This is not going to be a blowout.

[Self Esteem]

It is not going to be a 2012 style romp either.

This is turning into a very tight race. It mirrors 2020 in some respects. The data does not seem to suggest Harris is overperforming the polls.

I think Harris will win, especially with turnout in Philly, but it's going to be close. This election is going to be decided by a few thousand votes across multiple states.

[XanaDUer2]

1. I feel sick to my stomach

[oswaldactedalone]

3. Same here

[QED]

27. Me too

[debm55]

58. Same here

[tritsofme]

2. I think Harris is likely to win, but a Democratic Senate majority seems like a miracle at this point.

[orange jar]

6. This.

I'm more concerned about the Senate races at this point.

[moonscape]

15. I thought holding the .Senate would be a miracle even

as I expected her margin to be a lot greater than it will likely turn out to be.

My calm now has butterflies.

[edisdead]

4. I am sick to my stomach

[D_Master81]

5. You mean exactly what the polls were saying

My rule for 20 years of following elections is don’t disregard polls you don’t like.

[Self Esteem]

8. Yes.

[missaj]

25. I agree.

The polls have been telling us for weeks that this race is close and could go either way. Kamala told us she was the underdog.

[Dem4life1234]

7. These types of posts turn my anxiety up to level 100

[BlueTsunami2018]

9. This was always a coin flip.

I don’t know why anyone thought otherwise. As much as we can’t believe anyone would vote for him, they think the same of us.

The sad part is, we can win by 8-10 million in popular vote and still lose.

[krawhitham]

10. NY Times' Needle is treading the wrong way

[krawhitham]

17. She was not ahead in the polls

[Self Esteem]

19. The polls were even.

The results will likely be almost even - within one or two points at the most in most swing states.

[LiberalFighter]

47. Results are not complete and states don't provide them at same time

That is states have different closing hours. And each county needs to collect from the polling places before they are uploaded to the state.

Until there is enough data they are not going to announce it.

It is too early to declare Kamala as the winner. Never has been announced this early.

[Groundhawg]

57. What poll?

[Xolodno]

12. Don't know why anyone thought it would be.

The orange one was campaigning the day he left the Oval office.

[berkerly6240]

13. Others have said it, this was never a blow out..

I'll take a Harris win though by any margin.

[surfered]

14. I am losing my faith in my fellow Americans to make good choices

[K221]

52. Faith

I lost faith in 04 when W was given a 2nd term

[Kablooie]

16. A tight race means SCOTUS will possibly decide the winner.

The Rs will mount so many lawsuits that will make SCOTUS the kingmaker in the end.
You know how that will turn out.

I sure hope we are all wrong and a blue tidal wave emerges before the end.
That could be the only way our country will be saved from as eternal, despotic dictatorship.

[Jason1961]

18. This will be a blowout, just don't expect the media to report on it

The second viewers decide the race is over they turn the TV off

[Self Esteem]

21. The good news is that you don't need the media to report the results to you.

You can review them yourself and compare the data to 2020 and 2016 and 2012 to see a trend.

If you do that, you'll see that this race is not a blowout and won't be a blowout. I'd say right now Harris is likely the underdog in Georgia and North Carolina and we just don't know about PA, MI or WI yet.

[iemanja]

32. Yeah, the media irrationally reports votes.

[iemanja]

63. How is your blowout going?

[Ace Rothstein]

20. It never was going to be a blowout.

Anyone who said otherwise was kidding themselves.

[Self Esteem]

22. Plenty said it. I was always called a concern troll for suggesting this was a toss-up.

[Polybius]

53. Same here

I wasn't popular for my prediction today.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100219659138

[Self Esteem]

56. I got bullish with my final prediction after a conference call with Dem leaders on Monday.

They felt things were breaking their way and these aren't folks who blow smoke up your butt.

I didn't think it would be a blowout but I did think Harris would take Georgia and North Carolina based on the buzz I was hearing.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100219654069

Which is funny because a week before, the mood was decidedly different. Very cautious and that it would be a tight, tight - tight race.

And that's when I made this prediction:

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100219631335

Looks like that might be closer to reality.

[Polybius]

59. A lot of people who were on the fence voted early

Trump had an awful last 2 weeks. I bet some early Trump voters regretted their votes.

[Blasphemer]

62. I'm the same as you...

I told my aunt that Harris would secure the Blue Wall but lose NV, AZ, NC, and GA by a hair. I felt sure about that for months. Then I got caught up in the excitement (especially with all the GOTV efforts here in NC). The bottom line is that people are pissed off enough about inflation that other issues are taking a backseat. That said - so long as she wins, I don't care what the electoral votes look like.

[FakeNoose]

23. It's still early ... we're going to have a definitive win ... but it takes time to count all the votes

We're fine, please stop worrying.

It was never going to be a "blowout" or a "landslide." I was cautioning DUers from using those terms.
Here's a clue: it won't be decided tonight. But I believe we should know by sometime tomorrow.
(Hopefully early in the day, but we'll see.)

[Self Esteem]

24. If Harris wins, it'll be by fewer electoral votes than Biden saw in 2020.

I am not liking what is happening in NC and GA at the moment.

But more importantly: this tells me that the polls were generally spot on and that this was a toss-up race despite everyone thinking it wasn't.

No need to doom yet. She still wins this by winning Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. Its just that at the moment, alternative paths to 270 seem unlikely.

[Lovie777]

26. Please stop it...................

[Dem4life1234]

28. Thank you!

Sick of this!

[Self Esteem]

31. Do you want me to lie?

It's clear this is going to be a really tight race.

[Diraven]

54. Get ready for Trump's traditional tweet of

"Stop the count!"

[FakeNoose]

60. Since he's no longer the President, it doesn't matter what he says

[EnergizedLib]

29. If the Philly Special wins this for us

I will not deride any Phillies, Eagles, Flyers or Sixers fans for the next four years. But I hope Philly fans won't take any liberties.

[iemanja]

30. I knew it wouldn't be

In fact those blow out threads irritated me because they were so divorced from reality. People were thinking their wishes were facts. Of course we’d all like her to win huge, but the data didn’t and doesn’t support that.

God willing, she will win this close election.

[Bluethroughu]

33. I'm disappointed with how many Americans are okay

With Sedition, Fascism, Hate, and putrid behavior.

[JackedUpMel]

40. What?

Seriously… the Trump is literally Hitler line is one of the reasons we lose votes


Just stop

[Bluethroughu]

46. If somebody talks like Hitler, plans like Hilter and

Acts like Hitler...it's a fascist.

Nothing you say, can change what I've heard.

[BlueCheeseAgain]

34. Of all the years for Selzer to be wrong...

[Livluvgrow]

35. Winning the right states

If Kamala wins NC, PA, MI, and NV she will have 292 to 246 that's a blowout in my book. One can hope.

[Self Esteem]

36. I think that's her most likely map minus NC. I don't think she wins NC.

[SleeplessinSoCal]

37. The convicted Felon and rabble rouser should be behind bars.

Not the Oval Office alongside the fascists and parasites.

[Initech]

42. January 6th should have been the end of it.

Fuck Fox News and the Heritage Foundation to the hottest circle of hell for putting us in this situation.

[Cosmocat]

38. Been saying that all along

Such great energy w Kamala, but people here mostly underestimated Trumps support.

[onetexan]

39. Good vibes everybody. Let's keep up the optimism. Red states always get called first.

[EllieBC]

41. I'm not sure who genuinely thought it would be?

There’s optimism and then there is large doses of copium and hopium.

I am just praying we win.

[Self Esteem]

43. A lot of people got on many of our cases for saying this was a toss-up election.

[ForgedCrank]

45. Yea, I

just stopped trying after getting attacked so much. I understand that we need to stay positive, that is key. But we also need to be realistic. I still think we have a great shot at this, but it's way too close to be comfortable, and it has been for a few months now.

[ForgedCrank]

44. Let's all

just relax. Some have been trying to warn about this for some time, but this isn't an all-is-lost thing. Yes, it's going to be tight. But I still have faith that we will prevail. don't forget, the largest of the large districts take a LOT longer to finalize, and those create massive shifts in the numbers when they finally come in, so we shouldn't get worked up. Let's see what it looks like tomorrow, not right now

[Emile]

48. I will be able to say I voted with the majority

and so will you.

[Self Esteem]

49. Maybe the plurality.

I'm not convinced Harris wins 50+ of the popular vote tbh

[Emile]

50. You really think Trump will get the popular vote?

[Self Esteem]

51. No. Hillary won only 48% of the popular vote in 2016...

...not a majority.

I'm saying I see something similar happening with Harris. She wins the popular vote but not with a majority of it.

[yaesu]

55. what we are seeing is the results of voter suppression, billionaire money & foreign influence taking a toll

oh, and not having real media in this country.

[nycbos]

61. Anyone watching knew this

[Rebl2]

65. This must

have been posted a few days ago.

[Dem4life1234]

66. Heartbreaking

And we all thought she would win, if only a tiny bit. Just a bit.

She is still a winner in my eyes.