What "needle movers" remain between now and Nov.5

[Funtatlaguy]

By needle movers, I’m talking events that could move “legitimate, accurate” poll numbers by at least 2-3% in the battleground states.

To me, they are these:
June 27 debate
July 11 Trump sentencing
July 15-18 RNC Convention
Aug 19-22 DNC Convention
Sept 10 debate
The V.P. debate (if Trump picks a really wacko like Donalds). Date TBA

[MartyTheGreek]

1. Add: USSC Immunity Decision by end of June

[JCMach1]

2. The thing that freaks me out is the dynamics of one of the candidates

Having a health scare, or dying.

[Fiendish Thingy]

3. None of those events, on their own, will shift polls 2-3 points in battleground states

You might see that much shift by October, just due to the passage of time, and increased accuracy of polling as the election draws closer.

[Funtatlaguy]

4. I've seen debates and convention do bigger "bumps"

than that. Admittedly, they don’t always last.
If Trump has a complete meltdown in the debate, I think we will see significant movement nationally and some movement in battlegrounds.
At least, I’m hoping so.