General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsIf we didn't have the Electoral College system, we would not be having this stress over the
Last edited Fri Oct 25, 2024, 12:43 PM - Edit history (1)
future of this republic.
Next time the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact shows up on your ballot, vote for it. Essentially it calls for states to choose AS IS THEIR RIGHT UNDER THE CONSTITUTION how to have their Electors vote for the candidate who has won the national popular vote. We need just a few more states to pass it and we can say goodbye to this anti-democratic process.
And please don't tell me it is 'unconstitutional' because states cannot make compacts (like the Confederacy). We all know this. But states do in fact have the right to dictate how their Electors have to vote.
Think about all the fucking stress we've had to live with in this presidential campaign. Oh, razor thin margins! Oh, this election will be decided by 'a few hundred voters' in a few 'swing' states!
WHY? Why should a few hundred voters in a few swing states be able to say whether this republic lives or dies? Would it not be more logical to have a one-person-one vote system where every vote counts?
Just asking.
ON EDIT: Good discussion. I have a dear friend who was instrumental in getting the NPV passed in Colorado. I guess my point is that these few hundred people in a handful of states driving the whole election gives those few hundred people in those so-called swing states too much power.
I also have issue with the way our Senate is set up with a US Senator from WY representing ~300,000 people while one from CA represents nearly 20 million people. Yeah, I know - that is the way it is, and this was designed to give the states with smaller populations (slave states, remember slaves were counted as 3/5 of a person in terms of calculating how many Representatives in the US House). So these slave states, who had less representation in the lower house would then have equal representation in the upper house to ensure those slave states would get to keep their slaves.
Same issue with the Electoral College - just based on the fear of the wealthy landowners who founded this republic of that true democracy would allow the unwashed masses too much power. Because they wanted to keep their wealth and make sure the laws created and the courts would help them do just that.
As to my penchant for looking at how things are, seeing how they could be, and asking why not? Well, that is idealism. Vision springs from idealism, and to govern a nation properly both idealism and pragmatism are required.
Notice also I used the word 'idealism' rather than 'ideology.' These are nuanced. Republicans seem to be operating from a sheer lust for power and we have various ideologies in their tent - Nazism, white nationalism, racism, homophobia, isolationism, xenophobia and so on. In short, their ideology is based on fear and that is how they gin up their base.
Idealism, however, is to look at a problem, acknowledge it is a problem, and work collaboratively (bringing pragmatism into the equation) to fix the problem. This is what we had until the days of Nixon, who was deeply flawed through lust for power that grew from his own fear of inferiority. He was supported by the likes of Atwater, Rove, Cheney and Rumsfeld. This group believed, like the wealthy landowners who founded the republic, that the presidency should be more imperial, have more power, and be less accountable under the law. This cancer is why we have what we have today.
My work as an economist who works to wage peace against economic violence (poverty, not having enough) at the policy level is to seek the root cause for people not having enough, and find policy fulcrums that can move things along into the realm of the 'bestest for the mostest.'
However you all have brought forth some very cogent arguments against the NPV. I did not, however, appreciate the sarcasm - oh, I wish for world peace too, and that will never happen either! I hear that. Kissinger called it 'realpolitik.' Trump has recently called our republic 'the world's garbage can' because he represents the forces of chaos while Vance, Thiel and Musk, as well as the other billionaires who have thrown their weight behind Trump. They represent tyranny. In the meantime we have the constant stress of the 'horserace' and seek distractions which can become addictive. Sports, gambling, gaming, drugs, alcohol, sex addiction and so on. And of course the ultimate addictive force - consumerism. If we are worried about our body image so much we listen to social media 'influencers' we certainly will make little effort to understand social and economic policies that affect us on the ground.
This is why I am an idealist. I do not and will not apologize for being an idealist, nor will I make excuses for idealism. This vision of what the future could be is what drives the arc of justice.
Warm regards to all!
TwilightZone
(28,836 posts)The legal and constitutional issues are unresolved, contrary to claims otherwise.
The Congressional Research Service report from 2019 noted that it will almost certainly end up at SCOTUS, and we know how that would play out with the current group.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Popular_Vote_Interstate_Compact#Constitutionality
In It to Win It
(12,531 posts)Zeitghost
(4,557 posts)Is that by time you have enough political will to pass it in enough states to make it work, it will no longer be needed to ensure the popular vote winner has enough EC votes to win.
It's a solution that isn't viable until the problem is already gone.
Autumn
(48,870 posts)It's not going to change.
Amishman
(5,918 posts)Red states won't touch it, and swing states are unlikely to embrace it as it reduces their influence.
I do not see a path to it's adoption.
Demsrule86
(71,523 posts)You would need to have a constitutional amendment in order to get rid of the electoral college and that won't happen. The smaller states won't approve it assuming we could ever get through congress which is unlikely. Why would small states? It dilutes their power. We need to win with the electoral college. A 50 state solution is needed.
MichMan
(16,902 posts)Not in favor of a plan that overturns the voters in one state based on what voters in other states did anyway.
bluesbassman
(20,375 posts)One person, one vote is Democracy.
MichMan
(16,902 posts)We don't have a national election, we have 50 state elections.
Under the EC, if a candidate gains the plurality of votes in Michigan for instance, the 15 EC votes allotted to the state go to that candidate.
In the Popular Vote Compact, Michigan could for example go for Harris 70-30, yet all 15 EC votes could be awarded to Trump anyway, because of how people voted in Alabama, Florida, Texas and the other 47 states if he won the popular vote by a miniscule amount. In that scenario, 70% of Michigan voters choose Harris, yet 100% of their votes would be given to Trump.
If people truly want to eliminate the EC, then go through the amendment process, instead of some half baked scheme like the PVC.
HeyYeah
(6 posts)Real Clear Politics average is showing a dead heat in the national vote this morning...
TwilightZone
(28,836 posts)It's a belief with little evidence, but a belief nonetheless.
To your point, to anyone who believes that the race is indeed close, there would still be concern even if the EC was not the determining method.
stopdiggin
(15,193 posts)and 2) even if it were currently in place ....
This election is up for grabs. (according to at least some of the polling)
sarisataka
(22,361 posts)Imaging that in the 2036 election, the Republicans find a charismatic candidate who is able to squeak out a victory with 50.8% of the vote, yet the Democratic candidate wins enough states for an EC total of 278. Can you see California, Illinois etc, giving their Electoral votes to the Republican just because of an unenforceable compact?
I didn't think so...
genxlib
(6,105 posts)But I think the inverse is more likely. I don't trust a red state to uphold the requirement.
Someone like a deSantis in a state like Florida would just say fuck it and vote the way they wanted. Even if the overall law survived SCOTUS (which I doubt it would) I think the challenge to the independence of "Florida" in this example would go straight to the Court and be upheld.
I don't believe the compact would be binding enough to trust it even if it could get passed.
Likewise, there will never be enough red states to change the constitution otherwise.
Honestly, I think the only thing that has even a sliver of a chance would be proportional distribution. If all the states were to proportion the EC votes the way Nebraska does, then the alignment between EC and Popular vote would be a great deal closer. Still skewed to smaller states but much closer.
I don't think that is likely either but I think it has a better chance that the compact.
sarisataka
(22,361 posts)more than once.
But very few consider the shoe on the other foot. If their current candidate is expected to get over 45% of the popular vote, it is not outlandish to picture the scenario where the compact would work against us.
The proportional EV system is the most achievable, and "fairest" we can hope for in the near future. The 2 extra votes each state has can still go to whomever gets the most overall votes in the state. Now to just get the states to agree to all implement this system...
stopdiggin
(15,193 posts)the 'everyone on their best behavior' is a fanciful model at best - and a hallucination for anything like the world of politics.
Ping Tung
(4,241 posts)See the Electoral College as a prime example.
Lord Acton also said:
It is bad to be oppressed by a minority, but it is worse to be oppressed by a majority.
Prairie Gates
(7,579 posts)The idea that there wouldn't be the same threats is not supported at all. What if Trump had ads running nonstop in California? Would the landscape look different? Probably. The EC shapes the campaign landscape; if it wasn't there, some other factors would shape the campaign landscape (i.e., population centers).
Baggies
(666 posts)Ill stick with it. Im not one to throw out the baby with the bath water.
genxlib
(6,105 posts)But it has not worked well to always represent the will of the people.
Anything that resulted in Bush and Trump winning the race despite losing the popular vote has not "worked well"
And it may happen again. We could end up with Trump 2.0 despite losing by millions of votes.
Baggies
(666 posts)People need to accept that the USA isnt one giant country and was never designed that way. We are essentially 50 separate countries who have agreed to do certain things on the federal level. But thats it. The smaller states have zero reason to give up the little influence they do have. For better or worse, it is what it is.
