General Discussion

BlueCheeseAgain

(1,983 posts) Tue Nov 5, 2024, 08:37 PM Nov 2024

NYT forecast state of the race at 8:37 pm ET

Chance of winning is 58% R, 42% D.

Basically, NYT thinks GA is going Rep (70%), and NC is trending that way too (58%).

If they're right, then Harris's only remaining path is winning the blue wall of WI, MI, PA. They have WI and MI at 52% D, and PA at 53% R.

So, basically, it comes down to PA.

8 replies

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NYT forecast state of the race at 8:37 pm ET (Original Post) BlueCheeseAgain Nov 2024 OP

NOPE.............. Lovie777 Nov 2024 #1

But that NYT changes all the time arlyellowdog Nov 2024 #2

I remember that too. BlueCheeseAgain Nov 2024 #7

This message was self-deleted by its author Native Nov 2024 #3

This message was self-deleted by its author Native Nov 2024 #4

Link? Native Nov 2024 #5

Here you go. BlueCheeseAgain Nov 2024 #6

TX Native Nov 2024 #8

Lovie777

(21,480 posts)

1. NOPE..............

Reply to BlueCheeseAgain (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 08:40 PM

Nov 2024

arlyellowdog

(1,430 posts)

2. But that NYT changes all the time

Reply to BlueCheeseAgain (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 08:45 PM

Nov 2024

I so remember that from 2016. I don’t think it means we lost Georgia yet.

BlueCheeseAgain

(1,983 posts)

7. I remember that too.

Reply to arlyellowdog (Reply #2)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 08:55 PM

Nov 2024

They had GA trending red even though not many votes had come in, based on what was happening in FL. Then it turned out that FL was a special case. Or rather, Miami is a special case. In any case, once real data came in for GA, they had it as a tossup.