General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsNow my concerns are about the House and Senate races
Kamala can't do much without Congress. Any idea how those races are going?
magicarpet
(19,146 posts)ananda
(35,393 posts)I really want her to have both the House and the Senate
to work with.
ibegurpard
(17,081 posts)With the redistricting changes in LA and AL
If we hold everything we currently have and pick up a couple more we win the House
The Senate is what I'm worried about. Tester has been dragging in the polls... although he seems to have picked up a bit lately. He always finishes strong in squeakers but the headwinds in Montana have gotten progressively worse over the years. I don't see us winning anything else to replace him unless polls are really far off and Democrats once again overperform their polling.
Faux pas
(16,496 posts)all the way down the ballot, I was extra thrilled if the D was a woman!!!
onetexan
(13,913 posts)"This is in line with the October 16 release, which showed Republicans on track for 51 seats and Democrats for 48, but shows a slightly closer contest than the September 23 release, which showed Republicans on track for 51 seats and Democrats for 47.
For its House projections, YouGov simulated each of the House races 5,000 times. In 58% of those simulations, Democrats won a majority of seats at least 218. In the median simulation, Democrats won 219 seats."
No date so i don't know how recent this is. Hoping all down ballot races will benefit from Kamala's win, and the "vote blue up & down ballot" messaging so Dems will have the trifecta.
yourout
(8,860 posts)TwilightZone
(28,836 posts)Senate is a tough map. It would help to steal a seat like Nebraska.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100219602118
Starfury
(861 posts)Taking back the House is critical to preventing any MAGA quasi-legal political BS shenanigans that could prevent any candidate from winning 270 electoral votes out right. That would likely lead to the R-controlled House using arcane Constitutional rules to ultimately hand the White House back to Trump, regardless of the popular vote.
The Senate is also critical, of course, but the importance of the House races cannot be overstated, IMO.