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speak easy

(12,598 posts)
Mon Nov 4, 2024, 06:26 PM Nov 2024

So just like that, Mark Penn has Harris at +1

after being one of the most active pro-Trump pollsters of all.

New Forbes/HarrisX Survey: Harris And Trump In Near-Dead Heat 1 Day Before Election


Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are statistically tied in the final Forbes/HarrisX pre-election survey, with Harris showing a razor-thin one-point lead—the latest poll to show there’s no clear leader just a day before the election.

Harris leads Trump 49%-48% among likely voters—within the one-point margin of error—in a four-way race with third-party candidates Jill Stein and Cornel West on the ballot, with 2% backing West and 1% backing Stein (the results include those who have already voted, and account for respondents who are undecided but leaning toward one candidate).

https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/11/04/new-forbesharrisx-survey-harris-and-trump-in-near-dead-heat-1-day-before-election/
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hlthe2b

(113,986 posts)
6. "He can't stray?" This is a Forbes poll and it is RW biased as are most right now.
Mon Nov 4, 2024, 06:40 PM
Nov 2024

They are all doing everything possible to adjust their polls findings to "fit in" with the others and not be outliers--making them useless.

Response to hlthe2b (Reply #1)

speak easy

(12,598 posts)
4. He is Forbes' pollster.
Mon Nov 4, 2024, 06:37 PM
Nov 2024

Widely reported. For example, The Hill :-

Former President Trump has taken a 2-point lead over Vice President Harris nationally, according to a new poll conducted by HarrisX and Forbes.

The poll found Trump leading Harris, 51 percent to 49 percent. In a September survey, Harris led by 4 points.

Response to speak easy (Original post)

getagrip_already

(17,802 posts)
8. Pollsters who want future credibility need a credible final poll
Mon Nov 4, 2024, 06:44 PM
Nov 2024

So they release one closer to reality with a margin of error they think will absolve them of error if someone looks back to see how they did during the last election.

This happens every cycle.

And then some numbnut points to the last polls and says they were right, so the polls arent bad.

Its part of the bs.

This is fourth or fifth poll to do this today that weve seen. Lots will do it we wont catch.

lees1975

(7,046 posts)
9. Yep, the closer to the center and even they get, the better their chance of hitting in the margin of error.
Mon Nov 4, 2024, 06:47 PM
Nov 2024

If it's a two point spread, it's harder to get within the MOE. One is safe. Unless she wins by 7 or 8.

Johnny2X2X

(24,212 posts)
11. He's been a Trump +2-4 for some time.
Mon Nov 4, 2024, 06:52 PM
Nov 2024

Either he’s adjusting to not be wrong or she saw a surge recently. Both good.

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