NBC National Poll: Harris Plus 5

[Pototan]

A double-digit increase in popularity, rising Democratic enthusiasm and an early edge for representing “change” have vaulted Vice President Kamala Harris forward and reshuffled the 2024 presidential contest, according to a new national NBC News poll.

With just over six weeks until Election Day, the poll finds Harris with a 5-point lead over former President Donald Trump among registered voters, 49% to 44%. While that result is within the margin of error, it’s a clear shift from July’s poll, when Trump was ahead by 2 points before President Joe Biden’s exit.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/poll-newly-popular-harris-challenging-trump-change-rcna171308

[Shermann]

1. Why is a 5-point lead within a +/-3.1% margin of error?

EDIT: I assume the margin of error on the difference would be +/-6.2%

[Pototan]

2. You're correct

It's 3.1% either way. You can add 3.1% to Trump and subtract 3.1% from Harris. Of course, the reverse could also be true. In which case it could be Trump by 1.1% or Harris by 8.1%.

That's why these polls are inconclusive. But they can be, when taken together, instructive of the trend lines.

[karynnj]

5. Self delete

[Tribetime]

3. Ty for posting ...Did you notice the only time on Sundays

That the media discuss polling is the one time drumph had a good poll 2 or 3 weeks ago. I'm Referring to Steve Kornacki.

[Funtatlaguy]

4. Kornacki is a Log Cabin Republican.

I can’t stand him and switch channels when he comes on.