Can the analysis be this simple?

[Pototan]

Put aside all the other demographics, if Kamala Harris carries women in the 3 blue wall states by a larger net margin than Adolf Drumpf carries men, then the election is over. Women will vote at least 4 or 5 points heavier than men.

And I think that that scenario is almost a certainty.

[TwilightZone]

1. Pretty much.

Women vote more than men in every election, so if that translates to each of those three states, then...

If she wins PA, MI, WI, along with NE-2 (she's at +8 to +12 in the polls) and VA (likely safe), she's at 270.

I'm not sure if it's a certainty, but it seems to be trending that way.

[spooky3]

4. I would be stunned if she loses VA. Would love to see her

Win NC and make it close in FL or TX.

[CrispyQ]

8. I would love for it to be easily called before the morning of the 6th.

I know, but I'm crossing my fingers. If we all just vote, by next week at this time he will already be deflating, right before our eyes. Yes, there will be lawsuits & chaos & probably some violence, but he will be like an old, orange balloon you find after the circus leaves town. Eventually even the cult will crawl back under their rocks.

[Arthur_Frain]

2. Sometimes

It’s the simple things in life that bring peace.

[Karadeniz]

3. Landslide coming !!!!

[Pototan]

10. I sure would love that

[ramedy]

5. Yep.

All of the hand wringing will be for naught.

I truly believe we will be witnessing history on Tuesday. Women will save the United States of America (and the world).

💙💙💙💙💙

[lees1975]

6. If it breaks down by gender alone, women outvote men 55-45, on the average.

It will be interesting to see exit polling data. There are an awful lot of white men in her rally crowds, not just in the seats on stage. Watching the camera pan the long line and the crowd in Phoenix, there were a lot of men, period, and since the population there is less than 8% black, most of those men were either white or latino.

I think the polls have been trusting too much in past models. Trump is running around like a madman, he's more of just a bad actor than he is a politician. He seems to be reacting to bad news from his internal campaign poll, they tell him how popular Obamacare is and how much it hurts him to want to overturn it, and he goes and decides to grasp at straws with extremists by saying he wants to make RFK in charge of healthcare. His campaign people must have fallen on the floor when that happened. He's flailing around like a fish out of water.

[CrispyQ]

9. He's never had a situation that his family's money or influence couldn't get him out of. Until now.

Foreign money will dry up Wednesday & I suspect the RNC won't finance him anymore either, assuming they have anything left on the books. That brings a smile to my face!! And then there are his legal issues.

[CrispyQ]

7. The past two weeks, especially, this election has morphed into women & the men who love them vs. men who hate women.

I'm LMAO at the reaction that that Harris commercial has had. The one of the two women voting. OMG, they are having an emotional fit over it!! There are more of us than there are of them. It shouldn't be such an even split & maybe this year it won't be. Tons of repub & conservative women are PISSED OFF!