Latest from NOAA - Texas and Louisiana.

[malaise]

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/205845.shtml?cone#contents






2024

...SYSTEM IN GULF OF MEXICO LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN BEGINNING ON TUESDAY......INCREASING RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND DAMAGING WINDS ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS AND LOUISIANA COASTS BY MID-WEEK...

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[livetohike]

1. Stay safe everyone. n/t

[Igel]

3. "Avoid the beaches."

It's storm surge.

Those in low-lying coastal areas will need to take precautions.

But everybody near the coast should be ready just in case.

[malaise]

4. The worst part of this is the 5mph speed

A flooding disaster in the making

[Deuxcents]

6. Yes..that's not good. At all.

[TBF]

2. Hopefully our energy companies are better prepared

this time. I've been grocery shopping more frequently (less food each time), just so we don't lose a bunch again. Everyone says "buy a generator" but they have no clue how much they cost.

[TBF]

5. The website we watch in Houston to keep up

with these is called "the Eyewall" - meteorologists Eric Berger and Matt Lanza. Also, Malaise you are correct re the speed - flooding can do a lot of damage in Houston and is often a big concern for us.

Updated this afternoon --

A tropical storm or hurricane is likely in the western Gulf of Mexico this week (UPDATED)
September 8, 2024 at 2:32 pm by Matt Lanza
Headlines:
Invest 91L is expected to develop into a tropical storm or hurricane in the western Gulf of Mexico by midweek.
The track forecast is generally pointed toward the extreme upper coast of Texas or Louisiana.
Coastal impacts are likely between Matagorda Bay and New Orleans.
Inland impacts will depend on exact track and intensity, but at this point we do not believe Houston is the primary target of this storm.
Heavy rain and flooding on the coast is a good possibility.
Invest 92L in the deep Atlantic is not a land concern at this time.

you can read more here -- https://theeyewall.com/a-tropical-storm-or-hurricane-is-likely-in-the-western-gulf-of-mexico-this-week/

[orthoclad]

7. geez, hurricane by Wednesday

that's a little too slow for bombogenesis, but it's still fast development.

All that water's getting dumped in the Miss Valley. I hope the levee don't break.
Will New Orleans come up with rational contingencies for evacuation? Looks like they'll be on the right hand side of the storm, with winds pulling in Gulf moisture.

Here's the FLASH flood forecast - as opposed to slow cumulative flooding:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL0624WPCERO+gif/213729WPCERO_sm.gif

[surfered]

8. Possibly widespread power outages in Houston for the third time this year

[LeftInTX]

9. It's weird because we had fairly strong cold front push through. A bunch of dry air. It's supposed to get down to 67

in Houston overnight. I assume this thing is gonna get sheared, but maybe the front didn't make it to the coast? I predict the models will keep pushing it further east.

The dewpoint in San Antonio is only 49 degrees right now!