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mzmolly

(52,800 posts)
Mon Sep 30, 2024, 10:22 AM Sep 2024

Jill Stein Blew It for Hillary Clinton. Will She do the Same for Kamala Harris - Newsweek

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. may have dropped out of the presidential race, but that by no means should lead to the conclusion third party candidates won't impact the outcome in November.

While it was unclear whether Kennedy would have pulled more votes from former President Donald Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris, what is clear is that the remaining third-party candidates with ballot access in the swing states, present far more electoral jeopardy to Harris than to the former president. Now, with a presidential race that in all likelihood will come down to one or two percentage points in four or five swing states, third-party candidates that siphon one or two points from a candidate could be absolutely decisive. Most political polling puts the ceiling of Trump's support at 47 percent to 48 percent of the vote. For Trump to win, he must secure a plurality of the votes by virtue of votes for a third-party candidate or candidates denying his opponent a majority.

Little focus has been put on certain third-party candidates, specifically Jill Stein, whose Green Party effort in 2016 is largely viewed as having been responsible for Hillary Clinton's loss of the presidency. Given the fact that Stein's share of voters in 2016 exceeded Trump's margin of victory over Hillary Clinton, Clinton would have won Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin and thus the presidency, if Stein had not been in the race.

In 2016, Trump's margin of victory in Pennsylvania was 44,292 voters. Stein's vote was 49,941. In Michigan, Trump's margin was 10,704 and Stein's vote was 51,463. In Wisconsin, Trump's margin was 22,748 and Stein's vote was 31,072.

Unfortunately for Kamala Harris, Jill Stein is back in the 2024 election, having not run in 2020. Why she is back is a good question. She has absolutely no chance of even getting a single electoral vote. However, she has some chance of playing spoiler in a way that would do what she did in 2016 and directly cause Trump to regain the presidency.


More at: NEWSWEEK

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Jill Stein Blew It for Hillary Clinton. Will She do the Same for Kamala Harris - Newsweek (Original Post) mzmolly Sep 2024 OP
Scarborough pointed out, no Republican would have been President since 1992, were it not mzmolly Sep 2024 #1
Stein preys on weak minded people who SocialDemocrat61 Sep 2024 #2
Exactly. Why pretend to be progressive while essentially supporting mzmolly Sep 2024 #3
Because she is a tool for the GOP and Russia. She is not a progressive. Fla Dem Sep 2024 #7
Classic narcissism....a shame that she uses "Green" party to label her deplorable behavior walkingman Sep 2024 #4
The Green Party elected Bush II, and while they didn't single handedly destroy Hilla Demsrule86 Sep 2024 #13
Correction: Stein didn't "blow it" for Hillary... jcgoldie Sep 2024 #5
She blew it for humanity as did Ralph Nader. mzmolly Sep 2024 #8
Hopefully people are wiser to her now Mad_Machine76 Sep 2024 #6
VP Harris will win. H2O Man Sep 2024 #9
Thank you for the succinct and simple truth. Candidates matter. CoopersDad Sep 2024 #14
The point being made by the opinion piece mzmolly Sep 2024 #17
Green had a nobody in 2020. Libertarians had a fairly popular candidate. LeftInTX Sep 2024 #18
I'm curious, did Stein get enough votes in any swing state to impact the outcome? CoopersDad Sep 2024 #19
Yes. Wisconsin. LeftInTX Sep 2024 #20
Thanks. That sucks. CoopersDad Oct 2024 #21
I could not agree more. Jk23 Sep 2024 #15
exactly.... democratsruletheday Sep 2024 #16
Republicans pay for her to run. Blue Full Moon Sep 2024 #10
Yes, and they help her get on the ballot in swing mzmolly Sep 2024 #11
No...A general election overshadowed by the primary was the reason for Hillary's loss... Demsrule86 Sep 2024 #12
Newsweak trying to stifle the coming Blue Wave Kid Berwyn Oct 2024 #22
She's not even close to getting the kind of support, financial or otherwise, this time around that she got in 2016. lees1975 Oct 2024 #23
Putin/Lara Trump Stooge NEOH Oct 2024 #24

mzmolly

(52,800 posts)
1. Scarborough pointed out, no Republican would have been President since 1992, were it not
Mon Sep 30, 2024, 10:25 AM
Sep 2024

for so called 'progressive' spoilers.

SocialDemocrat61

(7,654 posts)
2. Stein preys on weak minded people who
Mon Sep 30, 2024, 10:30 AM
Sep 2024

want to believe they are smarter and morally superior than everyone else while she grifts money from Republicans.

Fla Dem

(27,640 posts)
7. Because she is a tool for the GOP and Russia. She is not a progressive.
Mon Sep 30, 2024, 10:55 AM
Sep 2024

It's a good act, but only an act.

Demsrule86

(71,542 posts)
13. The Green Party elected Bush II, and while they didn't single handedly destroy Hilla
Mon Sep 30, 2024, 06:28 PM
Sep 2024

they played a role...I hate the Green Party with the intensity of 1000 suns...Green stands 'for Get Republicans elected every November'. So the Green Party attempts to destroy Democrats every election at all levels.

mzmolly

(52,800 posts)
8. She blew it for humanity as did Ralph Nader.
Mon Sep 30, 2024, 01:03 PM
Sep 2024

Imagine how different our world would be without the republican presidents they enabled.

H2O Man

(79,061 posts)
9. VP Harris will win.
Mon Sep 30, 2024, 01:06 PM
Sep 2024

She has been running a much better campaign than we had in 2016. It's the candidate and her/his campaign that is responsible for either a win or a loss.

CoopersDad

(3,340 posts)
14. Thank you for the succinct and simple truth. Candidates matter.
Mon Sep 30, 2024, 06:37 PM
Sep 2024

It's hard to remember a year when there wasn't a Nader or a Stein.

Harris has been stunning in her performance as a candidate.

She has what it takes right now to win, even with Stein in the mix.

mzmolly

(52,800 posts)
17. The point being made by the opinion piece
Mon Sep 30, 2024, 07:43 PM
Sep 2024

is that in a close election, every vote matters. I hope it's not as close as the polls suggest and that Stein will not have an effect of consequence.

LeftInTX

(34,317 posts)
18. Green had a nobody in 2020. Libertarians had a fairly popular candidate.
Mon Sep 30, 2024, 09:50 PM
Sep 2024

It's amazing how small amounts make a difference.
Stein ran to spoil Hillary, then she ran to spoil Biden. They take advantage of "established, corporatists Dems"

CoopersDad

(3,340 posts)
19. I'm curious, did Stein get enough votes in any swing state to impact the outcome?
Mon Sep 30, 2024, 10:39 PM
Sep 2024

It seems like unless electors were lost at the state level due to Stein's votes reducing Clinton's share to the point of defeat, that there would not have been an impact except in the popular vote count, which doesn't decide who wins.

Just curious, I'll try to google it.

CoopersDad

(3,340 posts)
21. Thanks. That sucks.
Tue Oct 1, 2024, 09:25 AM
Oct 2024

We need to scrap the electoral college or, at least, end the winner takes all approach that disenfranchises voters.

 

Jk23

(455 posts)
15. I could not agree more.
Mon Sep 30, 2024, 06:43 PM
Sep 2024

It is a bitter pill for some to swallow but Hillary's campaign was a bit of an own goal.

Demsrule86

(71,542 posts)
12. No...A general election overshadowed by the primary was the reason for Hillary's loss...
Mon Sep 30, 2024, 06:22 PM
Sep 2024

That and Comey. This is nothin like 2016. One of the reasons poll are shitty is that they use prior years pattern which won't work this year.

Kid Berwyn

(24,433 posts)
22. Newsweak trying to stifle the coming Blue Wave
Tue Oct 1, 2024, 09:33 AM
Oct 2024

The Turd Reich is showing how scared they are at the thought of having to face the music.

lees1975

(7,046 posts)
23. She's not even close to getting the kind of support, financial or otherwise, this time around that she got in 2016.
Tue Oct 1, 2024, 10:08 AM
Oct 2024

She's irrelevant, and she's not really pulling voters away from Democrats. I think the progressives who thought it wouldn't matter last time around have learned their lesson.

And this media piece, full of its own self and its own bias, implies that "little has been done to focus on potential third party candidates." Please put some facts down to substantiate this claim. How do you know that? I am helping out with canvassing and with getting out the vote and we are especially doubling down on Green partiers. Some of them do see that they get nowhere with Stein, and they have a better chance with the Democratic nominee, and especially with this Democratic nominee.



NEOH

(319 posts)
24. Putin/Lara Trump Stooge
Tue Oct 1, 2024, 10:17 AM
Oct 2024

I bet the farm that Stein is getting paid big $$$$ to run. Not just from Ruzzia, but also the Trump campaign/Republican Party

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