Stuart Stevens just said on MSNBC that it won't be close Harris will win by a larger margin than Biden

[Tribetime]

So early voting numbers must be great.

[JohnSJ]

1. Who is Stuart Stevens?

[Ocelot II]

2. Frequent MSNBC contributor. Reformed Republican,

used to be a major Republican strategist, now he's a Lincoln Project adviser.

[JohnSJ]

7. Thank-you. I he assessment is right on.

[Tribetime]

3. Political consultant he's on regularly

[ClimateHawk]

4. He's a former Republican and member of The Lincoln Project

[elleng]

5. Appears often on meidas . . ., smart guy has come around.

Stuart Stevens is an American author and political consultant. He was the cofounder of Washington, D.C. - based political media consultancy Stevens & Schriefer Group. In 2013, he became a founding partner in Strategic Partners & Media. Wikipedia

[JohnSJ]

8. Thanks.

[OnDoutside]

18. He wrote a really excellent book called It was all a lie.

[BeyondGeography]

6. He's a very smart man

And I hope he is right.

[texasfiddler]

9. He ran George W Bush campaign.

[helpisontheway]

10. I hope he is right. However, I remember when all of the media said zHillary was going to win

Then we were all in shock for months. Most awful time ever.

[Big Blue Marble]

12. His comments are going upstream.

There seems to be a fatalism creeping in that Trump is going to win. The perception
is very different than in 2016.

His comments are a breath of fresh air. Let's hope he is correct.

[Quixote1818]

11. Article with him saying the same thing

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4951697-stuart-stevens-mitt-romney-adviser-kamala-harris-2024-election/

[Tribetime]

14. Wow ty ..Harris running the most successful campaign in history

[RockRaven]

13. Biden's margin of victory was several tens of thousands of votes in a few states.

So it would be hard to win and not have a larger margin.

[DinahMoeHum]

15. Stevens has said this as early as September

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/stuart-stevens-trump-crash-prediction_n_66d684cde4b0f968d26d82c2

“Trump lost by 7 million votes [in 2020],” . . . “He needs new customers. What is he doing to attract new customers?”

Stevens said Trump has no new vision, promise or policy that brings new voters, which is why he is “stuck” at about 46% in polls, which is what he had in his losing 2020 campaign.

“I think the more likely scenario is that this race is gonna be close until maybe Oct. 20th, 25th, and then I just think the bottom’s gonna start to drop out for Trump because he’s not acquiring new voters,” he said. “This is what happened to Carter in ’80, and I think there’s a lot of similarities here.”

Politics, he said, requires addition ― but Trump isn’t doing anything to add new voters.

Personally, I feel that GOP cratering will start this week - when early voting is in full swing everywhere in the US, by mail, drop box or person.

[Persondem]

20. In a just released (Oct. 27) ABC poll, Harris's lead went from +2 to +4, now 51% to 47%

There's also good news in that poll regarding Black and Latino men, and, of course, personal traits. Could be a sign of your prediction regarding GOP cratering.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/harris-regains-slight-lead-nationally-electoral-college-holds/story?id=115083875

[Prairie Gates]

16. Meh

[elocs]

17. One can only hope along with getting out to vote which I did last Wednesday when I voted in person at my city hall. n/t

[Fiendish Thingy]

19. Well, in the popular vote for sure.

Nobody knows just how the swing states will go.

[G_KIA]

21. I have no doubt she'll win the popular vote by a good margin.

It's the swing states that matter, though, and this view (and article) gives me hope we're doing better than other media would suggest.