would 'get the shaft' from the New Dem's proposals.
Of course, the biggest problem is that we do not control any of the branches of the US government atm.
In 2026 we have a great shot at taking back the House, but basically little to no chance at taking back the Senate. Even IF we sweep all remotely possible/in danger races we only get to 50-50 with Vance breaking ties:
defending Blue seats at risk (some more than others)
GA- Ossoff
MI- Peters (retiring) Hopefully Pete runs, and we also have 2 other superb candidates in Mallory Morrow and Dana Nessel.
MN- Tina Smith (retiring) The Dem seat the least in danger IMHO, hopefully Peggy Flanagan or Keith Ellison win the Dem primary over the Problem Solver Angie Craig (only 3 other Dems (Cuellar, Gluesenkamp-Perez, and Golden) in the House voted against Biden more in 2023 than Craig did, Craig was the first front line Dem to call on Biden to drop out, and she also vote for the horrid Laken Riley Act a few weeks ago).
NH- Shaheen (who may retire, she would be a few weeks short of 86 at the end of her term if she runs and wins. Rethug Chris Sununu may run no matter what, and he still is very popular, but so far he is refusing to run.)
VA - Warner (may retire, Youngkin may run no matter what, unless he runs for POTUS in 2028. IF Youngkin runs he will may give Warner a real struggle, and IF Warner retires, Youngkin (who would then be more likely to jump in) likely would be the favourite to flip it.)
PLUS
flipping every remotely possible Red seat, of which there are only 3
NC- Thom Tillis is the weakest off all Rethugs, Roy Cooper would be a really good candidate to flip it. I do not see Josh Stein (just elected NC Gov) or Jeff Jackson (just elected NC AG) running atm, especially Stein.
ME - Collins (hopefully she retires (doubtful atm), otherwise it will be somewhat hard to defeat her, unless Stephen King finally runs, but he will be 85yo at the end of his term if he runs and wins, OR Janet Mills runs, but she also would be 85yo at the end of her first term. Jared Golden perhaps my run, but he is one of the most conservative Dems in the House, voted against Biden far too often, and could be a mini-Manchin in the Senate)
KY (McConnell is retiring, but our only truly good candidate, Andy Beshear, has said he is not running, as he likely runs for POTUS in 2028. Even if Beshear runs KY is one of those Red states who will sometimes elect a Dem Governor but now now VERY hard for a Dem to win the state for Senate or POTUS. Louisiana is another Red State like that, Kansas is another, and North Carolina is another (granted the easiest of the 4 for a Dem to win a US Senate seat and other state offices)
We have a great chance to keep or win back (if we fail in 2026) the House in 2028 and 2030 as well, but the 2028 and 2030 US Senate maps are also poor for us in terms of taking back control (or keeping it in 2030 IF we somehow win control in 2028), especially if we do not do well in 2026.
It is also SO vital that we win back the POTUS in 2028.
Starting in 2032, we are quite likely in a significantly worse place for both the US House and POTUS than we are now, map-wise. Both will be far harder to win starting in 2032 due to re-apportionment following the 2030 US Census.
The Red states may well see 15, 20 or so new net seats in the US House due to population shifts, so it will far harder for us to win (or keep) the US House, PLUS the Red states will have a lot more net EVs in the Electoral College, so it will be far harder for us to win the POTUS general elections.
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