A trip down the rabbit-hole for early results watchers

[TheProle]

https://www.l2-data.com/earlyreturn/

[yobrault1]

1. I both love and hate that you

posted this link. I've added it to my links of check-ins.

[TheProle]

2. Some interesting data

[LauraInLA]

3. I need to look at how many states do not provide party registration in this data. I don't think TX does --

I’d like to know how L2 is accounting for that.

[TheProle]

4. Here's some of their general info on that topic

https://www.l2-data.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/State-by-State-Partisanship-Party.pdf

Texas, specifically:

Texas
Texas voters do not register by party. However, when those voters participate in a partisan
primary, that ballot choice is recorded and reported on the state voter file. In the absence of
stronger indications (e.g. partisan political contributions or identification due to the holding of
partisan public office) the most recent even-year partisan primary ballot is used. Texas reports
participation in presidential preference primaries in which large percentages vote, particularly in
the Republican races. In the absence of any even-year partisan primary participation, the most
recent odd-year local partisan primary is used. This information is supplemented through the
use of modeling analytics. Likely race in major urban areas plays a major role in that modeling

[LauraInLA]

5. Thanks!

[TheProle]

6. Of course!