When the French polls closed, @FRANCE24 apparently thought a Le Pen win was a given.....

[brooklynite]

and had a graphic showing them winning almost half the seats. Their slice didn't match up with the actual numbers.



Corrected image:

[BootinUp]

1. Cut to the chase. Who had the best take on the

Final result, or are you saying no one could possibly predict the outcome.


Seems like Macron had a good idea how it would go, but I have not really been following the drama.

[maxrandb]

2. They drew that first graph with a Sharpie. NT

[sop]

3. (NPR) "French voters turned out in numbers not seen in decades to stop the far-right National Rally

from taking power in the French National Assembly. Polls predicted a first-place finish for National Rally, which instead came in third in initial results as polling stations closed. Over two-thirds of registered voters cast a ballot in Sunday’s vote, up more than 20% from the last legislative vote."

[lapucelle]

4. The graphic was from an Ipsos poll.

Ipsos Talan a réalisé pour Le Monde, France Télévisions et Radio France une enquête portant sur le climat politique avant le second tour.

https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/legislatives-2024/legislatives-2024-lintention-de-vote-48h-du-second-tour

[brooklynite]

6. No, the seat estimates were from Ipsos.

The second graphic shows the same numbers with a more realist division of slices.

[lapucelle]

7. Where is that first graphic from?

[brooklynite]

8. What France24 showed when the exit polls were announced.

[lapucelle]

9. Like Trump with a sharpie...

[yorkster]

5. The left and the center allied against thr far right.

So far only exit polls, but polls closed at 8.
The center left alliance consists of 5 parties, so this will take time to resolve. But at least they have held off Rallye National the hard right party of lePen and Bardella. Actual numbers perhaps later tonight. ( Following on BBC)

[brooklynite]

10. Wrong. 81% of seats have been called.

https://www.lemonde.fr/en/les-decodeurs/article/2024/07/07/2024-french-election-results-chart-and-map-of-second-round-winners_6676976_8.html

[yorkster]

11. Ok. Sorry. When I listened to. BBC before

commenting I was reporting what I heard.

[yorkster]

12. BTW how about "Update" instead of "Wrong."

I was merely trying to pass on more info. re the French elections. One French official said he wouldn't comment until final results were in....this was 10 min. or so
before I commented. ( I respect your more recent info. - just think we might all want to be a bit more civil.) Thx.