New Bloomberg/Morning Consult polls (looking good for Harris-Walz!)

[Dennis Donovan]

Link to tweet

Taniel
New Bloomberg/Morning Consult polls (RVs here):

Wisconsin: Harris 52/44
Pennsylvania: Harris 51/47
Nevada: Harris 49/45
Michigan: Harris 49/46
[that's 270+]
Georgia: Harris 49/47
North Carolina: Harris 49/47
Arizona: 48/48

[Klarkashton]

1. These look realistic. Silver tried to make news

Claiming that his "model" showed trump ahead based on a fudge factor to reduce the post convention bounce.

[sarisataka]

5. Funny how easy it was for polls to become reliable and trustworthy

I wonder why they didn't do it years ago?

[TRHST82]

2. Wow

I hope these hold up.

[senseandsensibility]

3. Looks good!

The only disappointing one is AZ.

[Norbert]

4. Is trump and his people kep up with the brain farts

It will grow.

[femmedem]

6. Phew. I was a little shaken when I saw the Emerson poll earlier today.

I'm not taking anything for granted, but this is more like it!

[ColinC]

7. If using polls to determine EC count, I would use %50 as the standard for winning

Which she is in a lot of those states

[Tribetime]

8. Great news I think we will all of those plus Florida

[WarGamer]

9. this poll confirms my preconceived biases... thus it is spectacularly well run and accurate. Best poll I've ever seen.

GOTV.

[Dennis Donovan]

10. I'll take any positive poll

...keeps my spirits up!

[WarGamer]

11. I'm just amused that a month ago... polls were the work of the devil.

And now they're celebrated.

Just makes me lol.

[Dennis Donovan]

12. We can just go by Harris-Walz rally vids alone...

...and hope that confirms our preconceived notions. Polls used to mean something before the 2000 election. They've been shit ever since.

[WarGamer]

13. It's going to be close... I think we'll know the result very late on election night.

This nation is far too divided for a landslide.

[edisdead]

17. these replies get so tiresome

unless you can point to where the people liking these polls had previously disparaged other polls it is insulting to the community as a whole.

Some people here can take polls for what they are both prone to issues and also somewhat informative but not fact.

[kansasobama]

14. With that, RealClearPolitics finally has Harris 270-268

So much for Nate Silver and Mark Haperin and his 2way which has been trying to boost Trump.

[femmedem]

15. Nate Silver had Harris as the frontrunner from August 3 until yesterday, post-Emerson poll.

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

I don't think this Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll had come out yet. I hope his next post will have her as the frontrunner again!

And thanks for the RealClearPolitics update. I'd forgotten about them and will start checking them regularly.

[GusBob]

16. Dont need a weatherman to tell which way the wind blows

I'm as pessimistic as they come but the trends tell me its gonna be an early night

[Happy Hoosier]

18. Pants-filling moment for Weirdo and Beardo. NT