Kamala is going to WIN!

[Mortos]

My final election prediction is:

Kamala Harris will win the presidency handily. In a repudiation of Trump and MAGA, Harris will see an unexpected and unpredicted outpouring of votes from younger voters, female voters (including a record number of older white women), voters of color, and moderate Republicans. She will also do better than expected with white males.

The final electoral college tally will be, Harris 308 - Trump 230

Harris will win swing states Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Nevada, and Georgia.

Trump will win Arizona.

Harris will trounce Trump in the popular vote with between 8 and 10 million more voters supporting her.

Democrats will win a majority in the House of Representatives, the final result will be 222 Democratic to 213 Republicans.

The Senate will be split evenly after Democrats and Independents win more races than expected but VP Walz will cast deciding votes.

[Arne]

1. It looks right, I mean correct.

[Zambero]

2. I foresee a similar if not identical outcome

Arizona a maybe. And hey, a blue Iowa would be sweet indeed!

[Mortos]

3. I would love Iowa to turn blue

I truly believe this election will be a shock and awe event, like the 2016 election but in reverse. People are sick and tired of Trump and his neverending cavalcade of nuts, whackjobs, and yes, garbage.

[yardwork]

7. I think that's true.

I think a lot of Republicans have had it with him.

[Kaleva]

9. A friend of my wife's said that her R siblings are voting for Harris

[yardwork]

10. Good! This is in MI?

[Kaleva]

13. The lady's siblings live south of us in Wisconsin

[Aristus]

4. There's still a part of me that thinks Harris can squeak out a win in Florida.

But I love this prediction.

[Mortos]

5. My prediction is the base line

I think it is entirely possibly, Harris will do even better.

[yardwork]

6. I love your predictions!

Here are mine: https://www.democraticunderground.com/100219652630

[lame54]

8. Still no Iowa?

[yardwork]

11. I predict she'll win IA:

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100219652630

[Mortos]

12. I would love to see her win Iowa

If she does, my prediction will look anemic in hindsight.

[Initech]

14. My prediction: 344 - 194

States:

- Dems flip Arizona because of Kari Lake's nonsense
- Mark Robinson costs republicans North Carolina
- Dems pick up Iowa
- Dems pick up Ohio because of JD Vance and Springfield
- Texas stays red but trends purple and getting bluer
- Florida stays red but trends purple and getting bluer
- Dems also pick up the controversial NE 3 votes

Senators:

- Rick Scott and Ted Cruz are finally flushed
- Adam Schiff defeats Steve Garvey in a landslide

Governors:

- Mark Robinson is flushed in a landslide

[Mortos]

15. I like the cut of your jib

From your keyboard to God's ears.

[Initech]

16. Amen to that!

Turning Texas and Florida blue is going to be like fetching candy from a vending machine. You're not going to get it on the first try, you have to rock it back and forth a few times, then it goes over.

[FHRRK]

17. Looks good

But I think AZ will go to Harris and one other tbd state. (The 2008 Indiana result will happen again, no idea if it will be Iowa, Kansas, or one of the big ones)

320+ EVs

[Mortos]

18. I would love Harris to win AZ

If she does, this will be a blowout...a blue-nami, if you will.

[Sky Jewels]

20. AZ has an abortion measure on the ballot

which makes me think she will probably take that state.

[SocialDemocrat61]

19. OK

[Arthur_Frain]

21. Yknow if we ditch the electoral college somehow

That big red pillar in the middle of the county disappears.