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texasfiddler

(2,199 posts)
2. 1 million Pennsylvania homes were knocked on by Democratic Canvassers today alone.
Sun Nov 3, 2024, 07:48 PM
Nov 2024

Not sure what Elon Musk and Charlie Kirk are doing.

Metaphorical

(2,660 posts)
3. I think Harris has PA
Sun Nov 3, 2024, 07:50 PM
Nov 2024

with room to spare.

Pennsylvania is a sandwich, with Philly and Pittsburgh sandwiching Alabama.

I'm going to make a prediction - his Alabama supporters are not going to show up. They can see the lack of energy, the erratic behavior, the increasingly desperate look in his eyes. They may be driven by misogyny and racism, but I really doubt that either of those factors are going to make that big a difference, and ... to be honest, MAGATs are sheep. They follow the flock, which usually follows the shepherd. The flock is increasingly confused and erratic, and they are not going to vote strongly if they feel that the herd is rudderless. If they haven't voted by now, they won't show up on Tuesday.

bucolic_frolic

(55,844 posts)
4. AZ GA NC IA - some combos work there too, to replace a PA fail
Sun Nov 3, 2024, 07:52 PM
Nov 2024

Pennsylvania Democratic Party is ALL IN! Local groups that we didn't have in 2020, busloads of out of state canvassers, phone calls.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/10143333286

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1014&pid=3333306

ProudMNDemocrat

(20,984 posts)
5. Women will deliver PA gor Kamala.
Sun Nov 3, 2024, 07:53 PM
Nov 2024

She finishes the campaign there tomorrow.

Puerto Ricans in PA will not be so forgiving of tRump either.

LisaL

(47,510 posts)
7. Early voting in PA looks good.
Sun Nov 3, 2024, 07:54 PM
Nov 2024

More democrats than republicans voted absentee by mail (I don't think PA has early in person voting).

ColinC

(11,098 posts)
8. 2 days of GOTV and Harris likely has by far the most organized and expansive ground operation in history
Sun Nov 3, 2024, 07:54 PM
Nov 2024
 

kelly1mm

(5,756 posts)
9. Vice President Harris CAN win without PA but you are right, PA will probably be deciding - particularly
Sun Nov 3, 2024, 07:54 PM
Nov 2024

if President Trump wins there.

The swing states in order of importance are PA WI MI, then NC GA then AZ NV. Unless President Trump wins one of PA WI or MI it is over for him (unless something crazy pops up like NH going R). If he wins PA then several additional options open up to him including losing NC or GA (unlikely) or one/both of NV AZ. Winning WI or MI means he has to win both NC and GA but can lose AZ or NV.

Vice President Harris needs the blue wall to hold. President Trump needs to pick at least one of them off and then the majority of the remaining toss ups. If she loses PA she has to win either NC or GA AND either AZ or NV. If she loses MI of WI but holds PA then if she wins either NC or GA she wins.

Fiendish Thingy

(24,115 posts)
13. She can lose PA if she wins GA or NC
Sun Nov 3, 2024, 08:34 PM
Nov 2024

And either NV, AZ, or now, IA.

Harris has multiple paths to 270, Trump has one, and it requires winning PA, NC, GA and IA.

LudwigPastorius

(15,011 posts)
17. I think you are right about Pennsylvania.
Sun Nov 3, 2024, 11:49 PM
Nov 2024

But, I think the VP will carry the day there.

When you strip out Atlas Intel from the aggregate of polls in Penn., the state is tied/leaning Harris. Even the latest, biased FOX news poll show the state as tied.

IMO, Pennsylvania's 19 electoral votes will likely determine the overall winner.

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