Latest GA poll: Kamala 47%, Trump 48%

[Cattledog]

Just announced on local Atlanta channel 11Alive

[tman]

1. Good news. Trump will now have to play defence there.

I really think Harris can win it.

[RandySF]

2. Well, that's an improvement.

[Sky Jewels]

3. Black voter turnout and Black women voter turnout in particular are going to go through the roof in GA.

I don't think Trump realizes the magnitude of what is coming at him.

[Fiendish Thingy]

4. Nice

Would like to see cross tabs and methodology, but nice nevertheless.

[SunSeeker]

5. Improvement, no?

[Cattledog]

10. Poll was taken 1 one day afterJoe stepped down.

Trump was up 4+ against Joe.

[SunSeeker]

11. Wow, big movement!

[OrlandoDem2]

6. A very good voter registration drive and GOTV effort leads to a Kamala victory!

[oldsoftie]

7. GA also has a large Indian American community.

Not sure how their voter turnout is but I would think that Harris being 1/2 Indian would be a boost. and with the closeness of the numbers in '20 every vote counts

[brer cat]

8. We can do this, Georgia!!

[sl8]

9. Some details:

https://www.onlineathens.com/story/news/politics/elections/state/2024/07/24/new-poll-shows-trump-and-harris-are-nearly-tied-in-georgia/74526278007/

Donald Trump holds razor-thin margin over Kamala Harris in Georgia, notes new poll

Dave Williams Capitol Beat News Service
Published 11:16 a.m. ET July 24, 3024

[...]

Harris' showing was strongest among younger, Black and female voters. While she trailed Trump slightly among voters ages 18 to 35, she led among voters ages 36 to 50 by more than 3 points. Trump led Harris among voters age 51 and older.

The racial divide between the two was pronounced. Harris, vying to become the first Black woman elected president, led Trump among Black voters by 79.7% to 11.0%. Trump held a large advantage among white voters, 61.1% to 28.4%.

Trump held a slightly larger lead among male voters than Harris among women surveyed by Landmark. Among males voters, Trump dominated at 54.7% to 35.1% for Harris. She led among female voters, 52.1% to 38.1%.

Not surprisingly, each candidate cornered the market among voters affiliated with their party, with Trump favored by 87.8% of Republicans and Harris supported by 88.8% of Democrats. Harris led among independents, 40.9% to 31.8% for Trump.

[SunSeeker]

12. "Harris led among independents, 40.9% to 31.8% for Trump." Awesome, now we gotta GOTV!!!

[FHRRK]

13. Interesting

While she trailed Trump slightly among voters ages 18 to 35, she led among voters ages 36 to 50 by more than 3 points. Trump led Harris among voters age 51 and older.

Would have to look at breakdown of under 35 voters, but find it highly unlikely that she leads the 36 to 50 demo but trails the 35 and younger.

[sl8]

19. That does seem odd.

Good catch, I didn't notice that.

[sl8]

21. I haven't found the actual poll, but I found this:

It looks like Harris leads Trump in the 18-35 segment, by 0.1%, when the choice is between only Harris and Trump. Trump leads Harris in the same segment, by 1.4%, when other candidates are included.


https://peachpundit.com/2024/07/24/new-landmark-communications-poll-its-a-dead-heat-in-georgia/

[FHRRK]

22. Thanks

Don’t feel you have to do the research.

Main point is, I think they may have a bit of a flaw and Harris’ numbers are even better.

With that, will look at the detail you provided.

Thanks

[sl8]

23. De nada.

And I don't feel obligated, this sort of thing is fun. That said, I'm probably done with this one for the night.

Please let us know if you find anything interesting.

[honest.abe]

14. Those are great numbers considering.

Give it a week or so and i bet she will take the lead.

[ecstatic]

15. Kamala will win Georgia but the only issue is whether

the lawless republicans will overturn or obstruct.

We've been living in a version of Gilead for a couple years now. Women will turn Georgia blue. 100%. Please fight for us though if it doesn't count.

[Quixote1818]

16. GA is trending blue. It's going to be a blue state within a decade. nt

[Emile]

17. Stacey Abrams for VP

[Brother Buzz]

18. Stacey Abrams, Please pickup the nearest white courtesy telephone

I guarantee her machine can move those numbers, and Trump et al. knows it

[bdamomma]

20. Those

poll numbers will change quickly. She will bury the felon.