Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
 

brush

(61,033 posts)
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 10:28 PM Oct 2024

I still can't believe that this election is this close. That this nation may...

elect a convicted convict who tried to overthrow the government four years ago, and on top o that the criminal is almost 80 and in obvious mental decline.

And let's just say it, time and again we hear that Black and Latino men are a big part of the reason as their percentage of support for the Democratic Party nominee is lower than in 2020, while the real culprits are white men who overwhelmingly voted for trump in 2016, 2020 and now are polling strongly for trump again.

White women to a lesser extent also have supported trump.

Everyone talk to your relattives, friends and whoever to try to get them to see what a clear danger to the nation the convict and wannabe dictator is.

This just can't be happening. I do have a feeling that the pollsters and MSM/cable media have hyped the close-as-a-whisper, horse race narrative to keep the ad revenue coming in, but it's really not as close as they say/

But let's keep on talking to male friends and relatives. We are not that sick to elect the orange convict again.

26 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
I still can't believe that this election is this close. That this nation may... (Original Post) brush Oct 2024 OP
I can't believe it, either. calimary Oct 2024 #1
I blame it on the media sane washing trump Tribetime Oct 2024 #2
Keep it up with blaming white men, Abolishinist Oct 2024 #3
Tell me where that's not true. On DU we're all progressives here and obviously progressive white men... brush Oct 2024 #4
If white men didn't vote, Republicans would never win another election. Self Esteem Oct 2024 #7
Wow, I can't believe I'm reading this. Abolishinist Oct 2024 #16
What are you even going off about? Self Esteem Oct 2024 #18
Of course. Abolishinist Oct 2024 #19
Do you deny white men overwhelmingly support Trump? Self Esteem Oct 2024 #20
I don't see 'white men' to be as much of a final descriptor as other factors. Abolishinist Oct 2024 #25
White men voted for Trump with over 61% of the vote. Self Esteem Oct 2024 #26
I know how I feel when I'm painted with a broad brush but if it doesn't apply to me personally, I'm not offended. Deuxcents Oct 2024 #5
Why would the OP keep it up? SoFlaBro Oct 2024 #13
Why are you so surprised? This nation elected Trump, even after he was accused of some awful things. Self Esteem Oct 2024 #6
I'm not surprised, just extremely disappointed. In 2016 tere was the newness factor... brush Oct 2024 #9
40 years of Fox News brainwashing accelerated by. . . pat_k Oct 2024 #14
Little has changed on Trump's side and it probably really is that close. TwilightZone Oct 2024 #8
I agree that it's the same people sitll supporting trump since 2016... brush Oct 2024 #10
This thought keeps me sane. pat_k Oct 2024 #11
I like it. I think you're on to someting with the pollsters and their over-sampling... brush Oct 2024 #12
Pollsters are always combating errors of the last cycle. pat_k Oct 2024 #17
Boy did you step in a hornets nest Keepthesoulalive Oct 2024 #15
If haven't run into many white males here on DU (myself included) who get sensitive about this being brought up RidinWithHarris Oct 2024 #21
Exactly. A fact but don't say it. brush Oct 2024 #23
Imagine it could come down to brettdale Oct 2024 #22
Can't be this close without M$M enabling him, they're at fault uponit7771 Oct 2024 #24

Abolishinist

(2,878 posts)
3. Keep it up with blaming white men,
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 10:40 PM
Oct 2024

a real WINNER! I have to say, this site is really not friendly to 'us'.

(full disclosure, I'm a 65+ white male)

 

brush

(61,033 posts)
4. Tell me where that's not true. On DU we're all progressives here and obviously progressive white men...
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 10:46 PM
Oct 2024

are not who were talking about. I didn't think that had to be explained.

 

Self Esteem

(2,248 posts)
7. If white men didn't vote, Republicans would never win another election.
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 10:50 PM
Oct 2024

I am a white man.

I know that I am very much in the minority of my demographic when it comes to politics. In 2020, only 38% of white men voted for Biden - 61% for Trump. That was actually better than what Hillary saw. She only won 31% of white men.

Abolishinist

(2,878 posts)
16. Wow, I can't believe I'm reading this.
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 11:19 PM
Oct 2024

So if you took away one person, one vote, and only allowed certain people to vote, Dems would always win.

Fascinating. So tell me, how much would annual tax collections increase/decrease if us 'white men' didn't have to pay taxes? I mean, if I don't have the right to vote, I shouldn't have to pay taxes, right? Do that calculation and get back to me.

 

Self Esteem

(2,248 posts)
18. What are you even going off about?
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 11:32 PM
Oct 2024

It's a fact that white men overwhelmingly support Trump. You don't like that? Well do a better job convincing white men to not like Trump.

And yes, if white men didn't vote (I never said take away their vote lmao), Democrats would never lose another election again.

Just like if women stopped voting, Republicans would never lose an election again. You seem to get upset over facts. I'm sorry about that.

Abolishinist

(2,878 posts)
19. Of course.
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 11:39 PM
Oct 2024

And guess what, if Democrats didn't vote, then Republicans would never lose another election. Your 'facts' are nothing but mindless fantasy. Sorry, I live in the real world.

 

Self Esteem

(2,248 posts)
20. Do you deny white men overwhelmingly support Trump?
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 11:44 PM
Oct 2024

What exactly is your issue? White men largely are the reason we have Trump. I am so sorry the truth hurts your feelings.

Abolishinist

(2,878 posts)
25. I don't see 'white men' to be as much of a final descriptor as other factors.
Sun Oct 27, 2024, 03:45 PM
Oct 2024

• Belief in a sky doG. The more evangelical a white person is, the more they attend church, the more likely they are to be a R. They go through life believing something created them and thus owns them, knows their thoughts and can convict them for thought crime, and for various unknown reasons can then condemn them to eternal torture.

• Location, location, location. Percentage wise, these people are far more prominent in rural communities. Far less exposure to larger cities with variety, culture, the arts, etc.

• A feeling of being left behind. Loss of jobs, believing that minorities and illegals are taking these jobs away from them, and no skills to move beyond this.

• Education level. White men without a college degree voted 28% for Biden, 70% for the former.

So yes, white men are more likely to vote for the other side, but unless one can find a way address the above plus more not mentioned, I'm not so sure this is the best line of attack. Better to focus on getting out the vote. And of course, the electrical college puts a crimp in all of this as well. I live in SoCal, trying to convince my handyman to vote D would be a waste of my time, plus I highly doubt I could accomplish the task.

And please note for future reference, nothing said on this or any other site can hurt my feelings.

 

Self Esteem

(2,248 posts)
26. White men voted for Trump with over 61% of the vote.
Sun Oct 27, 2024, 06:07 PM
Oct 2024

That is a fact. White men were a massive part of what elected Donald Trump.

Deuxcents

(25,359 posts)
5. I know how I feel when I'm painted with a broad brush but if it doesn't apply to me personally, I'm not offended.
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 10:47 PM
Oct 2024

I think we’re all like minded here..fighting the good fight 💙

 

Self Esteem

(2,248 posts)
6. Why are you so surprised? This nation elected Trump, even after he was accused of some awful things.
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 10:48 PM
Oct 2024

None of this should be a surprise to anyone. Trump has been a garbage human being for his entire adult life. Some people like that.

 

brush

(61,033 posts)
9. I'm not surprised, just extremely disappointed. In 2016 tere was the newness factor...
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 10:56 PM
Oct 2024

of trump, and also that fucking James Comey's last minute stunt of re-opeing the Hillary email investication which was a pure hoax and he knew it. Hillary was comfortably ahead in the polls until then,

We did fire trump's vile, traitorous ass in 2020 as was definitely warranted, but for so many to back this criminal MFer again, like I said, we can't be this sick of a country for this race to be this close.

pat_k

(12,663 posts)
14. 40 years of Fox News brainwashing accelerated by. . .
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 11:14 PM
Oct 2024

. . . algorithm created social media information bubbles that just keep getting more bizarre, and you have a serious social problem.

This isn't a political partisan divide of decades past. We are in a whole new place. Far right brainwashing is a serious social problem tearing apart communities and families and we need to figure out some sort of national "recovery program." Something like Exit Deutschland on a big scale. Showcase recovering MAGA folk. More attention to the heartbreak of losing loved ones to the brainwashing.

We need to move from the current us vs. them-ism where we write "them" off as evil people that deserve nothing but our condemnation, to a serious examination of the snowballing social problems the the multibillion dollar far right noise machine kicked off, which is being accelerated at an unbelievable pace by social media algorithms fomenting anger and hatred that are sending an unbelievable number of Americans into rabbit holes that just keep getting more and more and more bizarre.

We need to take on Christianism Nationalism, while being very, very, clear that we are not condemning Christian faith.

We need more documentaries like the 2016 Brainwashing of My Dad



More people from progressive faith communities speaking out on the cancer that is Christian Nationalism.

TwilightZone

(28,836 posts)
8. Little has changed on Trump's side and it probably really is that close.
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 10:51 PM
Oct 2024

We rail against the concepts, but most indications show that they're true.

The people who are supporting him now are the same people who voted for him in 2016 and 2020. None of what he has done or said or promised matters to them -- it never did. His approval ratings have dropped very little in the past few months, despite the onslaughts, both internal and external. His support has always been relatively stable, though also relatively low. It's all inexplicable, but it also appears to be reality.

There's much more evidence that it's a close race than that it's not. It's going to come down to turnout. Our side just needs to show up in bigger numbers than their side, in the states that matter. That's the direction this was headed all along.

 

brush

(61,033 posts)
10. I agree that it's the same people sitll supporting trump since 2016...
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 11:01 PM
Oct 2024

which is why I'm urging us all to try as hard as we can to peel off votes from the large demographic that is still supporting the convict.

pat_k

(12,663 posts)
11. This thought keeps me sane.
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 11:01 PM
Oct 2024

Perhaps the analysis is wrong, but here's what I believe:

Pollsters are correcting for under-sampling Trump voters in 2016 and 2020 by oversampling them this year. As a consequence, they aren't detecting the actual spread.

In addition, the actual dynamics are in the opposite direction of the corrections.

This year, we have a meaningful number of Trump supporters who tell pollsters they are voting for Trump, but when it comes down to actually doing it, they just won't be able to. Either they won't turn out, will vote third party, or will vote Harris. In 2020 and particularly in 2016, the underlying dynamic was the opposite. There was a segment of folks who voted for Trump who didn't to admit their intention to pollsters.

Anyway, add the pollsters misguided corrections to the underlying phenomenon of Trump support eroding in the closing days as a meaningful percentage abandon him when it counts, and you get a "surprisingly strong" Harris victory.

This analysis may be proven wrong, but until it is, I'm sticking with it.

Do more. Worry less.

 

brush

(61,033 posts)
12. I like it. I think you're on to someting with the pollsters and their over-sampling...
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 11:06 PM
Oct 2024

in the previous elections.

pat_k

(12,663 posts)
17. Pollsters are always combating errors of the last cycle.
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 11:20 PM
Oct 2024

They assume the dynamics they "missed" last time are still operating.

The underlying dynamics are completely different this time. And once again, they are missing them. Even worse, their attempt to "fix" last cycle's errors is leading to a greater error this cycle.

Keepthesoulalive

(2,098 posts)
15. Boy did you step in a hornets nest
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 11:16 PM
Oct 2024

We can chastise black men for voting against their interests. But if you accuse white men , not all white men , we are not a monolith and don’ t broad brush us.
But the majority of white men vote Republican that’s a fact but don’t say it.

RidinWithHarris

(790 posts)
21. If haven't run into many white males here on DU (myself included) who get sensitive about this being brought up
Sat Oct 26, 2024, 11:58 PM
Oct 2024

Hell, I have often said myself how sad it is when I see a member of my own demographic group (especially if you narrow this to 60+ white males) that I'm probably looking at a Trump supporter.

 

brettdale

(12,748 posts)
22. Imagine it could come down to
Sun Oct 27, 2024, 02:04 AM
Oct 2024

5000 votes in one state, that decides the fate of the world.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»I still can't believe tha...