*State of the race*

[Wavelight]

Link to tweet

?s=46

[ananda]

1. That's what I've been thinking.

Not getting the Senate hurts a lot, but
at least we'll have the White House and
the House.

[WSHazel]

2. Nebraska is not a "Safe R" like most prediction markets are treating it

Fischer is in the low 40's 5 weeks before the election. She is in trouble in Nebraska and Ohio, Texas and Florida are also not in the bag for Republicans. Montana does not look good for Democrats though. Sheehy has survived some brutal mistakes, and the state is just too red. The only saving grace is that Sheehy is capable of more screwups.

Luckily, the Democrats are building a little daylight in most of the tough races they were going to have this year: MN, PA, MI, WI, AZ, NV and MD.

One place the national Democrats dropped the ball was Missouri. Kunce is a good candidate and Hawley is not that popular and very beatable. Sure it is a red state, but it was a contestable race and the national Democrats didn't really try.