General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsSo just like that, Mark Penn has Harris at +1
after being one of the most active pro-Trump pollsters of all.
New Forbes/HarrisX Survey: Harris And Trump In Near-Dead Heat 1 Day Before Election
Harris leads Trump 49%-48% among likely voterswithin the one-point margin of errorin a four-way race with third-party candidates Jill Stein and Cornel West on the ballot, with 2% backing West and 1% backing Stein (the results include those who have already voted, and account for respondents who are undecided but leaning toward one candidate).
https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/11/04/new-forbesharrisx-survey-harris-and-trump-in-near-dead-heat-1-day-before-election/
hlthe2b
(113,986 posts)speak easy
(12,598 posts)He can't stray too far from the real polls at the end.
hlthe2b
(113,986 posts)They are all doing everything possible to adjust their polls findings to "fit in" with the others and not be outliers--making them useless.
speak easy
(12,598 posts)CYA.
Response to hlthe2b (Reply #1)
Wiz Imp This message was self-deleted by its author.
Fiendish Thingy
(23,246 posts)speak easy
(12,598 posts)Widely reported. For example, The Hill :-
The poll found Trump leading Harris, 51 percent to 49 percent. In a September survey, Harris led by 4 points.
Fiendish Thingy
(23,246 posts)Response to speak easy (Original post)
W_HAMILTON This message was self-deleted by its author.
getagrip_already
(17,802 posts)So they release one closer to reality with a margin of error they think will absolve them of error if someone looks back to see how they did during the last election.
This happens every cycle.
And then some numbnut points to the last polls and says they were right, so the polls arent bad.
Its part of the bs.
This is fourth or fifth poll to do this today that weve seen. Lots will do it we wont catch.
lees1975
(7,046 posts)If it's a two point spread, it's harder to get within the MOE. One is safe. Unless she wins by 7 or 8.
moonscape
(5,725 posts)Johnny2X2X
(24,212 posts)Either hes adjusting to not be wrong or she saw a surge recently. Both good.
Prairie Gates
(8,168 posts)West won't get .3%. Ridiculous.