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Pototan

(3,240 posts) Fri Nov 1, 2024, 07:37 AM Nov 2024

Brand New Marist Poll: Harris leads in all 3 "Blue Wall" sates

The Marist Poll released Friday showed Harris leading former President Trump by 3 points in Michigan and 2 points in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The results are a slight improvement for Harris in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and slight decline for her in Michigan, compared to Marist’s poll in September, but she maintained her advantage across the board.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4964711-harris-leads-trump-marist-poll/

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Brand New Marist Poll: Harris leads in all 3 "Blue Wall" sates (Original Post) Pototan Nov 2024 OP

Major unions are canvassing this weekend in all of the swing states. Heard on NPR. yellowcanine Nov 2024 #1

quietly hopeful! samnsara Nov 2024 #2

Jmo, but these LV polls Deminpenn Nov 2024 #3

yellowcanine

(36,886 posts)

1. Major unions are canvassing this weekend in all of the swing states. Heard on NPR.

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Fri Nov 1, 2024, 07:43 AM

Nov 2024

ACLU says it is their biggest operation ever. Garbage that Donald!

samnsara

(18,784 posts)

2. quietly hopeful!

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Fri Nov 1, 2024, 07:43 AM

Nov 2024

Deminpenn

(17,624 posts)

3. Jmo, but these LV polls

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Fri Nov 1, 2024, 07:46 AM

Nov 2024

are probably the worst case scenario for Harris because they seem to represent a more R heavy electorate.

Very similar to the most recent Franklin & Marshall poll in PA where their LV model had her less than 1 pt ahead, but the RVs had her up by 4. F&M explained in the poll overview memo that their LV criteria made the LV results skew older and more conservative/R.

Further in PA there 3, iirc, 3rd party candidates on the ballot for president. Combined they're likely to get more than 2% of the vote

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