Kamala Harris Now Leads in All Major Polling Averages

[Rubyshoo]

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Kamala Harris Now Leads in All Major Polling Averages

Vice President Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump across all national poll aggregators.

Since launching her campaign in recent weeks, Harris has seen largely positive poll results. Overall, the polls indicate she has closed the gap on Trump compared to when President Joe Biden, who dropped out of the race on July 21, was on the ticket.

According to RealClearPolitics, Harris is leading her Republican opponent by a marginal 0.2 points—47 percent to his 46.8 percent. It is the first time a Democrat has led in the race, according to the aggregator. The vice president is also leading Trump by a 0.2 percent margin in VoteHub's poll aggregator, which shows her with 46.4 percent of the vote to his 46.2 percent.

Meanwhile, The Economist's poll aggregator shows Harris with 47 percent to the former president's 46 percent, while Race to the White House shows the vice president with 47.6 percent to Trump's 46.3 percent. Aggregator FiveThirtyEight and pollster Nate Silver show that Harris' lead is larger.

https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-donald-trump-national-polls-1935022

[ProudMNDemocrat]

1. I expect that to grow even larger.

[iemanja]

2. Get out the vote!

[Sky Jewels]

3. Buy stock in ketchup!

[WarGamer]

4. 2.5-3% seems to be the cushion needed to win... cuz electoral votes.

[Johnny2X2X]

5. She will be up 5 by September 1st

Walz is a home run and it's going to be a fun watching how the campaign integrates his seemlessly into the news and campaign circuit. Vance was a disaster for Trump.

[sarisataka]

6. Harris is not popping champaign

Harris told Walz they are underdogs in phone call, source says

Vice President Kamala Harris told Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz that they are the underdogs in the 2024 presidential race – but that they are confident that together they have a winning message on reducing costs for the middle class and protecting freedom.

https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/kamala-harris-trump-election-08-06-24/index.html

THIS is what I want to hear from our candidates. Not fantasies of 50 state sweeps but sober acknowledgement of the situation and confidence the victory will be reached through work.

[J_William_Ryan]

7. Let's not get carried away.

Presidents are installed via a process both undemocratic and antimajoritarian, at times contrary to the will of the majority of the voters.

[Metaphorical]

11. Sometimes true, sometimes the unexpected happens

Not all of the wealthy are arch-conservative, greedy oligarchs, nor do those oligarchs have complete control of that process. If they did, they wouldn't be wasting their money on politics.

Oligarchs fear democracy, because for all their attempts to instill the belief that it doesn't matter, voting DOES make a difference, and they know it.

People are getting engaged at this point, and the timing, leading up to the convention, will translate into momentum into the final stretch. The polls also represent a snapshot of the state of things three or four days back, and from everything I see, Trump is watching whatever momentum he had evaporate, and this doesn't even begin to account for having to stand up in a courtroom and get sentenced for fraud in September, doesn't count the discovery phase in the Mara Lago case, or the walking disaster that's JD Vance.

[LiberalFighter]

8. Trump got 46% of the vote in 2020.

Doubt he will get more this election.

[wiggs]

9. Don't aggregators change more slowly than individual polls? I would think there are some older polls mixed in with

newer polls, so if you average them they may not reflect the extent of current trends?

[Turbineguy]

10. Trump will never know how fortunate he is when he loses.