General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsMeanwhile in the Atlantic approaching the Caribbean


Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
A low pressure system located about 1400 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands is becoming better defined and the associated
showers and thunderstorms are increasing in organization. If these
trends continue, a tropical depression will likely form later today.
This system is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph and
approach the Windward Islands by the end of the weekend, and
Hurricane or Tropical Storm Watches could be required for portions
of that region tonight or early Saturday. For more information,
including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.
Deuxcents
(28,024 posts)All eyes here are focused on this season..take good care
Marcus IM
(3,001 posts)Sitting here in the SE coast of Florida is pretty nerve-racking.
Buy, hey! IT'S TRUCK MONTH!!
malaise
(299,081 posts)Get you truck
Marcus IM
(3,001 posts)You can choose models, but the default is the ECMWF model ...
https://www.windy.com/?25.754,-80.271,5
https://www.ecmwf.int
Deuxcents
(28,024 posts)Marcus IM
(3,001 posts)I lived in S Miami-Dade.
Pretty close to The Crossings, the development that was totally destroyed and collapsed due to the shoddy construction.
Saw semi trucks and 10 ton roof A/C units tossed about like Tonka toys.
250,000 homes destroyed in a few hours. Hundreds of thousand more severely damaged.
Where I lived, power was out for 8 weeks.
There were roving gangs of home invaders.
My dental practice office was destroyed completely.
Cell phones then were Motorola brick phones, storm took the system out.
I get really nervous seeing incoming storms. Not just for me and surroundings, but for my family in Cuba.
Deuxcents
(28,024 posts)They lost everything n had to relocate. Were better educated with tech advances and the courage hurricane hunters have flying into these storms. Take good care
Marcus IM
(3,001 posts)Same for Malaise.
malaise
(299,081 posts)malaise
(299,081 posts)Woke me up
malaise
(299,081 posts)In the Windward islands
Marcus IM
(3,001 posts)Was listening to an NPR interview with a NOAA hurricane expert who is worried about how fast a storm in the hot Caribbean can increase intensity.
As the global warming stands, a tropical depression can become a Category 5 within 48 to 56 hours!
Not enough time for proper preparation after a storm has formed.
The prediction models are better, but the speed of intensification has outpaced advance warning times.
Good luck to all in the zone.
rurallib
(64,903 posts)Deuxcents
(28,024 posts)malaise
(299,081 posts)😀
roamer65
(37,977 posts)Good luck to all and stay safe.
Especially you, malaise!
malaise
(299,081 posts)Think it will pass south but if were wrong, at most it will be a Cat1 by then.
LeftInTX
(34,899 posts)
What???

It's forecast to be up to 50 KTs on July 2nd.

malaise
(299,081 posts)Theres no M for major hurricane with this one. Well get through whatever Beryl brings.
LeftInTX
(34,899 posts)malaise
(299,081 posts)Major inthe Windward islands.
ornotna
(11,591 posts)It's headed right to you.
malaise
(299,081 posts)Last edited Sat Jun 29, 2024, 10:24 AM - Edit history (1)
survive the distance but well sure get lots of water. The European model is my guide.
Thanks - Im preparing for whatever comes.
Prairie_Seagull
(4,874 posts)vacation. Costa Rica maybe.
Everyone in it's path. Watch Your Shit!
malaise
(299,081 posts)for some family and fireworks😀😀
Go away Beryl.
Prairie_Seagull
(4,874 posts)many years ago. I was just a kid and we were on the outer banks and sure it started as exciting then the first big gust hits and then it gets terrifying. The outer banks was no place for man nor beast that day.
Hope your flight out is timed right.
JustABozoOnThisBus
(24,760 posts)... in which case, it's "uh-oh"
Run, malaise, run!
malaise
(299,081 posts)I think Beryl will weaken and pass south of us.
Ready for whatever comes our way but by then it will be Cat 1 at most.
JustABozoOnThisBus
(24,760 posts)... but it's no Gilbert.
Good luck with it, anyway.
malaise
(299,081 posts)Last edited Sun Jun 30, 2024, 06:51 AM - Edit history (1)
Good take here
cachukis
(4,151 posts)republianmushroom
(22,865 posts)It is the season.
malaise
(299,081 posts)A Cat4 Cape Verde hurricane so early should frighten all of us.
Barbados and the Windward islands are going to be devastated.
DoBW
(3,379 posts)got plan for water?
malaise
(299,081 posts)There is enough water here for a minth. If its worse than I anticipate, we will lose power, cell service and land lines because the idiots are now connecting our land lines to the internet set up
I am still hoping to travel on Thursday. Not sure my aircraft will show. up Wednesday night. 😀.
republianmushroom
(22,865 posts)malaise
(299,081 posts)And if it survives that one could make the US mainland.