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RandySF

(86,306 posts)
Sat Oct 5, 2024, 12:55 PM Oct 2024

Helene hit Trump strongholds in Georgia and North Carolina. It could swing the election.

Hurricane Helene hit especially hard in heavily Republican areas of Georgia and North Carolina — a fact that could work to Donald Trump’s disadvantage in the two swing states.

Research has shown that major disasters can influence both voter turnout and voter preference. And Helene has pushed this contest into novel territory: It’s the first catastrophic event in U.S. history to hit two critical swing states within six weeks of a presidential election, based on a POLITICO’s E&E News analysis of data compiled by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

The challenge for Trump: The parts of western North Carolina and eastern Georgia that were flooded by the monster storm are largely Republican. In 2020, he won 61 percent of the vote in the North Carolina counties that were declared a disaster after Helene. He won 54 percent of the vote in Georgia’s disaster counties.

Both Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris this week visited Georgia, a state that President Joe Biden won by just 11,779 votes in 2020. Georgia and North Carolina each have 16 electoral votes, and polls show that Trump is leading Harris by about 1 percentage point in each state, well within the margin of error.



https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/04/helene-trump-georgia-north-carolina-elections-00182448

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Helene hit Trump strongholds in Georgia and North Carolina. It could swing the election. (Original Post) RandySF Oct 2024 OP
Dog must be punishing maga... getagrip_already Oct 2024 #1
Let's be sure, though. They won't enforce "polling locations" for this race. joshcryer Oct 2024 #3
Better have those polling locations fully-staffed with Democratic party observers... Jack Valentino Oct 2024 #12
YES Indeed! By right-wing standards, these Trump voters should contemplate why 'God is angry with them' !!!! Jack Valentino Oct 2024 #11
Turn those states BLUE!!! Make a southern BLUE WALL!! OrlandoDem2 Oct 2024 #2
Cue the plaintive wails BeyondGeography Oct 2024 #4
I guess the hurricanes didn't get the memo, NO HURRICANES 60 BEFORE AN ELECTION MagickMuffin Oct 2024 #5
Asheville is blue MaryMagdaline Oct 2024 #6
Makes me wonder if Mz Pip Oct 2024 #7
Yes. Tampa is blue, as is pinellas county, both hit hard by Helene. MaryMagdaline Oct 2024 #8
So is Boone/Watagu County, which was also hit obamanut2012 Oct 2024 #9
Yes but the area Asheville is in was over 60% Trump in 2020 Jersey Devil Oct 2024 #10

getagrip_already

(17,802 posts)
1. Dog must be punishing maga...
Sat Oct 5, 2024, 01:03 PM
Oct 2024

How many times have we heard that in other disasters, aimed at us?

I know, a lot of people are hurting. Its not them this is aimed at.

Aid is not dependent on party or seditious intent.

joshcryer

(62,536 posts)
3. Let's be sure, though. They won't enforce "polling locations" for this race.
Sat Oct 5, 2024, 01:08 PM
Oct 2024

They will have polls in shelters 5 counties away for their districts. Guaranteed.

Jack Valentino

(5,252 posts)
11. YES Indeed! By right-wing standards, these Trump voters should contemplate why 'God is angry with them' !!!!
Sat Oct 5, 2024, 05:14 PM
Oct 2024

And thank Him that the Democratic-controlled executive branch
does not grant assistance based upon their standards!

MagickMuffin

(18,362 posts)
5. I guess the hurricanes didn't get the memo, NO HURRICANES 60 BEFORE AN ELECTION
Sat Oct 5, 2024, 01:50 PM
Oct 2024


I mean come on, all you hurricanes get your act together and stop with all this election interference!


MaryMagdaline

(7,968 posts)
6. Asheville is blue
Sat Oct 5, 2024, 03:19 PM
Oct 2024

However, the type of voter who is Democratic in Asheville is the type of voter who will crawl over ground glass to vote against Trump and Robinson.

They may have to this year.

Mz Pip

(28,510 posts)
7. Makes me wonder if
Sat Oct 5, 2024, 04:34 PM
Oct 2024

this is why Johnson wants to delay the aide package until after the election. That caught my attention.

And now there is another storm coming, maybe a big one, heading towards Florida.

MaryMagdaline

(7,968 posts)
8. Yes. Tampa is blue, as is pinellas county, both hit hard by Helene.
Sat Oct 5, 2024, 05:02 PM
Oct 2024

Tampa is set to get hit again with Milton.😢😢😢

Jersey Devil

(10,856 posts)
10. Yes but the area Asheville is in was over 60% Trump in 2020
Sat Oct 5, 2024, 05:12 PM
Oct 2024

That area is about as red as it gets in NC.

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