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Galraedia

(5,331 posts)
Mon Jul 15, 2024, 06:21 PM Jul 2024

Get a Grip, Democrats. You Can Still Win This

“The presidential contest ended last night,” an unnamed “veteran Democratic political consultant” told NBC News the day after former President Donald Trump was grazed in the ear by an attempted assassin’s bullet. “We’ve all resigned ourselves to a second Trump presidency,” said an anonymous “senior House Democrat” to Axios.

No doubt, the last few weeks have been demoralizing for Democrats after Joe Biden’s unsettling debate performance and the dramatic photos of a bloodied yet unbowed Trump. But political professionals should know better than to predict defeat four months before Election Day, especially when polls remain close.

The ups and downs of the 2024 race should have already reminded us that an event today can be superseded by an event tomorrow. Not two months ago, Trump was convicted of 34 felonies, and Biden was inching up in the polls. Just before the debate, Biden took a brief lead in the FiveThirtyEight national average and nearly did the same in RealClearPolitics. Then, the post-debate panic over Biden’s mental acuity knocked him back two or three points in those trackers.

It is trite but true to note that a lot can happen over the next three months. We can’t be clairvoyant, but optimism is warranted. Israel and Hamas may soon agree to a ceasefire. Biden’s border crackdown may continue to drive down the number of illegal crossings and relieve pressure on municipalities. Perhaps most importantly, the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates and buoy public perception of the growing economy.

Read more: https://washingtonmonthly.com/2024/07/15/get-a-grip-democrats-you-can-still-win-this/

8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Get a Grip, Democrats. You Can Still Win This (Original Post) Galraedia Jul 2024 OP
Really. Selecting Vance gives Dems a new avenue of attack Raven123 Jul 2024 #1
It's annoying how defeatist some Democrats are... Self Esteem Jul 2024 #2
Agree! I'm getting sick and tired of this 'traditional' GenThePerservering Jul 2024 #3
The shooting didn't do squat for Republicans. valleyrogue Jul 2024 #4
There is six weeks until voters begin voting in Pennsylvania jimfields33 Jul 2024 #5
1/3 of Americans don't vote orthoclad Jul 2024 #6
That's stupid. The election is 4 months away and all kinds of shit is going to happen. bullimiami Jul 2024 #7
Not if we obsess over GOP shitspray. usonian Jul 2024 #8

Raven123

(7,894 posts)
1. Really. Selecting Vance gives Dems a new avenue of attack
Mon Jul 15, 2024, 06:24 PM
Jul 2024

He has a history of extreme views on social issues, which I think may play into Dem hands in swing states if we make a point of it.

Unfortunately energizes the right in Ohio, where Brown is running

 

Self Esteem

(2,248 posts)
2. It's annoying how defeatist some Democrats are...
Mon Jul 15, 2024, 06:25 PM
Jul 2024

Four years ago, Biden led Trump by nearly 10 points nationally and I don't ever remember any Republican 'resigning' themselves to losing.

It's really hard wanting to fight for this party when they give up so easily.

GenThePerservering

(3,705 posts)
3. Agree! I'm getting sick and tired of this 'traditional'
Mon Jul 15, 2024, 06:30 PM
Jul 2024

weak-assed pearl-clutching Democratic rhetoric. ENOUGH. We are our own worst enemies and betray the outstanding legislators that we have AND our own president and nominee for the next GE.

valleyrogue

(2,791 posts)
4. The shooting didn't do squat for Republicans.
Mon Jul 15, 2024, 06:32 PM
Jul 2024

The Vance selection seals the deal for Democrats to win in November. He is everything people fear in a second Trump term.

 

jimfields33

(19,382 posts)
5. There is six weeks until voters begin voting in Pennsylvania
Mon Jul 15, 2024, 06:42 PM
Jul 2024

And a week later more states begin. Why the November day is still looked to as relevant is beyond me. In 2020, 40 percent of the vote was done a month after mail in started. And we still had a month until the Election Day voting which gets smaller and smaller every election.

orthoclad

(4,818 posts)
6. 1/3 of Americans don't vote
Mon Jul 15, 2024, 06:45 PM
Jul 2024

I don't think the red and blue thirds will change much, if at all.
How do we get the quiet third to vote against Trump?
It will take massive numbers to beat the cheats.

usonian

(26,586 posts)
8. Not if we obsess over GOP shitspray.
Mon Jul 15, 2024, 07:11 PM
Jul 2024

I'm fighting to get people to focus on working for Biden. He got two mentions on the latest page. A tiny percentage, and I filter out 80% of nuisance keywords.

I'm adding Vance right now to join Trump.

We should not be repeaters of bullshit.

IMO: 2% of voters will know who Vance is, if not Vivian Vance, Ethel on the Honeymooners.

ISSUES DON'T CHANGE.
THEY WILL WIN

Unless we're all obsessing over the media.
People to people beats the media.
Cuz their hair is too perfect and their teeth too white.

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