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edhopper

(37,370 posts)
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:02 PM Nov 2024

What is the explanation for so many less votes than 2020

Do I have this right? Trump got 73 million this time and 74 million in 2020.
Harris got 68 million compared to Biden's 81 million.
155 million compared to 141 million Tuesday.
Did 14 million less people vote?
I thought there were record voter registration and record turn out?

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What is the explanation for so many less votes than 2020 (Original Post) edhopper Nov 2024 OP
Same cilla4progress Nov 2024 #1
You don't know how many votes there are iemanja Nov 2024 #2
I keep scratching my head over this as well and it just seems so fishy... Farmgirl1961 Nov 2024 #3
Definitely shenanigans going on Dem4life1234 Nov 2024 #7
Wait until all the votes are counted. One state has until Saturday for returning ballots. jimfields33 Nov 2024 #12
Surely There Are Millions Of Ballots There To Make Up The Deficit nt SoCalDavidS Nov 2024 #17
It Won't Be SoCalDavidS Nov 2024 #16
Turnout is likely down somewhat, but there are millions of votes outstanding tritsofme Nov 2024 #4
There are still millions of votes to be counted. onenote Nov 2024 #5
This will ForgedCrank Nov 2024 #6
A caller raised this question today on Thom Hartmann's show. Jeebo Nov 2024 #8
Most sensible explanation I've heard is that in 2020 many states proactively sent ballots Silent Type Nov 2024 #9
In 2020 they voted to save their own lives due to Covid Jersey Devil Nov 2024 #10
I remember peachpit24 Nov 2024 #11
Still a lot of votes to be counted. Xolodno Nov 2024 #13
There wasn't record turnout. TwilightZone Nov 2024 #14
Read this by Heather Cox Richardson for possible answers the_liberal_grandpa Nov 2024 #15
A lot of people are asking that question Baggies Nov 2024 #18
It was a record # at first but then dwindled as time passed. Nt Quixote1818 Nov 2024 #19
2020 embraced mail-in voting Polybius Nov 2024 #20
A lot of social media , including some on DU TheProle Nov 2024 #21
My local corner of the planet ..... KentuckyWoman Nov 2024 #22
Harris might end up with 71-72M votes SomedayKindaLove Nov 2024 #23

iemanja

(57,757 posts)
2. You don't know how many votes there are
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:04 PM
Nov 2024

They aren't done counting.
You could always read the other dozen threads on this same question to see what people think.

Farmgirl1961

(1,665 posts)
3. I keep scratching my head over this as well and it just seems so fishy...
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:04 PM
Nov 2024

I'm not a conspiracy type of person, but this disparity of 68 millionn to 81 million just seems so way off the mark. There was so much enthusiasm out there. So many new voters. To me, this 14 million difference, is a red flag that needs to be investigated.

 

jimfields33

(19,382 posts)
12. Wait until all the votes are counted. One state has until Saturday for returning ballots.
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:24 PM
Nov 2024
 

SoCalDavidS

(10,599 posts)
16. It Won't Be
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:53 PM
Nov 2024

You must be confusing our party for the one run by repubs.

They would be spending the next century calling for investigations.

tritsofme

(19,900 posts)
4. Turnout is likely down somewhat, but there are millions of votes outstanding
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:04 PM
Nov 2024

I think barely 60% of California is in.

It will take a week or so to have a clear picture on turnout.

onenote

(46,142 posts)
5. There are still millions of votes to be counted.
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:04 PM
Nov 2024

The total might be less than 2020, but it's not going to be anywhere near 14 million.

ForgedCrank

(3,096 posts)
6. This will
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:05 PM
Nov 2024

be analyzed to death for months, who knows.
If I had to take a wild guess? A lot of people just didn't see anything that motivated them, or they were just sick and damned tired of the whole thing.
There are also a lot of areas (like mine) where Democrats just stay home because they know their votes won't make a difference. The red is just too large to overcome here. I always try to convince them otherwise, but it is rarely effective. That is the normal though, not just this election so who knows.

Jeebo

(2,560 posts)
8. A caller raised this question today on Thom Hartmann's show.
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:10 PM
Nov 2024

He responded that they are still counting votes, especially on the West Coast, especially in California. They are notoriously slow about counting votes in that state, Thom said. That's why there are still several House races there not called. So, long story short, we don't know yet how many votes were cast in this election. I remember in 2020 in Pennsylvania they called that state for Biden on Saturday, four days after the election, and that was what put him over the top. I wish that could still happen this year.

— Ron

 

Silent Type

(12,412 posts)
9. Most sensible explanation I've heard is that in 2020 many states proactively sent ballots
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:16 PM
Nov 2024

to all registered voters. Even my red state did. That didn’t happen this year.

Add disinterested voters, votes to come, etc., and we are close to “missing votes.”

Whatever, we lost.

Jersey Devil

(10,833 posts)
10. In 2020 they voted to save their own lives due to Covid
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:19 PM
Nov 2024

Trump was telling people to inject bleach, take horse tranquilizers, hospitals and doctors were overwhelmed, medical supplies weren't available, bodies were stored in refrigerated trucks on city streets and they voted because they were worried that they were going to die.

In 2024 the same people were not worried about their own imminent deaths and as far as anyone else is concerned they just didn't care.

peachpit24

(97 posts)
11. I remember
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:20 PM
Nov 2024

People thought Hillary was going to win by a landslide, so a lot of people didn't bother to vote.



Xolodno

(7,350 posts)
13. Still a lot of votes to be counted.
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:27 PM
Nov 2024

But I'm agreement that they will be less. I'm not on the "shenanigans" wagon, but think something else is going on that hasn't been realized yet. And would explain a lot. See my OP

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100219682408

TwilightZone

(28,836 posts)
14. There wasn't record turnout.
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:34 PM
Nov 2024

There was record early voting in some places.

CA isn't done counting so there are at least a few million more there.

It's still going to be short of 2020, but 2020 was an unusual cycle.

Trump is going to get about what he got in 2020.

Harris is going to fall short maybe 7 million from Biden's 2020 total. Part of the reason is that she simply may not have been able to put together a similar coalition. He was able to get a lot of independents, moderates, and some Rs.

Baggies

(666 posts)
18. A lot of people are asking that question
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:57 PM
Nov 2024

I got a better idea of why now than I did 4 years ago, but that’s the extend to which I would mention it currently.

Polybius

(21,901 posts)
20. 2020 embraced mail-in voting
Fri Nov 8, 2024, 12:15 AM
Nov 2024

Because of that, many people voted that never have before, and may never again.

TheProle

(3,982 posts)
21. A lot of social media , including some on DU
Fri Nov 8, 2024, 12:18 AM
Nov 2024

Shouted down people who tried to post statistical information that showed cause for concern, and instead were seduced by the Anecdotal Fallacy, thinking what they heard about Swifites or Beyoncé or an exchange at CostCo or a suspicious lack of Trump signs that they swear were there in previous elections or the kids with tattoos in line to early vote showed a wave of unprecedented enthusiasm and motivation.

The reason so many are shocked is that a lot of them weren’t really paying attention, not in the ways that matter.

KentuckyWoman

(7,401 posts)
22. My local corner of the planet .....
Fri Nov 8, 2024, 12:29 AM
Nov 2024

2024 in person voting was off the charts.
2020 was A LOT more absentee votes. (Covid)

So it FELT like a monster turnout. I was there and can tell you poll workers were exhausted. However, when the dust settled, the total vote count was down 13%.

I live in deep red Ohio. Trump's total vote count was down by 1000s. The % of Dem votes went up slightly, but not enough.
5% of Trump voters also voted for Sherrod Brown.

That's just for my N. of Cincy county. Probably not an abstract of the nation so take it for what little it is worth.

SomedayKindaLove

(1,181 posts)
23. Harris might end up with 71-72M votes
Fri Nov 8, 2024, 12:39 AM
Nov 2024

Which would put her at 9-10M votes behind Biden’s total. Everyone is looking for some reason but is likely multi-fold:

1) Misogyny - Some Dems won’t vote for a woman
2) Racism - Some Dems won’t vote for POC
3) Voter suppression
4) X disinformation; Twitter at least tried to keep out some BS.
5) Gaza

I’m sure there’s more.

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