***NEVADA SHOCK POLL*** Harris 49% TFG 43%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Link to tweet

[Johnny2X2X]

1. Not a shock to me

Thje momentum is growing and is starting to look like a wave.

[Warpy]

15. Me neither. The west is starting to shift

It was once the most progressive part of the country and might be getting a bit tired of do nothing conservatism. Or they might be getting sick of Tartuffian politicians who do all the wrong things. Or maybe this is all due to women realizing they don't want to be told what to do by a bunch of male politicians playing doctor and failing miserably at it. It could also be a natural oscillation. Whatever it is, it feels like they're catching up to where NM has been for a long time, a shabby, high poverty state outlier voting for Democrats while the rest of the region seemed stuck on stupid.

I'm just glad to see it happen.

[NonPC]

18. Arizona Still Has a Lot of "Stuck on Stupid"

Between the retired geezers from the Northeast US and the rural bumpkins outside of Phoenix (Prescott and Payson), there is still a fair amount of them. Covid took some of them out. But the rest of us here are living in the 21st century, and can actually have rational thoughts and make intelligent decisions about the future -- not just blindly following the advice of old white men. Also, demographics are changing. Still, just don't understand why a lot of Hispanics and poor vote Repug -- against their own interests -- it's strangely curious.

[Zoomie1986]

20. I wish people would stop saying they vote against their interests

They don't. They either don't have the interests you think they 'ought,' or they vote for the interests they prioritize over what you think they 'ought.'

I'm not saying they have good reasons for what their interests and priorities are. Stupid has far too much sway in this country for that. What I am saying is that they aren't so stupid that they don't grasp how patronizing it is to assume what their their interests and priorities ought to be, rather than asking them what they are...and listening to the answer.

That's why banking on an 'ought' rather than what 'is' never turns out well.

[rzemanfl]

2. Somebody should poll Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas.

I understand "Can my husband find out how I voted?" is trending in a lot of places.

[LexVegas]

3. Yes!!!! nt

[JohnSJ]

4. I hope so, because we really are the underdogs, with Wall Street and most of the MSM against us

it would be so nice if we could throw this back into their greedy lousy face by a huge victory.

[VMA131Marine]

5. One thing I've noticed about some of these polls

at least the ones that report demographic data, is that they skew old and white.

Looking at two of the most recent national polls, in 30% of responses were from people over 65 and in the other 30% were over 60. The current fraction of the population over 65 is about 17%. These polls also reported respondents as 70% white compared to about 57% non-Hispanic white in the general population. This might be partly due to the effect of cord-cutting and people ditching landline phones and also these are surveys of registered voters who skew older than the general population as well.

[democratsruletheday]

9. DAMN VMA....you absolutely nailed it

Yeah, they skew older because that's the only folks that have land lines they answer (which you pointed out) and younger demos are simply not willing to participate IMO. Still...very good news in NV!

[Frank D. Lincoln]

12. Insightful post.

Thank you.

[chicoescuela]

6. Amodei is my slimy rat bastard congressman. He is running against an

independent. Democrats keep losing this district 65/35 and didn’t put up a candidate this cycle. Amodei has a horrible voting record and the local press never questions or interviews him. He is practically invisible. I do see him from time to time driving his old pickup around town. He is a creep

[Quiet_Dem_Mom]

17. He's our Rep, too. Typical Trump boot-licker

What is really disgusting is he always thought of himself as the “smartest boy in class” when he was a senator in the state legislature. Back in those days, he would’ve made fun of all these Rs groveling at Trump’s feet. Now he is one of them.

It’s shameful Dems didn’t put anyone up against him. I never see Amodei campaigning. Both parties just assume any R is anointed into office because the area is mostly red. I hope this election cycle resets some of that thinking.

[kansasobama]

7. What poll is this?

Is there a link to this? How is this rated? I am happy it is this but a little unsure it can be this high.

[Heron5]

8. Trends are good.

Don’t know how highly regarded SMS/text-to-web polls are considered. Anyone?

This latest poll, conducted by Decipher Ai’s David Wolfson, a pollster and Columbia University lecturer, sampled 991 likely voters across Nevada from Aug. 3-5 in a SMS/text-to-web poll on the presidential and House races. The statewide margin of error is 3 percentage points and between 6 percentage points and 7 percentage points for House races.

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/new-nevada-poll-sees-harris-with-biggest-lead-over-trump-yet

[ampm]

10. Great news

I live in a very red part of Northern Nevada so this is great news

[padfun]

19. I used to drive from Sacto to Battle Mountain

to see a friend and that area is red. I usually bought some fireworks from that store off I-80. Years ago, you would see Ron Paul signs everywhere.
I don't know Elko much as I have driven thru it but never stayed there for any length of time,

[ouija]

11. Coming soon, Trump to play Richard III

A horse, a horse, Mar-A-Lago for a horse.

[wordstroken]

13. Outstanding!!

Thank you!

[dchill]

14. The Media are NOT gonna like this!

[BlueWavePsych]

16. YAAAASSSSSS