Presidential candidates tend to enjoy a post-convention 'bounce' -- but Trump remains tied with Kamala Harris at 46%.

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

One of the major themes of last week’s Republican National Convention was that the party’s three-time nominee, former President Donald Trump, had been transformed — in a good way — by the assassination attempt a few days earlier in Butler, Pa.

“When Trump stood up after being shot in the face, bloodied, and put his hand up — that was a transformation,” conservative pundit Tucker Carlson said while onstage in Milwaukee. “Everything was different after that moment. Everything. This convention is different. The nation is different. The world is different. Donald Trump is different.”

But according to a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll, most Americans disagree. Just 28% say that the shooting has changed Trump “for the better” — while a majority (51%) say either that it hasn’t changed him at all (44%) or that it has changed him “for the worse” (7%).

The survey of 1,743 U.S. adults was conducted from July 19 to 22, immediately following the convention. Its results suggest that one of the most eventful periods in recent U.S. history — a period that began with the assassination attempt, continued with the vice-presidential nomination of Sen. JD Vance of Ohio and ended with President Biden dropping out of the race — has had little effect on Trump’s political standing.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/new-yahoo-newsyougov-poll-just-28-of-americans-say-assassination-attempt-changed-trump-for-the-better-201011662.html

[Klarkashton]

1. So far.

[Prairie Gates]

2. The convention was an absolute dud

The media steady ignoring the failure of the GOP convention this year. No bump, no excitement, Vance like a wet paper towel, Trump's bizarre rambling nonsense. Nobody cared.

[gab13by13]

3. Kamala will beat TSF by 10 million votes

Dems are getting record voter registrations since Kamala moved in.

[servermsh]

4. Too volatile for polls

The dynamic is changing too quickly for polls. Ignore them.

Like with the crisis during the Obama / McCain campaigns. Things were changing too quickly.

In addition, it hasn't been long enough since the change to Harris.

[orthoclad]

5. 2,3 things

1 - that close? That's scary
2 - polls are meaningless. They predict the popular vote. Half the prezzes in this century lost the pop vote but won the EC.
3 - we need another huge turnout to defeat election subversion and EC gaming. We need to study, quickly, how to motivate the 1/3 of USians who don't vote. The red and blue teams are committed, that other third is a huge resource.