How is it possible that it could be neck and neck

[Klarkashton]

With a clown that is trying to sell parts of his suits?

This is beyond horrible.

[usonian]

1. Trump has 6 votes in his favor.

You know who they are.
And he expects to call in that favor.
They have kept him out of prison so far.

[RockRaven]

2. Because America if full of ignorant, shallow, hateful, magical-thinking bigots...

and they dance to the tune of the ultra-wealthy who own virtually everything in this country which plays that music.

[Klarkashton]

3. They have to be thinking "how fucking far do you have to

Test my republican ass to save you! JFC already"

[PSPS]

4. It's a media fantasy. They have to create a horse race to get people to watch/listen so they can sell ad slots.

[RockRaven]

8. It's no fantasy. 74 million people voted for TCF in 2020 (was 63M in 2016).

70+ million people voting for a rapist-fraudster-pedo-traitor to be god-king repeatedly certainly makes the "how is it possible" question much more legitimate than a mere media fantasy.

[RidinWithHarris]

10. Having a hard time coming to grips with the how stupid and ignorant much of the voting public is?

Even if the media were somehow gaming the tightness of the race (and it's conspiratorial nonsense to think the vast majority of polls are rigged) how can you not be aware how much strange-but-true Trump support is out there in the world?

It would be a screaming horror if as few as one out of three voters supported Trump... and I assure you, Harris won't win 66-34.

[Deminpenn]

21. This. "Horse race" narrative is vital to getting and keeping viewers

watching and thus ad revenue.

Here's an example although a bit tangential. Yesterday I tuned into Ari Melber's show. He was talking about youth vote. He started out with apples to apples comparisons (under 30, same source) from Obama in 2008 to Biden in 2020. Then for Biden and Harris in 2024, big switch to under 35 demographic and two different pollsters.

What you see in the media is a heavy reliance on polling averages, but it's never explained if the average is all polls, which includes a lot of stale data, or rolling average (old data drops off as new data is added) or something like 538's model where they adjust data or where the same respondents are continually polled like, iirc, Morning Consult does.

I'm in PA and the last 4 polls out of the state have shown Harris with about a 4 pt lead, but when you watch cable news, they promote the idea that her lead is around 1 pt.

[SoFlaBro]

5. Do you have any idea how shitty and utterly fucked up a large portion of this country is?

[Klarkashton]

6. I sure do. I faced it down in Portland. the very same

Bastards the led J6.

[SoFlaBro]

11. Shitty MAGA is filled to the brim with pissed-on fuckface hucksters that aren't worth a squirt of cat piss.

[Silent Type]

7. It's hard to accept that close to the majority of voters are really deplorable.

[Klarkashton]

9. Particularly since the price of gas is so low.

That's the number one reason to vote for a president in this fucking country according to the press.

[Tree Lady]

12. They spent years tearing apart what facts are

now everyone questions things that should be a fact.

So supposedly smart people believe a bunch of lies and think he is ok.

[Zoomie1986]

13. It's possible because America

Has that many stupid bigots.

It's not rocket science, you know.

[Skittles]

14. Electoral College

yup

[DFW]

15. The 800 pound gorilla in the room

Ignored at our peril. Just ask Hillary.

In the USA, it’s not enough to win the most votes. You also have to win their distribution.

[Fiddlelady11]

16. Neck and neck no!

Blue wave coming!

[callous taoboy]

17. MAGA is celebratory willful ignorance.

An example- About a week after J6, I was visiting my MAGA parents. I steer far away from politics these days with them. Totally unprovoked, my step-mom says, “The crowds that were there were Antifa. That’s our story and we’re sticking to it.”

I mean, wow.

[BlueTsunami2018]

18. Because this country is full of hateful, angry, scared idiots.

Easily manipulated, gullible marks who have no ability or desire to look into facts.

Harsh? Maybe.

True? Definitely.

We’re in the fight of our lives.

[DeepWinter]

19. I always remind myself

I always remind myself, 1/3 of the country is Republican and will always vote Republican. 1/3 is Democrat and will always vote Democrat. 1/3 of the country is a mix of either entirely not caring, or middle grounders. Those are the majority of people we're actually spending bajillions of dollars on trying to get them to care and vote. It's weird that the people who care the least end up counting the most.

[Cosmocat]

20. Bingo

Been saying this for decades.

[Emile]

22. Never underestimate the power of the Magic R and

it's effect on the wilfully ignorant.

[jujubeets]

23. Because polls are for sale

Polls are skewed to influence voters and gain exposure. Most pollsters are biased and looking to have their results touted There's no way cheato is doing as well as they say but poll results will make it look close so we buy more poll results. You have to look really closely at where, when and how they weight who they poll to see how accurate a poll is.