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Pototan

(3,212 posts)
Sun Oct 27, 2024, 11:53 AM Oct 2024

Dartmouth College Poll: Blue Outlier--Harris by 21 in NH

We've read enough Red outliers and "flood the zone" polls from the Trump side. I figured this one may warm your heart.

As a first ever poll from Dartmouth, I maybe would have held the results and redid it. However, if they are correct, they certainly will have made their mark.

As the first-ever Dartmouth Poll, the survey also shows that in one of most competitive gubernatorial races nationally, Democrat Joyce Craig leads Republican Kelly Ayotte in their bid to succeed Republican Gov. Chris Sununu.

The poll of 2,211 registered voters between Oct. 5 and 18 also shows Democrats ahead in the race for New Hampshire's two seats in the U.S. House.

When asked who they would support for president if the election were held in mid-October, 58.5% of Granite State voters say they would vote for Harris, 37.7% report that they would vote for Trump, and 3.7% report that they would vote support another candidate.


https://rockefeller.dartmouth.edu/about-center/dartmouth-poll/media-and-results

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lees1975

(7,190 posts)
1. Is it an outlier, or is it a poll minus all of the deceptive, partisan "factoring" and adjustment to make it competetive
Sun Oct 27, 2024, 12:08 PM
Oct 2024

so that it makes money for the media outlet that uses it? A dead heat sells, a blowout, probably not.

AmBlue

(3,460 posts)
2. I am in NH now and I believe it!!
Sun Oct 27, 2024, 12:25 PM
Oct 2024

Have been here since early October visiting my son. Driving around the state, I can confirm that the Harris/Walz signs outnumber the Trump signs probably 20:1!!! (This is central western NH-- Upper Valley area.)

ColinC

(11,098 posts)
3. No outlier if the already voted polls are to be believed
Sun Oct 27, 2024, 12:35 PM
Oct 2024

Republican turnout is either equal to or ahead of Dems, but Dems lead by 10-35 among those who already voted. As I keep saying!

This will be a blowout.

OAITW r.2.0

(32,617 posts)
4. Interesting...Dartmouth used to be a hotbed for young Republicans...
Sun Oct 27, 2024, 02:07 PM
Oct 2024

Times achangin'?

Sorry, I misread the article, I thought this was a poll at Dartmouth.

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