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Pototan

(3,209 posts)
Mon Oct 14, 2024, 01:11 AM Oct 2024

Good News inside the CBS poll numbers

I know we have had some pretty discouraging poll numbers lately, especially from NBC. However, CBS has a more encouraging poll, with Harris up 3 points. I think we can win the electoral college with a 3+ national plurality.

Now, before everyone jumps all over me about "don't believe the polls", I'm sorry, I do take them for what their worth, especially network news polls. They are a snapshot in time and have a wide range of MOE. Each poll could be off as much as 5 to 7 points, by their own admission (i.e. a 2.5% MOE means either way, in other words 5 points).

Having said that and informing my DU friends that I have done all I can for the Harris campaign from my retirement villa in the Philippines (contributed $500 and will cast an overseas ballot), let me finally get to my point.

Inside the CBS poll numbers that I have linked you to, it has an identical percentage for black voters for Harris as Biden received in the 2020 exit polls, 87% to 12%.

If this number is accurate and it holds on election day, there is no way Harris can lose.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-harris-poll-how-information-beliefs-shape-tight-2024-campaign/

10 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Good News inside the CBS poll numbers (Original Post) Pototan Oct 2024 OP
God willing Mme. Defarge Oct 2024 #1
Breathe in and snap my fingers -- byronius Oct 2024 #2
❤️ littlemissmartypants Oct 2024 #8
If this number is accurate and it holds on election day, there is no way Harris can lose. Botany Oct 2024 #3
Yes, IMHO Pototan Oct 2024 #9
Biden got 92% Trump got 8% in 2020 Hamlette Oct 2024 #4
black men were 87 to 12, black women were 95 to 5 Hamlette Oct 2024 #5
This poll says 87% to 12% Pototan Oct 2024 #6
Obama has been targeting NJCher Oct 2024 #7
I was just imagining a scenario where they won the popular vote and we won the electoral. Talk about riots. Walleye Oct 2024 #10

Botany

(77,864 posts)
3. If this number is accurate and it holds on election day, there is no way Harris can lose.
Mon Oct 14, 2024, 02:39 AM
Oct 2024

Pototan

(3,209 posts)
6. This poll says 87% to 12%
Mon Oct 14, 2024, 03:03 AM
Oct 2024

But the point is the same. If Harris can duplicate Biden's 2020 numbers for Black voters, she's a winner.

NJCher

(43,534 posts)
7. Obama has been targeting
Mon Oct 14, 2024, 03:05 AM
Oct 2024

Black men with some convincing speeches. I saw him on television and it is real, real hard not to like him. Those speeches have to continue the momentum.

Walleye

(45,484 posts)
10. I was just imagining a scenario where they won the popular vote and we won the electoral. Talk about riots.
Mon Oct 14, 2024, 05:05 AM
Oct 2024

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