Massive shift towards Harris / Walz in Rust belt
The national political climate has undergone a seismic shift since we polled the nation one month ago. On July 21st, the nation experienced a political earthquake when President Joe Biden, plagued by the fallout from his lackluster June debate performance, dropped out of the race, endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris as his replacement.
At that time, Biden’s reelection picture looked increasingly grim, with former President Trump continuing to lead the polls in all of the nation’s swing states. Our first post-debate poll also suggested a “Biden deficit,” with Trump retaining a slim national advantage on the full ballot.
Prominent Democrats had privately pushed for Biden to withdraw from the race in the weeks leading up to his decision, citing his age and low approval ratings as potential stumbling blocks in his rematch against Trump.
Since then, Democratic fortunes have rebounded. Running in Biden’s stead, Harris has reversed the gap in national polls. Democratic enthusiasm is also on the rise, with the campaign reporting a staggering $310 million fundraising haul in July’s final weeks — more than double the figure posted by the Trump campaign.
https://split-ticket.org/2024/08/07/we-polled-the-rust-belt-heres-what-we-found/
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