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JohnSJ

(98,883 posts)
1. The 25% other plus the Democratic percent is greater than 50%, and
Tue Nov 5, 2024, 11:06 AM
Nov 2024

makes it interesting.


Amishman

(5,929 posts)
3. independents are steadily growing as a share of the electorate
Tue Nov 5, 2024, 11:08 AM
Nov 2024

we're already at the point where which direction they break is a major factor, and if they continue to expand, will eventually become the near universal decisive factor.

pstokely

(10,891 posts)
8. aren't many younger voters unaffiliated with any party?
Tue Nov 5, 2024, 11:19 AM
Nov 2024

since they may not have any attachment to them

Fiendish Thingy

(23,240 posts)
2. 70% of what?
Tue Nov 5, 2024, 11:07 AM
Nov 2024

The entire population of registered voters?

That seems incredibly high and unlikely.

Amishman

(5,929 posts)
6. It appears to be correct, Florida tends to have far higher turnout than most states
Tue Nov 5, 2024, 11:10 AM
Nov 2024

Florida hit 77% in 2020.

Jose Garcia

(3,506 posts)
7. Registered votes
Tue Nov 5, 2024, 11:13 AM
Nov 2024

We've had a week and a half of early voting, and a lot of FL voters have been using absentee ballots long before COVID-19. Most voters vote before election day.

Indykatie

(3,868 posts)
12. 8.2 Million Votes Have Been Reported for FL Early Voting Numbers
Tue Nov 5, 2024, 11:32 AM
Nov 2024

43% for GOP
33% for Dems
24% for Ind and other minor parties

Republicans have an 800K lead coming into election day. There are 13,845,913 registered voters in Florida so 60% has voted already. A total of 10,965,776 Votes were cast in 2020. Here's hoping a large % of the 3 party votes broke heavily for Harris and she picks up some GOP votes.

Metaphorical

(2,634 posts)
16. If the 2:1 indie split pattern for harris holds true
Tue Nov 5, 2024, 12:42 PM
Nov 2024

We could be looking at 49% Harris tonight in Florida. Wow.

Jose Garcia

(3,506 posts)
9. FL is lost cause this year, but the high turnout could be
Tue Nov 5, 2024, 11:19 AM
Nov 2024

a good sign of what could happen in other states.

Republicans have an insurmountable registration advantage in FL, but they don't in swing states like PA.

GreenWave

(12,641 posts)
5. They lie like a rug!
Tue Nov 5, 2024, 11:09 AM
Nov 2024

Repugs only have 39.4%

Our guys at 31.6%
Others at 28.9%

I went with total voters.

Others could defeat Trump. Not all R's will vote Trump. Some will not cast a vote for him. Some may cast a vote for Harris. Have heart still.

La lucha continua.

Wiz Imp

(9,997 posts)
13. Based on what is known at this point from early voting and polling
Tue Nov 5, 2024, 11:47 AM
Nov 2024

Perhaps as many as 10% or more of Republican are voting for Harris, far higher than the number of Democrats voting for Trump.

tishaLA

(14,778 posts)
10. Probably a good sign for reproductive rights
Tue Nov 5, 2024, 11:20 AM
Nov 2024

After that hideous administration did everything it could to undermine the vote.

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