also here’s a pic from the article :



It might be an interesting post. I did search to see if anyone had posted this and don’t see it .


Thanks


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[SoFlaBro]

1. Fucking gift article link below. No goddamn paywall.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/24/briefing/a-polling-risk-for-trump.html?unlocked_article_code=1.uU0.x0xA._sFBQb_lZJGC&smid=url-share

[dweller]

2. Thanks

dammit



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[W_HAMILTON]

3. This is a similar reason I don't buy stock in Brainworm Bob polling so high.

Right now, he's basically a stand-in for disengaged people that don't like either option, but disengaged people that don't like either option (1) are probably less likely to vote at all come November and (2) when/if they become engaged and knowledgeable about the race, odds are they will not vote for him.

Now, moving on to Trump, Trump obviously has his MAGA support, but he's also getting support from disengaged people that don't like that their McDouble went up in price under Biden and are blaming him for it. Once again, (1) and (2) from above also apply here as well.

[dweller]

6. Yeh the article provided less than I had hope for

Wanted to see more evidence of polling bias , but you are probably right about 1&2 above



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[Fiendish Thingy]

4. Please don't treat info from the NYT poll as accurate

The NYT poll has been shown repeatedly to have deeply flawed methodology, and the numbers should never be used, except as evidence of poor polling methodology.

[dweller]

5. I don't

That’s why I was curious what Cohn’s article said especially with the title “polling risks for trump”

Anyway …



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[tavernier]

7. We already know from the latest trial that he pays

the pollsters for skewed results. Among other things.

[dweller]

8. Exactly

I remember Cohen stating that info back when he testified before Congress … didn’t really seem to get much traction then



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