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babylonsister

(172,528 posts)
Wed Aug 7, 2024, 03:19 PM Aug 2024

The Indies Shift

https://digbysblog.net/2024/08/07/the-indies-shift/

The Indies Shift
Published by digby on August 7, 2024

snip//

This is huge:

In a new poll released Tuesday night, Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, has taken an enormous lead on former president Donald Trump among independent voters.

Harris is up nine points with that group (53%-44%) after being down 14 points with them when she launched her campaign just two weeks ago


In early July, Trump was beating President Joe Biden by four points with independents.

Overall, Harris has built a 51%-48% lead over Trump, according to the latest NPR/PBS News/Marist poll. That’s a four-point improvement for Harris, who became the Democratic choice when Biden bowed out. Harris maintains a three-point lead (48%-45%) when third-party choices are included.

snip//

Harris has also improved with white voters overall. Harris has gone from 40% with white voters overall to 46% in this survey, which is closer to where Biden was, and that’s very high for a Democrat. In fact, no Democrat has scored that high with white voters in a presidential election since Jimmy Carter in 1976. Biden got 41% in 2020, Barack Obama in 2008 won 43%.

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The Indies Shift (Original Post) babylonsister Aug 2024 OP
Good news! But a long time to go... Wounded Bear Aug 2024 #1
We need to crush tfg and give madam president the house and senate to work with! questionseverything Aug 2024 #3
From NPR TheProle Aug 2024 #2
The Independents is where this election will be won. patphil Aug 2024 #4
Plus first time voters, the youth vote likely to be huge MagickMuffin Aug 2024 #5
Awesome! liberalla Aug 2024 #6

Wounded Bear

(63,718 posts)
1. Good news! But a long time to go...
Wed Aug 7, 2024, 03:21 PM
Aug 2024

Always better to play from ahead in sports, but we don't need no complacency.

We need to beat 2020 in GOTV. I want to crush trump decisively.

TheProle

(3,866 posts)
2. From NPR
Wed Aug 7, 2024, 03:22 PM
Aug 2024
Harris is also now winning independents, something Biden was not doing. Harris is up 9 points with independents (53%-44%). She was down 14 points with them last month. And in early July, Trump was beating Biden by 4 points with the group.


https://www.npr.org/2024/08/06/g-s1-15701/election-poll-harris-trump

patphil

(8,621 posts)
4. The Independents is where this election will be won.
Wed Aug 7, 2024, 03:31 PM
Aug 2024

Trump/Vance won't be able to do well outside their hard core base, whereas Harris/Walz has that broad appeal that can pull in a lot of diverse voters.
Not to mention disaffected Trump supporters.

Too early to celebrate, but the future looks really good from my vantage point.

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