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The Tropics
Both the GFS Model and the European Model are coming into agreement that the next system could threaten Jamaica as a Tropical Storm and then enter the Gulf of Mexico as a hurricane.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=watl&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2024083012&fh=246
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=watl&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2024083012&fh=246
It's still early, but once it in the Gulf, the current models have it tracking towards the Eastern Gulf.