Good News inside the CBS poll numbers

[Pototan]

I know we have had some pretty discouraging poll numbers lately, especially from NBC. However, CBS has a more encouraging poll, with Harris up 3 points. I think we can win the electoral college with a 3+ national plurality.

Now, before everyone jumps all over me about "don't believe the polls", I'm sorry, I do take them for what their worth, especially network news polls. They are a snapshot in time and have a wide range of MOE. Each poll could be off as much as 5 to 7 points, by their own admission (i.e. a 2.5% MOE means either way, in other words 5 points).

Having said that and informing my DU friends that I have done all I can for the Harris campaign from my retirement villa in the Philippines (contributed $500 and will cast an overseas ballot), let me finally get to my point.

Inside the CBS poll numbers that I have linked you to, it has an identical percentage for black voters for Harris as Biden received in the 2020 exit polls, 87% to 12%.

If this number is accurate and it holds on election day, there is no way Harris can lose.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-harris-poll-how-information-beliefs-shape-tight-2024-campaign/

[Mme. Defarge]

1. God willing

and the creek don’t rise. . .

[byronius]

2. Breathe in and snap my fingers --

And smile.

[littlemissmartypants]

8. ❤️

[Botany]

3. If this number is accurate and it holds on election day, there is no way Harris can lose.

[Pototan]

9. Yes, IMHO

[Hamlette]

4. Biden got 92% Trump got 8% in 2020

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2021/06/30/behind-bidens-2020-victory/

[Hamlette]

5. black men were 87 to 12, black women were 95 to 5

[Pototan]

6. This poll says 87% to 12%

But the point is the same. If Harris can duplicate Biden's 2020 numbers for Black voters, she's a winner.

[NJCher]

7. Obama has been targeting

Black men with some convincing speeches. I saw him on television and it is real, real hard not to like him. Those speeches have to continue the momentum.

[Walleye]

10. I was just imagining a scenario where they won the popular vote and we won the electoral. Talk about riots.