Prof Alan Lichtman discusses Dem fearful actions; also stupidity of using polls as the most important thin this early.

[NowsTheTime]

Midas Touch

He is disgusted by what some Dem leaders are doing calling them spineless;
while he states Republicans have no principles.

Polls are snapshots and change often, pollsters underestimate errors of polls.

..and Thank You Ben Meiselas for doing this.

[Doc Sportello]

1. Key points he made

Paraphrasing here:
Calls doing democracy via polling is dangerous; used several examples to back that up
Pointed out he was one of the few who predicted dump would win in 2016 and that he has predicted as many repubs wins as Democratic
Said polling is based on previous elections and are not predictive, and they underestimate Democrats, per 2022 and 2023
Said that polls and pundits have no scientific basis for making accurate predictions
Biden's incumbency keys are very robust
Since 1900 the incumbent party in the WH loses when it is an open seat or contested primary
An open Democratic convention would be the worst case scenario
the media has "done an enormous disservice" to our democracy
And repeatedly called Democrats calling for Biden to step down are spineless.
***

Everything I've read said Lichtman has done better at predicting election outcomes than any pollster or pundit.

[NowsTheTime]

2. A super excellent summary! Thank You!

[Doc Sportello]

3. Thank you

I'm old so I had to jot it down while watching to remember.