Is It Just Me Who Believes Alred Can Beat Cruz

[gab13by13]

I sincerely believe that campaign money needs to be funneled into Texas, into Alred's campaign. No, I do not care one iota what some poll says.

[Think. Again.]

1. I thought we were supposed to say positive stuff...

...about Democratic candidates?

[gab13by13]

2. My implication was that I think the Democratic party needs to make a bigger push

to elect Alred. I am sorry if sometimes I use sarcasm to make my point. Every time I listen to Alred on TV I am impressed with him.

The Senate will be a tough get for us to keep and Beating Cruz will go a long way for us to maintain control.

Sorry if I sounded negative, that's on me.

[Think. Again.]

5. ...

I think it's very important to project a LOT of positivity right now.

[FBaggins]

3. No... in fact he probably has the best chance to take away a red senate seat

It isn't a good chance - particularly if the presidential race doesn't improve substantially - but it's certainly possible.

The problem with the "funnel campaign funds" strategy is that there are half a dozen or more blue seats that are more in danger - and saving a blue seat is just as effective as taking away a red one.

[pinkstarburst]

4. I really like Allred

I really like Beto O'Rourke too. Wish he could have defeated Cruz. The trouble is, much as I wish Texas was on its way to turning purple, it just isn't (yet.) Would love to be proven wrong though!

[blogslug]

6. I donate directly

I learned decades ago that the national organization will not help my state.

Yes, I think Colin Allred has a chance.

https://colinallred.com/

[Travel Hat]

8. Beto O'Rourke lost only by 2.6% to Cruz in 2018

I think Cruz is a lot less popular now and the pro-abortion vote will help.

[brooklynite]

14. Beto O'Rourke only lost by 260,000 votes in 2018

Looks different that way.....

[Travel Hat]

15. In a state of over 30 million?

Also, where did you get your numbers? I got mine from the Texas Tribune. They said he lost by about 219,000 votes. I also checked Wikipedia and they said he lost by 214,921 votes, or 2.56%.

[brooklynite]

16. 214,000 votes isn't a marked improvement.

[Travel Hat]

17. 2.6% is still within the margin of error of most polls I've seen

[JT45242]

9. Not many more hated than cruz

Ads of him running to Cancun.
Ads of him not defending his wife from TFG
Etc etc etc

[kansasobama]

10. Not about being positive about Dems

It is about Texas being screwed up. It is on Texas. No Dems have zero chance in TX. State is really messed up. A real weak Cruz against the strongest Dem will still end up winning by couple of points.

[Jose Garcia]

11. Your money would be better spent on Democratic candidates who have are more likely to win

Texans don't like Ted Cruz. But they dislike Democrats even more.

Tester, Rosen, and Brown are all in toss-up races.

[brooklynite]

12. Explain WHY you think its winnable.

Preferably an argument more substantial than "I can't imagine anyone voting for Ted Cruz"

Cook and Sabato both have this as LIKELY R. That suggests there a CHANCE of movement, but it hasn't happened so far.

And what people forget is that overcoming a 1-2% margin involves winning 300,000 more votes.

[kansasobama]

13. Pro abortion vote in TX and elsewhere

No. Pro-abortion vote has limitations. Many women are not really serious about the issue. Nothing can explain this more than in Arizona. Pro-abortion voters lack the savvy of sinister MAGA. Here is a state supposedly more dependent on pro-abortion and supporting Gallego. At the same time, the state is voting Trump. Explain the pro-abortion logic?:Is Gallego more important or the President? More women voters voted for the Orange Turd. Push comes to shove, many older women end up voting for tax cuts.

Campaigning for women's rights is still needed, despite Orange Turd danger. That is sad. This should have been a slam dunk. It is Democrats all the way from top to bottom to save women's rights

[mopinko]

18. the dnc is raining money on state and local parties.

i’ve seen the dnc leave candidates in red+10-20 districts out in the cold. all the while those ppl r hit w- they’re the candidate of pelosi & obama &&&. i’ve worked a couple of those campaigns.
they’re not doing that this time. they’re so flush w cash, they know they cant spend it. so it’s flowing downstream in a way it NEVER has in my lifetime.
they also know that state houses r rly, rly important. and a little money goes a long way in those races.

this is an ‘anything can happen’ election. i think it will be a bigger landslide than the 1 in the uk.