General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsI've been playing with the interactive EC maps and it always ends with Pa. being the deciding factor.
I'm getting very worried. Talk me down.
meadowlander
(5,157 posts)texasfiddler
(2,199 posts)Not sure what Elon Musk and Charlie Kirk are doing.
Johonny
(26,629 posts)Metaphorical
(2,660 posts)with room to spare.
Pennsylvania is a sandwich, with Philly and Pittsburgh sandwiching Alabama.
I'm going to make a prediction - his Alabama supporters are not going to show up. They can see the lack of energy, the erratic behavior, the increasingly desperate look in his eyes. They may be driven by misogyny and racism, but I really doubt that either of those factors are going to make that big a difference, and ... to be honest, MAGATs are sheep. They follow the flock, which usually follows the shepherd. The flock is increasingly confused and erratic, and they are not going to vote strongly if they feel that the herd is rudderless. If they haven't voted by now, they won't show up on Tuesday.
bucolic_frolic
(55,844 posts)Pennsylvania Democratic Party is ALL IN! Local groups that we didn't have in 2020, busloads of out of state canvassers, phone calls.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/10143333286
https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1014&pid=3333306
ProudMNDemocrat
(20,984 posts)She finishes the campaign there tomorrow.
Puerto Ricans in PA will not be so forgiving of tRump either.
Aepps22
(414 posts)Do more and worry less
LisaL
(47,510 posts)More democrats than republicans voted absentee by mail (I don't think PA has early in person voting).
ColinC
(11,098 posts)kelly1mm
(5,756 posts)if President Trump wins there.
The swing states in order of importance are PA WI MI, then NC GA then AZ NV. Unless President Trump wins one of PA WI or MI it is over for him (unless something crazy pops up like NH going R). If he wins PA then several additional options open up to him including losing NC or GA (unlikely) or one/both of NV AZ. Winning WI or MI means he has to win both NC and GA but can lose AZ or NV.
Vice President Harris needs the blue wall to hold. President Trump needs to pick at least one of them off and then the majority of the remaining toss ups. If she loses PA she has to win either NC or GA AND either AZ or NV. If she loses MI of WI but holds PA then if she wins either NC or GA she wins.
Prairie Gates
(8,479 posts)Glad to have you here.
luvallpeeps
(1,288 posts)Ferrets are Cool
(23,051 posts)Fiendish Thingy
(24,115 posts)And either NV, AZ, or now, IA.
Harris has multiple paths to 270, Trump has one, and it requires winning PA, NC, GA and IA.
DontBelieveEastisEas
(1,211 posts)PoindexterOglethorpe
(28,493 posts)a nail-biter.
Just my opinion.
LudwigPastorius
(15,011 posts)But, I think the VP will carry the day there.
When you strip out Atlas Intel from the aggregate of polls in Penn., the state is tied/leaning Harris. Even the latest, biased FOX news poll show the state as tied.
IMO, Pennsylvania's 19 electoral votes will likely determine the overall winner.
Kick in to the DU tip jar?
This week we're running a special pop-up mini fund drive. From Monday through Friday we're going ad-free for all registered members, and we're asking you to kick in to the DU tip jar to support the site and keep us financially healthy.
As a bonus, making a contribution will allow you to leave kudos for another DU member, and at the end of the week we'll recognize the DUers who you think make this community great.