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Omaha Steve

(109,234 posts)
Sun Sep 8, 2024, 12:00 PM Sep 2024

Omaha will determine the difference between Harris winning with exactly 270 electoral votes and a 269-269 tie

Tony Vargas is running for the NE-2 seat. He is registering minorities on the eastern side of the district. Tony is backed by the DCCC Red to Blue program. Every dollar Tony raises helps the Harris-Walz ticket!!!

Donate to Tony here: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/duforvargas24

A tie throws the election into the current House.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2024/09/04/cnn_single_blue_dot_electoral_vote_in_omaha_could_be_tie-breaker_in_razor_thin_election.html

Posted By Tim Hains
On Date September 4, 2024

CNN's Jeff Zeleny reports how Democrats' "blue wall" strategy doesn't work unless they also win the "blue dot," the second district of Nebraska -- one of two states that allocates electoral votes by Congressional district.

If Harris wins the swing states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, and Trump wins Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia, the area surrounding Omaha will determine the difference between Harris winning with exactly 270 electoral votes and a 269-269 tie.

JEFF ZELENY, CNN: For all the talk of the "blue wall" of winning Pennsylvania, winning Michigan, and winning Wisconsin. All those are essential for winning the White House, but that leaves you one electoral vote short.

If everything else would stay the same and the Harris campaign would win the "blue wall" states, they still need the "blue dot." The "blue dot" is found right here in Omaha, at least Democrats hope it will be. Nebraska and Maine are the only two states in the country that divide their electoral votes. That means she could win one electoral vote here in the Omaha area and not win the rest of the state and still get that one electoral vote.

Joe Biden did in 2020, Barack Obama did in 2008. So for all the talk of the "blue wall," it doesn't work without the "blue dot" from right here in Omaha.

14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Omaha will determine the difference between Harris winning with exactly 270 electoral votes and a 269-269 tie (Original Post) Omaha Steve Sep 2024 OP
Well, Steve, guess your butt better work. Funtatlaguy Sep 2024 #1
I am sorry, but if we are forced to rely on displacedvermoter Sep 2024 #2
Potentially a very consequential electoral vote Zambero Sep 2024 #3
So many scenarios snowybirdie Sep 2024 #4
I think it actually throws it into the house that gets elected in 2024 dsc Sep 2024 #5
Yep, every state gets one vote Polybius Sep 2024 #10
Not gonna be that close. lindysalsagal Sep 2024 #6
I'm pretty sure that Arizona in going k55f5r Sep 2024 #7
Message auto-removed Name removed Sep 2024 #8
You back again? Posting more laughable FUD? FSogol Sep 2024 #9
Not sure how he can have a 64% chance of displacedvermoter Sep 2024 #12
Lol, not a chance. Elessar Zappa Sep 2024 #13
Polls? maccafan Sep 2024 #11
What a nice post Omaha Steve Sep 2024 #14

displacedvermoter

(4,503 posts)
2. I am sorry, but if we are forced to rely on
Sun Sep 8, 2024, 12:08 PM
Sep 2024

this one EV after everything that has taken place over the past year, we are fucked.

Sorry, I don't think it will come this, but if it does then all bets are off and we are truly on the road to perdition.

dsc

(53,397 posts)
5. I think it actually throws it into the house that gets elected in 2024
Sun Sep 8, 2024, 12:37 PM
Sep 2024

though by state that will likely be GOP even if we win a majority of the seats.

Polybius

(21,902 posts)
10. Yep, every state gets one vote
Sun Sep 8, 2024, 02:40 PM
Sep 2024

But the Senate chooses the VP. But I too am unsure if it's the new Congress or old one.

k55f5r

(520 posts)
7. I'm pretty sure that Arizona in going
Sun Sep 8, 2024, 02:02 PM
Sep 2024

To Harris/Walz.
There's a lot of people who've registered to vote for the first time after the petitions against forced birth came out.
Plus the fact that Az was purple to begin with.

Response to k55f5r (Reply #7)

displacedvermoter

(4,503 posts)
12. Not sure how he can have a 64% chance of
Sun Sep 8, 2024, 04:56 PM
Sep 2024

winning nationally and be up only 1 percentage point.

State percentage seem at odds with other polling.

Are you just doing something funny, here? (Know what movie that is from?)

maccafan

(167 posts)
11. Polls?
Sun Sep 8, 2024, 03:58 PM
Sep 2024

Unfortunately you can look at poll after poll but you will never truly know the outcome until November 5. I do know that our Blue Dot in Nebraska is very important as every electoral vote counts. Helping Tony Vargas to win can help us because with a Democratic win for him will help us get that Blue Dot for Harris. Thank you Omaha Steve for your fundraising!

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